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ONONDS

Ondas Holdings Inc.

$ONDS·$3.5B·Communication Equipment·Technology
$6.04-4.9%YTD-33.8%1Y-26.3%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
ONONDS
$ONDSOndas Holdings Inc.
$6.04-4.88%3.4k posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $ONDS on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

3,357X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ONDS's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data28 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

X is bullish on back-to-back C-UAS wins — Sentrycs signed two more NFL stadiums on top of the Jaguars, the USAF more than doubled the ULTRA contract to $85.6M, and State Street disclosed a $128M, 15.6M-share position (+142% in shares). Price targets being thrown around sit 100%+ above spot. The only bearish voice is a technician calling for a dip to the $5-$5.60 zone before adding.

Read what X is saying about $ONDS

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ONDS — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Real counter-drone contracts are landing — but the dilution math is swallowing the signal.

Ondas Holdings builds private wireless networks for industrial customers and runs an autonomous drone / counter-UAS defense business. The defense side is finally landing real contracts, but the stock is down ~30% YTD and sitting near its yearly lows while M&A dilution and heavy losses weigh.

  • Business momentum is real: USAF doubled the ULTRA contract to $85.6M, Sentrycs grabbed more NFL stadiums beyond Jacksonville, and Q1 revenue was $50M versus $4M a year ago — this isn't a vaporware pivot, government and sports-security money is actually arriving.
  • Dilution is swallowing the signal: the Gate/Bron acquisition cost $105M cash plus 10.7M shares plus a potential $185M earn-out, on top of World View and CaribouLabs; shares outstanding keep ratcheting up while operating margin sits at -85%.
  • At 54x sales with no path to profitability inside two years (analysts call -$0.33 FY27 EPS), the stock already prices in the contract pipeline landing — the price action says investors don't yet trust the earn-out math.

Breaking-down holds unless Nov 12 earnings show a cleaner path to operating leverage — specifically services revenue carrying gross margin without a new acquisition — or a defense-prime partnership makes the dilution math acceptable. Absent that, the chart targets summer lows.

Differs from X sentimentX is sketching $20 against a $7 handle on the Sentrycs/USAF/State Street triple, and the contracts are genuinely real — but the posts don't engage with the Gate/Bron $335M+ consideration or the fact that insider selling (Laird's September tranche) is still happening while the chart breaks down.

What to watch: Nov 12 earnings — operating cash burn against the roughly $400M in Gate/Bron commitments, and whether a defense-prime partnership shows up to validate the contract pipeline. Dilution before anchor revenue converts is what seals the decline.

On the calendar: 2026-11-12 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $ONDS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes private wireless networks for railroads and autonomous drone and data collection systems for critical infrastructure.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Communication Equipment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ONDS.

Communication Equipment · Technology

No material change from last week — AI data-center optical interconnects dominate capex.

What this means for $ONDS

Neutral — Makes private wireless networks for railroads and autonomous drone and data collection systems for critical infrastructure.

Top industry ETF

$IYZiShares U.S. Telecommunications ETF
+29.5%YTD
+19.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
19.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-3.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-93.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
53.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
46.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
44.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-0.19$-0.09-111.1%
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$0.81$-0.05+1597.7%
Q4 2025Mar 23, 2026$-0.39$-0.06-550.0%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-0.06$-0.04-54.6%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $-0.13

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$50.1M+1079.8%49.2%-85.1%$0.77$-52.6M
Q4 FY25$30.1M+629.3%42.3%-77.4%$-0.27$-13.0M
Q3 FY25$10.1M+582.0%25.8%-154%$-0.03$-11.1M
Q2 FY25$6.3M+554.9%53.1%-147%$-0.08$-8.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$536.4M$530.0M – $544.6M$0.31$0.28 – $0.387
FY27$1.0B$886.4M – $1.2B-$0.33-$0.41 – -$0.307
FY28$1.3B$1.2B – $1.6B-$0.04-$0.06 – -$0.033
FY29$1.9B$1.8B – $2.2B$0.28$0.25 – $0.351
FY30$2.0B$1.9B – $2.4B$0.51$0.46 – $0.632

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.11%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-22.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-35.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 533.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today7.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.925-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 24Neil J LairdCFO5.0K sh$38KSellAug 18Richard M CohenDirector7.5K sh$67KSellJun 2Eric A BrockCEO2.4M sh$31.9MSellMay 20Richard M CohenDirector7.5K sh$71KSellMay 19Randy SeidlDirector10.0K sh$98K
+ 23 other (11 exempts · 8 inkinds · 4 awards) in window

See when $ONDS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDOct 138-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KUnregistered equity saleSep 238-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ondas Inc. (ONDS) filed a prospectus supplement to register the resale of 7,822,077 shares of common stock on behalf of certain stockholders who received shares as M&A consideration — 632 shares from the World View Enterprises acquisition (April 2026) and 7,821,445 shares from the CaribouLabs Ltd. acquisition (September 23, 2026) — under Ondas's effective S-3ASR shelf (File No. 333-290121). The filing also covers Item 3.02 (amendment to articles). This is a resale registration for existing M&A-issued shares, not new primary dilution, but enables acquired-company shareholders to liquidate into the market.

8-KAcquisition completedSep 148-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ondas Inc. (ONDS) completed the acquisition of Gate Technologies Ltd. (Israel) and Bron Technologies sp. z.o.o. (Poland) on September 14, 2026, for a combined purchase price of $105 million cash plus 10,689,655 shares of ONDS common stock plus a $25 million working capital adjustment. An additional approximately $22.5 million is payable within nine months, and sellers may earn up to $185 million in contingent earn-out payments in stock over two years based on milestones. This is a transformative transaction for ONDS — the combined upfront cash plus equity plus earn-out could exceed $335M, substantial relative to the company's small market cap.

8-KUnregistered equity saleAug 288-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ondas Holdings (ONDS) filed an 8-K disclosing a prospectus supplement for the resale of 99,105 shares of common stock issued in connection with its acquisition of World View Enterprises. The shares are being offered by selling stockholders, not by Ondas directly, so the company receives no proceeds from this resale. The offering was originally conducted as a private placement exempt under Regulation D. This filing formalizes secondary-market tradability for the acquisition consideration shares, a routine step following an all-stock or part-stock deal.

8-KAcquisition completedAug 108-K — Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ondas Inc. (ONDS) filed an 8-K on August 11, 2026 (event date August 10) under Items 2.01, 3.02, and 8.01, reporting the completion of an acquisition, a share cancellation (reduction in outstanding shares), and other events. The multi-item filing signals a complex transaction: Ondas completed an acquisition (2.01) while simultaneously reducing its share count (3.02), which is unusual and may reflect a reverse merger structure or share exchange as part of the deal. Ondas develops autonomous drone and remote operations systems. The transaction details, including acquired entity and consideration, are in the filing body.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 78-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Ondas Inc. (ONDS) disclosed an officer or director change (Item 5.02) on 2026-08-07. Details: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Executive transitions are administrative disclosures; materiality depends on the seniority of the affected position. No financial terms were disclosed in this filing.

8-KUnregistered equity saleJul 248-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ondas Inc. (Nevada; West Palm Beach, FL) filed an 8-K on July 24, 2026 under Items 3.02 (unregistered sales of equity securities) and 8.01 (other events), indicating a private placement alongside a corporate announcement. The combination suggests a capital raise tied to a contract award or strategic partnership. The share count, price, counterparty, and the nature of the other event are in the attached exhibits.

8-KAcquisition completedJul 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ondas Inc. acquired High Point UAS, LLC, a drone/unmanned aerial systems company, on July 2, 2026 for consideration of approximately $200 million in cash (including $12M in escrow) plus approximately 85 million new shares of Ondas common stock (39,999,998 immediate shares + 44,999,998 deferred shares). Sellers were Highlander Partners Defense, DZYNE Management Holdings, and High Flight Corporation. The 85 million new shares represent very substantial dilution to Ondas's existing equity base. The acquisition is transformative in size relative to Ondas's current scale.

+ 43 other (23 8-Ks · 5 proxys · 3 Ds · 3 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ondas and Palantir Launch Regna AI to Expand Sovereign AI Capabilitieszacks.com·18h agoOndas Retreats 6% Despite Regna AI Launch With Palantir; AeroVironment Drops 3%, Kratos Slips247wallst.com·3d agoTrading expert reveals top three stocks to buy this weekfinbold.com·3d agoTop 10 Powder Keg Stocks Where Short Sellers Are Sitting on a Fusebenzinga.com·4d agoOndas Expands Airborne Defense Capabilities with EASA Certification of Advanced Missile Protection System on Bombardier Global 7500accessnewswire.com·4d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & DronesRobotics & Humanoids

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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