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NRNRGV

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.

$NRGV·$633M·Electrical Equipment & Parts·Industrials
$3.54-5.6%YTD-30.0%1Y+86.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 19 posts2026-08-21: 19 posts2026-08-22: 2 posts2026-08-23: 3 posts118-1%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
NRNRGV
$NRGVEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc.
$3.54-5.60%118 posts-1%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NRGV, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Energy-storage micro-cap with a $2B backlog and non-dilutive $137.5M credit — director distribution at the current tape.

Energy Vault develops utility-scale energy storage systems — historically its gravity-based EV storage but now more meaningfully battery (B-Vault) and hybrid renewable systems, with growing exposure to data-center 'powered shell' infrastructure. It's a $630M micro-cap where every announcement moves the tape.

What's actually here:

  • Revenue is choppy but scaling — Q1 of $22M grew 156% YoY on top of 358% and 2679% (from a tiny base); consensus FY26 revenue of $250M implies a real ramp continuing through year-end, with FY27 estimated at $310M.
  • The economics still don't work — Q1 operating margin -111%, FCF -$61M, and consensus FY26 EPS of -$0.38; the D/E of 5.64 reflects a leveraged small-cap that just added a $137.5M non-dilutive credit facility (the recent good news).
  • The insider signal is mixed — director Dylan Hixon purchased ~$430k across two transactions Aug 17-18 at $3.74-3.88; director Stephanie Unwin sold $430k on Aug 28 at $3.71 (the same price as the buys); a wash pattern that doesn't clearly signal either direction.
  • The tape is coiled — position 38% of the 52-week range, essentially at the 50-day, 13% below the 200-day, on 0.61x volume; the 935M short interest cited by bulls (versus a $630M market cap) is meaningful if a specific catalyst forces coverage.

The forward path is that Q3 earnings on Nov 9 delivering another 100%+ growth print with any Crusoe/MSFT-style AI-data-center partnership announcement is the specific event that could trigger a run; without one, the tape stays choppy. The bear case is that the utility-scale-storage TAM is meaningful but Energy Vault's competitive position (versus Tesla Megapack, Fluence, and BYD) is not clearly established — the 'powered shell' narrative needs a specific named-hyperscaler contract.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on the $137.5M non-dilutive credit facility, $2B backlog, insider buying at $3.87, and 935M short interest is factually grounded; the crowd is under-mentioning the same-day director sale from Unwin at essentially the same price as the buys.

What to watch: Q3 earnings on Nov 9 — specifically revenue trajectory versus 156% Q1 baseline and any named AI-data-center partnership announcement.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 2026 earnings

short setup presentinsider wash signal

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-29

Energy Vault chatter is bullish penny-stock/short-squeeze framed. Contributors emphasize 935M alleged naked shorts vs 32M real, 70% of float owned by funds, $2B backlog, insider buying at $3.87, and calling stock settlement 'the key.' Tone is retail-conviction 'fraud/naked-short' narrative — loud, high-emoji, cheerleading rather than fundamental analysis.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NRGV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Builds gravity-based and long-duration energy storage systems for utilities and IPPs managing grid resilience.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Electrical Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NRGV.

Electrical Equipment & Parts · Industrials

No material change from last week — VRT and NVT confirmed at fresh highs that hyperscaler rack power acceleration is a multi-year capex cycle for electrical infrastructure.

What this means for $NRGV

Neutral — Builds gravity-based and long-duration energy storage systems for utilities and IPPs managing grid resilience; limited read-through from electrical equipment & parts macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

36-name peer basket
+24.5%YTD
+57.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-8.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-31.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-35.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-10.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-171%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
21.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
5.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 11, 2026$-0.17$-0.14-17.8%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-0.20$-0.15-33.3%
Q4 2025Mar 17, 2026$-0.13$-0.05-143.8%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$-0.16$-0.10-60.0%
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $-0.16

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$21.9M+156.4%11.7%-111%$-0.19$-60.9M
Q4 FY25$153.3M+358.0%20.6%-5.1%$-0.12$-17.0M
Q3 FY25$33.3M+2678.9%27.0%-52.8%$-0.16$-27.2M
Q2 FY25$8.5M+125.8%29.6%-331%$-0.22$6.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$253.5M$237.1M – $277.1M-$0.38-$0.42 – -$0.343
FY27$307.0M$287.1M – $335.5M-$0.30-$0.33 – -$0.273
FY28$421.1M$357.5M – $534.0M-$0.11-$0.12 – -$0.105
FY29$552.3M$516.5M – $603.6M-$0.01-$0.02 – -$0.012
FY30$766.9M$717.2M – $838.2M$0.55$0.50 – $0.622

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.38%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-1.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-13.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 132.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.225-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 26Stephanie UnwinDirector115.0K sh$427KBuyAug 17Dylan HixonDirector27.5K sh$107KBuyAug 14Dylan HixonDirector85.5K sh$320KSellJul 6Beer Michael ThomasCFO65.0K sh$265KSellApr 6Beer Michael ThomasCFO65.0K sh$207KBuyMar 31Robert PiconiCEO12.5K sh$40KBuyMar 25Mandanas Mary BethDirector5.0K sh$18KBuyMar 4Thomas R ErtelDirector5.5K sh$18K
+ 20 other (10 awards · 8 inkinds · 2 exempts) in window

See when $NRGV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 208-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
3New insider — initial holdingsAug 43
AI summary

One Reporting filed a Form 3 reporting initial beneficial ownership of NRGV securities. The form establishes the reporting person's baseline ownership position. Form 3 must be filed within 10 days of becoming a director, officer, or 10%-or-greater shareholder. This is an administrative filing that anchors future insider-transaction reporting for NRGV.

S-3Shelf registrationJul 17S-3
AI summary

NRG Energy filed an S-3 shelf registration statement providing capital markets flexibility to issue equity, debt, or other securities on short notice in the future. No specific offering terms or timing are disclosed; standard capital markets housekeeping for the clean energy and power company.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 178-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NRG Energy appointed Nitin Dahiya, formerly of BlackRock, as Chief Financial Officer with a base salary of $435,000 and a combined equity grant of 400,000 RSUs and PRSUs as sign-on compensation. Dahiya's appointment from a major asset manager signals a focus on financial discipline and capital allocation as NRG scales its clean energy platform.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Energy Vault amended its AR Convertible Debenture SPA with YA II PN due to a material increase in commercial backlog since Q1 2026; the original $75M facility ($42M Tranche 1) was amended with expansion details cut off in the excerpt. Amendment expanding the facility reflecting higher commercial activity.

8-KShareholder voteJun 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Energy Vault held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 29, 2026; elected three Class II directors and ratified BDO USA as auditor; Theresa Fariello and Thomas Ertel each received approximately 10.9M and 10.4M withheld votes respectively. Routine annual meeting; significant withheld votes on two nominees suggest investor dissatisfaction.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NRGV filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-05-07. Covers: investor presentation dated May 7, 2026, containing supplemental financial and operational informati. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentApr 2SC 13D/A
AI summary

Robert Piconi filed an amended Schedule 13D on NRGV disclosing beneficial ownership (23,417,827.00 shares) as of 2026-04-02. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

+ 15 other (3 13Gs · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Energy Vault Holdings: Portfolio Growing In Value, Future Looking Brightseekingalpha.com·3d agoEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc. Announces New Hire Awards Under NYSE Listing Rule 303A.08businesswire.com·10d agoEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NRGV) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·19d agoEnergy Vault Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·19d agoEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NRGV) Reports Q2 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimateszacks.com·19d ago

In themes

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