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NANAKA

Nakamoto Inc.

$NAKA·$87M·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$7.44-3.8%YTD-65.3%1Y-96.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 34 posts2026-08-21: 46 posts2026-08-22: 17 posts2026-08-23: 17 posts180+2%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
NANAKA
$NAKANakamoto Inc.
$7.44-3.75%180 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NAKA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Post-pivot micro-cap Bitcoin-native shell down 97% in a year — CEO buying, but the base is broken.

Nakamoto Inc. (formerly KindlyMD) is a micro-cap that pivoted to a Bitcoin-native investment strategy and 'commercial and financial infrastructure for capital markets' — the kind of rebrand a distressed shell attempts when the core business isn't working. The stock is at 1.2% of the 52-week range, down 97% over 12 months.

Here's the honest picture:

  • Revenue is essentially zero — Q1 of $3M grew 362% YoY off a base that's a rounding error; the FY26 consensus revenue of $30M implies materially more scale than the current run rate suggests.
  • The economics don't remotely close — Q1 operating margin -4711% and consensus FY26 EPS of -$9.13 (widening losses) reflect a corporate structure looking for a business rather than the other way around; the recent 'Intelligence 2027' AI event launch is announcement-only.
  • The tape has voted with unusual severity — position 1.2% of the 52-week range, above the 50-day by 54% (a small pop off the absolute lows), on 1.03x volume; the 75% one-month bounce cited by bulls is off a distressed base.
  • The insider signal is one director buying small amounts — David Bailey purchased about $250k across three transactions Aug 20-21 at $5.11-6.27; small dollars in absolute terms, but the only clear buy signal.

The forward path is either a specific commercial arrangement (a Bitcoin-native investment or a real fintech acquisition) or continued dilution to fund the pivot; consensus doesn't get to positive EPS until FY28. The bear case is the default — micro-cap post-pivot shells with 99% drawdowns rarely recover in a straight line, and current holders typically dilute further before any real turnaround. What breaks the pattern is a signed, filed strategic transaction.

Differs from X sentimentThe bullish X 'BUIDL narrative' framing on the CEO buys and mobile 2.0 app launch is grounded in factual data points, but 99.5% off ATH is a broken base and small director buys don't reverse that; the crowd is optimistic about a $85M micro-cap that has to prove a real business exists.

What to watch: Any 8-K disclosing a specific commercial arrangement, an acquisition, or a Bitcoin-native investment deployment. Absent one, Q3 earnings on Nov 18 shows continued cash burn and any pivot update.

On the calendar: 2026-11-18 — Q3 2026 earnings

post pivot shellnear 52w lowinsider light buys

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment22 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Nakamoto Games' conversation is dominated by promoter and community posts framing a +74% one-day pump, CEO purchases in the last week, and a reclaimed 2022 bottom level as the start of a gaming-coin revival. Chart posters flag $0.0468 as the 50-EMA-to-200-SMA reclaim level. Dissent comes from a poster calling it 'still a shitcoin scam' and the reminder that NAKA is down 99.5% even as bitcoin trades near $78k. Volume leans bullish shill.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NAKA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Builds and invests in a portfolio of Bitcoin-native companies including mining infrastructure, treasury operations, and financial services.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NAKA.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

IPO and M&A activity — the primary revenue driver for capital markets firms — is recovering as equity market strength rebuilds corporate confidence and sponsor exit windows open. Retail trading volume (HOOD's record signups) confirms the infrastructure layer captures incremental activity.

What this means for $NAKA

Direct beneficiary — business directly tied to crypto market cap and adoption cycle; Builds and invests in a portfolio of Bitcoin-native companies including mining i.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+11.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-55.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-82.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1055.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-84.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-376%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-6.56$-0.60-984.3%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$-15.20$-0.20-7500.0%
Q4 2025Mar 30, 2026$-2.80$-0.60-366.7%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$-16.80$-0.40-4100.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 18·consensus EPS $-0.45

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.7M+361.7%-183%-4711%$-15.20$-23.3M
Q4 FY25$445K-26.3%-2388%-41198%$2.80$-7.6M
Q3 FY25$388K-40.1%99.5%-2680%$-16.80$-13.2M
Q2 FY25$409K-36.1%98.2%-585%$-0.35$-2.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$28.2M$22.7M – $33.8M-$9.13-$12.19 – -$6.072
FY27$40.1M$28.0M – $52.1M-$1.72-$2.00 – -$1.442
FY28$48.0M$35.6M – $60.4M$1.20$0.80 – $1.601

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+53.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-27.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 10.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.535-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 20David F BaileyCEO4.9K sh$30KBuyAug 19David F BaileyCEO32.1K sh$180KBuyAug 18David F BaileyCEO4.9K sh$25KBuyMay 28David F BaileyCEO55.1K sh$310KBuyMay 27David F BaileyCEO104.8K sh$507KBuyMay 26David F BaileyCEO31.5K sh$176K
+ 1 other (1 award) in window

See when $NAKA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 48-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NAKA announced a leadership Departure involving Certain Officers, who serves as Director. Item 5.02 mandates timely disclosure of executive and director transitions, which can significantly affect NAKA's strategic direction and investor confidence.

8-KMaterial eventJun 228-K — Item 4.01
AI summary

Delaware 001-42103 84-3829824 disclosed a change in auditor: dicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ *The registrant’s tradeable warrants trade over-the-counter on OTC Pink Market operated on the OTC Markets under the trading symbol “NAKAW”. Item 4.01 Changes in Registrant’s Certi.

8-KMaterial debt obligationJun 118-K — Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. disclosed on June 5, 2026, via its subsidiary Nakamoto Holdings Inc., the execution of a Restructured Loan Term Sheet with Kraken (Payward Interactive) under an existing Master Loan Agreement. The restructured facility is a fixed-term loan of 210,000,000 USDT principal, secured by 4,405 Bitcoin held in a Control Account and a Bitcoin yield strategy collateral account, both for Kraken's benefit. The December 2025 prior loan term sheet was superseded and deemed repaid, with the outstanding balance transferred to the new structure without actual currency movement. This is a material debt restructuring for a Bitcoin-focused company, with the BTC collateral concentration creating significant crypto-price exposure for the lender and the borrower.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 1SC 13D/A
AI summary

David Bailey (CEO of Nakamoto Inc.) filed Amendment No. 1 to his Schedule 13D updating his beneficial ownership in Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA). Insider updating ownership; Bailey is both the filing party and the company's CEO.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 228-K — Item 3.03 · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. expanded its Board from six to seven members and appointed Tyler Evans (Chief Investment Officer) as a Class II director effective May 21, 2026; Evans will not serve on committees and will not receive additional board compensation. Items 3.03 and 5.03 suggest concurrent amendments to governing documents (shareholder rights and/or articles of incorporation) whose details are beyond the visible excerpt. This is a governance expansion at a bitcoin-focused company, with Evans' dual CIO and director roles creating a minor related-party governance consideration.

8-KShareholder voteMay 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. held a Special Meeting on May 8, 2026 (502.3M of 690.0M shares represented). Stockholders approved a reverse stock split at a ratio between 1-for-20 and 1-for-50, with the exact ratio to be set by the Board at its sole discretion (488.5M for, 12.8M against, 918K abstain). This reverse split—reducing outstanding shares by at least 20x—is a significant capital structure event typically aimed at increasing per-share price to meet exchange listing requirements or improve institutional eligibility.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 78-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. adopted a revised director and officer indemnification agreement on May 4, 2026, approved by the Board, and entered into it with all current directors and officers. The new form supersedes the prior agreement and provides indemnification to the fullest extent permitted by Delaware law against losses and legal expenses in civil, criminal, administrative, or other proceedings. This is a routine governance maintenance item with no financial impact.

S-3/AShelf registrationApr 17S-3/A
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. filed Amendment No. 1 to its Form S-3 registration statement (Registration No. 333-294960) on April 17, 2026, updating its shelf registration for continuous or delayed securities offerings. The company is headquartered in Nashville, TN and led by CEO David Bailey. No specific offering amounts or security types are disclosed. This is one of two S-3 amendments filed by Nakamoto on the same day (the companion filing is Registration No. 333-294958).

+ 24 other (4 earnings 8-Ks · 4 POSASRs · 2 10-Qs · 2 EFFECTs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Nakamoto Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Resultsgurufocus.com·18d agoNakamoto Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Resultsbusinesswire.com·18d agoNakamoto Launches Intelligence 2027, a New Flagship Event for the AI Economybusinesswire.com·19d agoKindlyMD, Inc. (NASDAQ:NAKA) Receives $30.00 Consensus Target Price from Brokeragesdefenseworld.net·40d agoClear Street Executes First Bitcoin Depositary Receipt Trade Through Prime Brokerage Platformglobenewswire.com·69d ago

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