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ORORCL

Oracle Corporation

Rising onWhy it's trendingX chatter picking upBacked by solid revenue growthPrice and volume picking up
$ORCL·$433B·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$141.82+1.0%YTD-28.9%1Y-53.5%
Price updated 5m ago·X counts updated 3d ago
ORORCL
$ORCLOracle Corporation
$141.82+1.05%9.1k posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $ORCL on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

9,129X posts · last 7 days
Aug 31Sep 13
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ORCL's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 51% of tracked names.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data51 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-15

Everything hinges on Thursday's print — options are pricing an 11% move against a $638B RPO backlog and $95B of debt, with the OpenAI $300B commitment as the bear anchor. Bulls point to a 42%-since-July recovery, Bernstein at $325, TD Cowen Buy at $240, and Burry adding it as his single largest short (which longs treat as reverse validation).

Read what X is saying about $ORCL

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ORCL — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-15

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Cloud pivot is showing up in the top-line reacceleration; the tape hasn't priced it back in yet.

Oracle is the enterprise-software incumbent trying to reinvent itself as an AI-cloud infrastructure provider. The stock has been cut roughly in half from its highs even as the OCI business inflects — the gap between what the P&L now shows and what the tape prices is the whole trade.

  • Growth is quietly reaccelerating: revenue grew 22% year-over-year last quarter with the Q1 print beating consensus by 10%, and analyst estimates now step from ~$67B this fiscal year to ~$90B next — this is real cloud attach, not just contract-renewal tailwinds.
  • The insider signal just flipped: Larry Ellison canceling his planned $7.5B share sale is the clearest 'I'm not done here' tell you get from the largest holder, at a moment when the technical setup sits in the bottom 14% of its 52-week range.

Dec 9 earnings is the next test — another 20%+ revenue print with OCI bookings quantified is what turns the coil into a real move, while a soft cloud guide reprices the reacceleration story.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree with the X crowd that Burry's short reads stale against 22% revenue growth and OCI acceleration, and that the TD Cowen $240 target isn't crazy if next-year revenue lands where the sell side has it. The friction the crowd skips: FCF yield turned negative because the AI capex is enormous — this growth isn't free.

What to watch: Dec 9 Q2 earnings — RPO/backlog color and cloud revenue growth holding above 20% restarts the move; a soft OCI number combined with the $172 level failing gives the bears the tape.

On the calendar: 2026-12-09 — Q2 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $ORCL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Provides enterprise database software, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, and cloud ERP and HCM applications to large organizations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ORCL.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

NBIS-PLTR sovereign AI partnership formalises a new infrastructure tier pairing GPU-dense compute with enterprise operating layers, pulling a valuation premium over legacy SaaS. Oracle's Ellison cancelling $7.5B in planned stock sales despite a 50% pullback signals insider conviction in OCI's cloud infrastructure growth trajectory; AI-native security and zero-trust platforms continue to outpace the broader software cohort.

What this means for $ORCL

Direct beneficiary — OCI data centre buildout and Autonomous Database position Oracle as the enterprise cloud database of record for AI workloads; Ellison cancelling $7.5B in planned sales signals insider conviction at current valuation.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-0.9%YTD
-6.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
37.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
30.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-4.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
9.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
57.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
66.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Sep 10, 2026$1.92$1.74+10.3%
Q1 2026Jun 10, 2026$2.11$1.96+7.7%
Q4 2025Mar 10, 2026$1.79$1.70+5.3%
Q3 2025Dec 10, 2025$2.26$1.64+37.8%
Next earningsWed, Dec 9·consensus EPS $1.92

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$17.2B+21.7%62.2%32.8%$1.28$-11.5B
Q2 FY26$16.1B+14.2%66.5%29.5%$2.15$-10.0B
Q1 FY26$14.9B+12.2%67.3%28.7%$1.04$-362.0M
Q4 FY25$15.9B+11.3%70.2%32.1%$1.22$-2.9B

Forward consensus

6-year forecast · up to 30 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$67.3B$67.0B – $67.4B$7.49$7.03 – $7.5830
FY27$90.1B$89.0B – $91.2B$8.11$8.04 – $8.1924
FY28$131.2B$119.5B – $138.9B$11.02$10.10 – $12.1730
FY29$180.4B$146.2B – $200.0B$15.46$9.73 – $17.9627
FY30$219.3B$194.2B – $231.8B$19.88$16.92 – $21.3513
FY31$262.2B$232.1B – $277.1B$25.89$22.03 – $27.8022

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.12%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-0.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-16.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.7B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.735-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 24Jeffrey HenleyChair400.0K sh$63.7MSellApr 16Stuart LeveyEVP, Chief Legal Officer15.0K sh$2.6M
+ 23 other (11 awards · 7 exempts · 2 inkinds · 2 others · 1 gift) in window

See when $ORCL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 23424B5
AI summary

ORCL filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement on 2026-06-23. This represents dilution happening now.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 143
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for ORCL on 2026-05-14, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 128-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ORCL disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-12). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 143
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for ORCL on 2026-04-14, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 68-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ORCL disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-06). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. President and Group Chief Financial Officer of Schneider Electric. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 8 other (2 8-Ks · 1 routine 8-K · 1 10-Q · 1 10-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Oracle's stock falls for the fifth day in a row — missing out on the AI bouncemarketwatch.com·1d agoOracle CFO says 'doing more with less' isn't the answer in all-hands after layoffsbusinessinsider.com·1d agoORCL vs. MSFT: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?zacks.com·1d agoWhy Oracle (ORCL) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·1d agoWall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About Oracle (ORCL): Should You Buy?zacks.com·1d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureAgentic AI & Enterprise Software

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Voices on X · top 3 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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