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NRNRGV

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.

$NRGV·$613M·Electrical Equipment & Parts·Industrials
$3.26-2.7%YTD-30.0%1Y+323.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 14 posts2026-07-09: 14 posts2026-07-10: 16 posts2026-07-11: 4 posts2026-07-12: 20 posts2026-07-13: 20 posts2026-07-14: 12 posts102+10%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
NRNRGV
$NRGVEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc.
$3.26-2.69%102 posts+10%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NRGV, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Energy Vault up 323% in a year on backlog acceleration — Mesa Del Sol project catalyst with real dilution.

Energy Vault Holdings is developing gravity-based long-duration energy storage plus battery-storage projects — the Mesa Del Sol gas-plus-storage project is the specific commercial-scale execution catalyst. The stock is up 323% over the past year despite recent volatility.

  • Revenue grew 156% YoY last quarter with a -111% operating margin — real top-line acceleration but continued deep operating losses; the trajectory is what earns the multiple.
  • The July 1 AR Convertible Debenture SPA amendment with YA II PN due to 'material increase in commercial backlog since Q1 2026' — real backlog acceleration triggering an expanded credit facility.
  • Trades at 4.5x TTM sales with negative TTM P/E on cyclical losses — reasonable multiples for a growth energy-storage name; the recent BayWa r.e. 850 MW portfolio acquisition establishes real immediate scale.
  • Multiple insider transactions in early July including CEO Robert Piconi's July 2 F-InKind of $667K plus Beer S-Sale $265K — the F-InKind is routine tax-withholding, but Beer's open-market sale is worth naming.
  • 52-week position 43rd percentile with position vs 200-day MA -20% — the tape has cooled from the recent highs; the Russell 2000 inclusion (June 29) provides passive-flow tailwinds.

August 6 Q2 earnings is where the backlog-plus-Mesa-Del-Sol story either extends or contracts: revenue growth held above 100% plus specific Mesa Del Sol commercial-project timeline is what turns coiling into a base; a modest print or a Yorkville-adjacent capital-structure concern is where the tape gives back. Real energy-storage exposure with real commercial-project catalysts and real dilution risk — the setup rewards continued execution.

Agrees with X sentimentThe mixed X take on the naked-short concerns (Yorkville buying at discounted PIPE closings), the Mesa Del Sol project momentum, the $10M gas-turbine down payment, and the NRGV August calls framing is analytically fair. The dilution-versus-momentum dynamic is genuinely two-sided.

What to watch: Aug 6 Q2 earnings — need revenue growth held above 100% and specific Mesa Del Sol commercial-project timeline. A modest print or Yorkville-adjacent capital-structure concern is where the tape gives back.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15 · top-engagement diverged

Energy Vault chatter is dominated by naked-short concerns and Mesa Del Sol project momentum. Community claims Yorkville (Cayman-based firm) is naked-shorting NRGV then buying at discounted PIPE closings - similar to alleged DJT tactics. Bulls note NRGV placed a $10M down payment for gas turbines for Mesa Del Sol from 2G in May, with 2G later PRing a triple-digit MWh order. NRGV August calls flagged as an interesting off-the-radar trade. Chart traders note NRGV whipsawing from new highs back to lows. Sentiment cautiously bullish but with real grievance about market mechanics.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NRGV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Builds gravity-based and long-duration energy storage systems for utilities and IPPs managing grid resilience.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Electrical Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NRGV.

Electrical Equipment & Parts · Industrials

No material change from last week — VRT and NVT confirmed at fresh highs that hyperscaler rack power acceleration is a multi-year capex cycle for electrical infrastructure.

What this means for $NRGV

Partial — Builds gravity-based and long-duration energy storage systems for utilities and IPPs managing grid resilience; the hyperscaler rack power acceleration and grid electrification capex creates tailwinds for one product line, not the full operation.

Industry benchmark

32-name peer basket
+22.9%YTD
+81.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-8.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-31.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-35.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-10.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-171%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
21.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
5.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-0.20$-0.15-33.3%
Q4 2025Mar 17, 2026$-0.13$-0.05-143.8%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$-0.16$-0.10-60.0%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$-0.22$-0.07-214.3%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $-0.14

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$21.9M+156.4%11.7%-111%$-0.19$-60.9M
Q4 FY25$153.3M+358.0%20.6%-5.1%$-0.12$-17.0M
Q3 FY25$33.3M+2678.9%27.0%-52.8%$-0.16$-27.2M
Q2 FY25$8.5M+125.8%29.6%-331%$-0.22$6.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$253.8M$246.1M – $262.3M-$0.36-$0.37 – -$0.343
FY27$306.6M$297.3M – $316.9M-$0.26-$0.27 – -$0.253
FY28$416.8M$416.8M – $416.8M-$0.07-$0.07 – -$0.075
FY29$549.1M$532.3M – $567.5M$0.02$0.02 – $0.022
FY30$766.9M$743.5M – $792.5M$0.55$0.53 – $0.572

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.43%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-29.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-20.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 6Beer Michael ThomasCFO65.0K sh$265KSellApr 6Beer Michael ThomasCFO65.0K sh$207KBuyMar 31Robert PiconiCEO12.5K sh$40KBuyMar 25Mandanas Mary BethDirector5.0K sh$18KBuyMar 4Thomas R ErtelDirector5.5K sh$18KBuyMar 2Akshay LadwaChief Operations Officer4.0K sh$12KBuyFeb 27Larry PaulsonDirector5.0K sh$16KBuyFeb 26Robert PiconiCEO7.5K sh$24K
+ 25 other (13 inkinds · 10 awards · 2 exempts) in window

See when $NRGV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJul 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Energy Vault amended its AR Convertible Debenture SPA with YA II PN due to a material increase in commercial backlog since Q1 2026; the original $75M facility ($42M Tranche 1) was amended with expansion details cut off in the excerpt. Amendment expanding the facility reflecting higher commercial activity.

8-KShareholder voteJun 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Energy Vault held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 29, 2026; elected three Class II directors and ratified BDO USA as auditor; Theresa Fariello and Thomas Ertel each received approximately 10.9M and 10.4M withheld votes respectively. Routine annual meeting; significant withheld votes on two nominees suggest investor dissatisfaction.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NRGV filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-05-07. Covers: investor presentation dated May 7, 2026, containing supplemental financial and operational informati. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentApr 2SC 13D/A
AI summary

Robert Piconi filed an amended Schedule 13D on NRGV disclosing beneficial ownership (23,417,827.00 shares) as of 2026-04-02. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

8-KMaterial agreementFeb 278-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KMaterial agreementFeb 188-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
8-KMaterial agreementFeb 118-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 14 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 routine 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Energy Vault Holdings: I'm Buying The Massive Discount As EBITDA Continues To Scaleseekingalpha.com·16d agoEnergy Vault Joins the Russell 2000® Indexbusinesswire.com·17d agoEnergy Vault Joins the Russell 2000® Indexgurufocus.com·17d agoEnergy Vault Closes Acquisition of 850 MW Energy Storage Portfolio from BayWa r.e. AG, Establishing Immediate Operational Platform to Capture Growth in Japanbusinesswire.com·50d agoEnergy Vault Appoints IPP Industry Vet Cory Magnuson as President of Asset Vault, Announces Expansion of Financing Platform to Support Massive Demand in AI Compute Infrastructure Solutionsbusinesswire.com·58d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

The Power Grid

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Voices on X · top 4 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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