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RBRBRK

Rubrik, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 46% YoYStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (425/wk), no spike
$RBRK·$16B·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$78.97-1.1%YTD+1.7%1Y-9.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 48 posts2026-07-11: 23 posts2026-07-12: 33 posts2026-07-13: 63 posts2026-07-14: 76 posts2026-07-15: 99 posts2026-07-16: 76 posts425+16%
Price updated 14h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
RBRBRK
$RBRKRubrik, Inc.
$78.97-1.06%425 posts+16%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RBRK, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Data-security leader growing 46% with UK expansion and cluster of executive selling.

Rubrik is the leader in data-security-posture-management — a modern backup + cyber-recovery + Ransomware defense platform competing with legacy Cohesity and traditional backup vendors. It's a genuine growth story in an environment where cyber-recovery has moved to the top of every CIO's list.

What the setup shows:

  • Growth is exceptional: Q4 revenue up 46% YoY to $378M, and the four-quarter growth stack is 46-51% — this is one of the fastest-growing enterprise-software names.
  • Cash generation is early but positive: operating margin -21% in Q4 (still burning to grow) but FCFy 2% — the operating-leverage story is emerging.
  • The multiple is stretched: 10.5x P/S — priced for the growth to continue at high rates.
  • The UK £375M / $500M investment (July 9) plus London as EMEA HQ is a real strategic commitment to international expansion.
  • Insider action is a real cluster: officer Kiran Choudary sold $2.3M, director Ravi Mhatre sold $331K plus other insider J-Others totaling $4.6M+ in 15 days — the community calls it 'normal profit-taking' but scale matters.
  • Position confirms the run: 65% of 52-week range, YTD +2.8%, t12m -9% — the tape has been quietly recovering.
  • The community groups RBRK alongside SOFI/META as top performers.

The forward view: the September 8 Q2 print is the referee. A revenue beat with continued 40%+ growth plus specific UK/EMEA revenue disclosure is what breaks the coil upward toward $100. What keeps it stuck: another 45%+ growth quarter but with continued executive selling clusters. What breaks it lower: a specific Cohesity competitive-win headline or a large customer-defection disclosure.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on the inverse H&S technical setup and UK expansion is directionally right. Our take agrees but flags the $4.6M insider cluster as a specific counter-signal worth more weight than the community gives it.

What to watch: September 8 Q2 earnings and any UK/EMEA revenue disclosure; another executive selling cluster after the print would confirm the coil is signal.

On the calendar: 2026-09-08 — Q2 FY2027 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment9 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

Rubrik is being talked about as a positioning question inside an otherwise strong cybersecurity theme. The immediate negative is a -9.5% down day on insider selling: Ravi Mhatre sold 3,979 shares at an average $83.10 (~$330,655) on an open-market transaction rather than a 10b5-1 plan, which posters read as concerning. Bulls note RBRK is quickly becoming one of the biggest names in cybersecurity as data resilience becomes as important as prevention, and that RBRK is one of the software leaders long alongside CRWD and NET even in an AI-eats-cyber narrative. One trimmer took the bulk of a position off at $87-89 and would consider adding below $75. There is also a running joke about RBRK now being 'considered an AI Capex stock.' The setup is genuinely two-sided into the next tape confirmation.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RBRK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Enterprise data security, backup, and cyber recovery platform protecting against ransomware across cloud, SaaS, and on-premises environments.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RBRK.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

No material change from last week — Enterprise software infrastructure is in a multiple compression phase (-16.

What this means for $RBRK

Neutral — Enterprise data security, backup, and cyber recovery platform protecting against ransomware across cloud, SaaS, and on-premises environments; the cloud-native adoption and AI security spend despite multiple compression does not materially affect this business's near-term earnings.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.9%YTD
-16.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-51.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-20.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-21.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
10.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
55.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
80.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-2.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 4, 2026$0.16$-0.03+637.5%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$0.04$-0.11+136.7%
Q3 2025Dec 4, 2025$0.10$-0.17+158.9%
Q2 2025Sep 9, 2025$-0.03$-0.34+91.1%
Next earningsTue, Sep 8·consensus EPS $0.05

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$377.7M+46.3%80.9%-21.8%$-0.44$87.4M
Q3 FY26$350.2M+48.3%81.2%-21.6%$-0.32$89.1M
Q2 FY26$309.9M+51.2%79.5%-30.5%$-0.49$56.4M
Q1 FY26$278.5M+48.7%78.3%-33.4%$-0.53$36.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 20 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$1.6B$1.6B – $1.7B$0.31$0.17 – $0.4020
FY28$2.0B$1.9B – $2.1B$0.64$0.49 – $0.9420
FY29$2.4B$2.4B – $2.4B$1.12$0.83 – $1.429
FY30$2.8B$2.7B – $2.9B$1.48$1.43 – $1.534
FY31$3.3B$3.2B – $3.3B$1.96$1.90 – $2.023

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.64%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+17.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 157.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.105-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 15Choudary Kiran KumarCFO28.0K sh$2.3MSellJul 13Ravi MhatreDirector4.0K sh$331KSellJul 8Arvind NithrakashyapCTO12.8K sh$1.1MSellJul 7Arvind NithrakashyapCTO12.8K sh$1.1MSellJul 6Arvind NithrakashyapCTO12.6K sh$1.1MSellJul 1Thompson John WendellDirector13.5K sh$1.1MSellJul 1Yvonne WassenaarDirector721 sh$59KSellJun 26Ravi MhatreDirector4.0K sh$284KSellJun 23Yvonne WassenaarDirector676 sh$51KSellJun 3Arvind NithrakashyapCTO12.8K sh$1.0M
1–10 of 22
+ 41 other (20 conversions · 9 exempts · 8 awards · 2 others · 2 inkinds) in window

See when $RBRK insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

RBRK (RBRK) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on the election of directors, an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 48-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 13 other (5 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·4d agoRubrik Joins Internet2 to Advance Cyber Resilience and AI Operations in Higher Educationbusinesswire.com·4d agoRubrik unveils $500 million UK investment, names London as European HQreuters.com·9d agoRubrik Announces £375 Million UK Investment and Names London as EMEA Headquartersbusinesswire.com·9d agoRubrik Security Cloud Launches on the AWS European Sovereign Cloudbusinesswire.com·10d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Cybersecurity

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Voices on X · top 11 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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