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TickerTalks›$NFLX
NFNFLX

Netflix, Inc.

Rising onWhy it's trendingX chatter picking upStrong bullish X conversationBacked by solid revenue growth
$NFLX·$326B·Entertainment·Communication Services
$78.25-5.3%YTD-21.8%1Y-37.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-28: 288 posts2026-08-29: 149 posts2026-08-30: 116 posts2026-08-31: 240 posts2026-09-01: 258 posts2026-09-02: 282 posts2026-09-03: 339 posts1,683+20%
Price updated 11h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
NFNFLX
$NFLXNetflix, Inc.
$78.25-5.35%1.7k posts+20%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NFLX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-04

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Netflix is quietly working its way back after a rough year — the ad tier, live rights, and password crackdown are running together for the first time.

Netflix is the world's largest subscription-streaming service and now runs a legitimate advertising tier layered on the base plan, with sports and live event rights added over the last two years. After a ~30% drawdown from the highs, the last six weeks have been quietly reflating the whole thesis.

  • The core numbers still compound: Q1 revenue landed at $12.25B (+16% year-over-year) at a 32% operating margin, and the last four EPS prints all beat consensus (1-16%) — the ad tier is now the growth lever bulls modeled two years ago, and the operating-margin trajectory is what a durable content platform looks like when the flywheel is loaded.
  • The tape action is confirming, not just hoping: shares sit ~10% above the 50-day, volume is holding, and Bill Ackman's disclosed adds anchor a well-owned rebase — six consecutive weekly higher-highs in a name this large is behavioral evidence that funds are re-adding, not just noise.
  • A few small pressure points still exist: senior executives (CFO Neumann ~$700K, Peters ~$2M) sold on the open market in early August, and JP Morgan's 24% EPS-CAGR framing for the next three-to-five years is doing a lot of the multiple work — a first weak international net-add print could reset that model materially even though it hasn't yet.

The forward read: the October print needs to show ad-tier ARPU stepping up and international net adds staying above ~5M — that combination extends the acceleration; a soft print resets the story back to 'the ad tier is smaller than modeled' and gives the recent rebound back. Watch the GTA VI trailer viewership as a real-world proxy for engagement momentum going into fall content season.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree the six-green-weeks/Ackman/24%-CAGR framing is the right read — the operational numbers back it. The 'attention-span erosion' thread is worth keeping in the notebook but is not decision-relevant this quarter.

What to watch: October earnings — ad-tier ARPU stepping up and international net adds above ~5M extends the acceleration; a soft print gives the recent rebound back.

On the calendar: 2026-10-20 — next earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment146 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-04

$NFLX sentiment is quietly bullish. Netflix is up ~25% since July lows, on six green weeks in a row, and Bill Ackman is back buying. JPMorgan sees $NFLX at $150 with a 24% EPS CAGR through 2029. Bulls call it 'a high-quality long-term compounder at a massive discount' with 20% LT EPS growth and strong operating leverage. A parallel story on Robinhood Chain: the RFLX vault is the largest onchain NFLX holder ($75K MC, $50K+ tokenized NFLX in its treasury) and treats every share bought as backing. Minimal bear commentary; even the negative posts are 'AI Mag7 will kill NFLX' contrarian takes that get dismissed.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NFLX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Streams TV series, films, and documentaries to 220M+ paid subscribers in 190 countries via subscriptions and advertising.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Entertainment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NFLX.

Entertainment · Communication Services

Streaming subscriber economics are the central tension: pricing power improving as password-sharing crackdowns and ad-tier rollouts lift ARPU. Linear TV cord-cutting continues structurally — sports rights remain the last durable moat.

What this means for $NFLX

Partial — REIT cash flows tied to occupancy, rent growth, and cap rate environment; Netflix, Inc.

Industry benchmark

8-name peer basket
-0.7%YTD
+21.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
25.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
23.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
49.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 16, 2026$0.80$0.79+1.3%
Q1 2026Apr 16, 2026$0.80$0.79+1.8%
Q4 2025Jan 20, 2026$0.56$0.55+1.4%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$0.59$0.70-15.2%
Next earningsTue, Oct 20·consensus EPS $0.82

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$12.2B+16.2%51.9%32.3%$1.25$5.1B
Q4 FY25$12.1B+17.6%45.9%24.5%$0.57$1.9B
Q3 FY25$11.5B+17.2%46.4%28.2%$0.60$2.7B
Q2 FY25$11.1B+15.9%51.9%34.1%$0.74$2.3B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 35 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$51.0B$50.8B – $51.2B$3.60$3.56 – $3.6935
FY27$56.8B$55.7B – $57.8B$3.82$3.57 – $4.0535
FY28$62.5B$59.4B – $64.6B$4.57$3.82 – $5.1133
FY29$67.1B$65.9B – $68.2B$5.45$5.32 – $5.5626
FY30$72.2B$70.9B – $73.5B$6.44$6.29 – $6.5827

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.21%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+3.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-9.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 4.1B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.515-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 10Neumann Spencer AdamCFO9.2K sh$701KSellAug 6Gregory K PetersCEO27.3K sh$2.0MSellAug 5Richard N BartonDirector2.2K sh$162KSellAug 4Theodore A SarandosCEO27.3K sh$2.0MSellAug 4David A HymanChief Legal Officer5.7K sh$417KSellAug 3Theodore A SarandosCEO81.9K sh$6.0MSellJun 17Bradford L SmithDirector36.0K sh$2.8MSellJun 1Reed HastingsDirector386.7K sh$33.2MSellMay 7Gregory K PetersCEO27.3K sh$2.4MSellMay 7Neumann Spencer AdamCFO9.3K sh$823K
1–10 of 12
+ 58 other (34 awards · 13 exempts · 10 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $NFLX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 308-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NFLX (NFLX) disclosed a leadership departure/resignation in an 8-K filed on 2026-07-30. On July 26, 2026, Anne Sweeney notified Netflix, Inc. (the “Company”) that she was resigning from the Board of Directors of the Company effective as of that date. Ms. Sweeney's resignation is not due to any disagreement with the Company. SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exch This is largely an administrative personnel disclosure with limited direct financial impact.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 21424B5
AI summary

NFLX filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement offering $1000M. This is a live, priced offering representing immediate dilution to existing shareholders. Proceeds are intended for stated in the supplement. Investors should assess the dilutive impact relative to current market cap and cash position.

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

NFLX (NFLX) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 168-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NFLX reported period ending 2026-04-16 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

+ 11 other (3 13Gs · 2 routine 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Walt Disney vs. Netflix: Which Media Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·19h agoNetflix Falls 4% as Rate Repricing Pressures Long-Duration Growth; Disney Dips, Warner Bros. Discovery Sits Tight247wallst.com·20h agoNetflix Stock Rebound Fuels Ad Growth Talk: A Sign of More Upside?zacks.com·2d agoNetflix's Acquisition Wishlist: Which Streaming Target Has the Best Odds?247wallst.com·2d agoIs It Worth Investing in Netflix (NFLX) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?zacks.com·2d ago

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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