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ERERIC

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)

Hot onTrending downwardX chatter spiked vs its recent normMoving on elevated volume
$ERIC·$38B·Communication Equipment·Technology
$10.04-1.0%YTD+4.6%1Y+29.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 106 posts2026-07-09: 136 posts2026-07-10: 204 posts2026-07-11: 79 posts2026-07-12: 164 posts2026-07-13: 335 posts2026-07-14: 253 posts1,283+29%
Price updated 11m ago·X counts updated 18h ago
ERERIC
$ERICTelefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)
$10.04-1.04%1.3k posts+29%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ERIC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-15

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Ericsson missed Q2 EPS and the DoD just funded an American 6G rival — the tape dropped 13% and the pipeline is now genuinely at risk.

Ericsson is a Swedish telecom-equipment giant that sells radio-access-network hardware and 5G core software to global carriers. The stock is down 13.5% today after a Q2 EPS in-line-to-slight-miss print and the US Department of Defense's FutureG program awarding $28M to AMPG for a 6G rival to Ericsson and Nokia's technology — a genuine strategic threat, not just an earnings miss.

Where the story actually stands:

  • Growth is not the story anymore: Q1 revenue fell 1% year-on-year and consensus models FY26 revenue at $232B and only rising modestly to $242B by 2028 — that's not decline yet, but it's a business without top-line growth to offset margin pressure.
  • Today's Q2 EPS just narrowly missed: $0.13 versus $0.13 consensus (a 2.5% miss), but the January Q1 print missed by 73% and the January 23 print was a rare 17% beat — the pattern is inconsistent execution that keeps forcing consensus re-cuts.
  • The DoD 6G award is the load-bearing risk: the US shift toward domestic RAN vendors is a structural threat to Ericsson's US business, and while $28M is small the signal is not — bulls flag $9.40 as a good entry, but that's conceding the current level breaks first.
  • The chart confirms the damage: shares at 45th percentile of the 52-week range, 16% below the 50-day, and volume ran 3.5x the 30-day average on today's drop — that's what a real breakdown looks like on the tape.

The path forward hinges on whether management can restore Q3 execution and articulate a US-market defense strategy against the AMPG program. Continuing revenue declines plus another EPS miss is what confirms this as a multi-quarter reset; a stabilizing beat with US-carrier commentary intact is what could stop the breakdown.

Agrees with X sentimentX captures the honest split — the US DoD FutureG award to AMPG plus Trump's $350B defense-priority framing is a real structural threat, and even the entry-price bull ($9.40) is conceding another leg down. The bundle mechanics validate that read: today's -13% drop on volume 3.5x average plus the Q2 miss confirm the damage.

What to watch: The October 13 Q3 print and any concrete US-market defense response from management. A beat with stabilizing US-carrier commentary stops the breakdown; another EPS miss with further US-vendor-substitution signals confirms this as a multi-quarter reset.

On the calendar: 2026-10-13 — Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment⚠5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-13 · top-engagement diverged

The US Defense Department's FutureG program awarded $28M to AMPG for a 6G rival to Ericsson and Nokia's technology, and Trump called on Congress to prioritize $350B in defense spending. Bulls argue the US shift away from foreign radio-access-network suppliers is structural, though at least one trader flags $9.40 as a good entry.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ERIC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Supplies 5G radio access networks, managed services, and telecom software to carriers globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Communication Equipment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ERIC.

Communication Equipment · Technology

No material change from last week — Lumentum pre-breakout setup unchanged as hyperscaler 400G/800G AI rack buildout continues structurally consuming optical transceiver and DWDM capacity into 2H26.

What this means for $ERIC

Neutral — Supplies 5G radio access networks, managed services, and telecom software to carriers globally; this business's revenue is largely decoupled from the hyperscaler 400G/800G AI rack networking buildout.

Top industry ETF

$IYZiShares U.S. Telecommunications ETF
+21.8%YTD
+40.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
15.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
14.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
13.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
25.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
48.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 14, 2026$0.13$0.13-2.5%
Q1 2026Apr 17, 2026$0.03$0.11-73.1%
Q4 2025Jan 23, 2026$0.27$0.23+17.4%
Q3 2025Oct 14, 2025$0.16$0.13+23.1%
Next earningsTue, Oct 13·consensus EPS $0.16

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$51.1B-0.9%48.1%10.7%$0.28$7.0B
Q4 FY25$67.9B-9.2%48.0%17.1%$2.52$14.9B
Q3 FY25$55.4B-7.3%48.1%13.7%$3.34$7.3B
Q2 FY25$55.0B-7.0%48.0%12.4%$1.34$3.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$232.4B$223.6B – $241.7B$5.81$4.99 – $7.2611
FY27$237.9B$228.1B – $248.5B$6.88$5.57 – $8.1011
FY28$242.1B$232.9B – $252.5B$7.24$6.88 – $7.644
FY29$231.2B$222.4B – $241.1B$6.95$6.61 – $7.345
FY30$219.2B$210.9B – $228.6B$4.38$4.16 – $4.625

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.3.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.45%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-15.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.9B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.525-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 29 other (24 6-Ks · 1 11-K · 1 SD · 1 IRANNOTICE) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ericsson Q2 Earnings Meet Estimates Despite Margin Resiliencezacks.com·1d agoTelefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) (ERIC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·1d agoVonage Recognized for Identity Insights API at Merit Awards for Businessbusinesswire.com·1d agoEricsson, Q32 Bio And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Tuesday's Pre-Market Sessionbenzinga.com·1d agoEricsson Q2: The Dip Is Not A Buying Opportunity -- Sellseekingalpha.com·1d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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