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MOMO

Altria Group, Inc.

$MO·$122B·Tobacco·Consumer Defensive
$74.81+2.6%YTD+26.4%1Y+24.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-21: 27 posts2026-07-22: 44 posts2026-07-23: 40 posts2026-07-24: 59 posts2026-07-25: 36 posts2026-07-26: 39 posts2026-07-27: 105 posts352+19%
Price updated 7m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
MOMO
$MOAltria Group, Inc.
$74.81+2.63%352 posts+19%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-28

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Altria reports Thursday at 88th-percentile-of-range on a 26% YTD run — the dividend compounder is finally getting the tape it deserves.

Altria is the parent of Philip Morris USA (Marlboro), plus a growing smokeless-tobacco and vaping portfolio (Njoy) and a large Anheuser-Busch InBev equity stake. It's up 26% YTD and sits in the 88th percentile of its 52-week range heading into Q2 earnings Thursday.

This is a classic defensive-compounder getting the momentum it usually doesn't:

  • The earnings power is stable with a real dividend cushion: quarterly EPS steady at $0.66-$1.41 across four quarters and revenue around $5.3-5.85B, consensus FY26 EPS of $5.69 growing to $5.89 in FY27 — this is what mid-single-digit compounding looks like with a 7%-plus dividend yield anchoring the equity.
  • The valuation supports the tape: 15x TTM P/E on a business that generates $20B+ in FY revenue with regulated pricing power — cheaper than the market, higher yield, and lower volatility than most consumer-defensive peers.
  • The context and setup are the wildcard: MO appearing in a top-scanner cluster alongside UNH, MPC, PSX, SJM, and HON is historically a rotational-caution signal — defensive names catching a bid usually says risk-off is coming, not that defensives themselves are broken.

Thursday's print is the near-term test. EPS beat with any reaffirmed FY guide and continued Njoy commentary extends the setup; a soft cigarette volume number and the 88th-percentile setup gives back. The bigger question is whether MO's momentum reflects the underlying compounder or the broader defensive-rotation flow — either way, the setup is real for now.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X read is right that MO is a nicotine juggernaut being bought alongside PM, BTI, and IMBBY — and the scanner-cluster observation about MO/UNH/MPC/HON is a legitimate rotational-caution signal that experienced traders should weigh. Agree on both the setup and the caveat.

What to watch: July 30 Q2 earnings — EPS vs $1.48 estimate, cigarette shipment volume (structural decline pace), Njoy vape revenue, FY guide reaffirmation, and any capital-return update. A clean beat with stable volume extends the ATH-adjacent setup; a volume miss triggers the give-back.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-27

Altria is discussed as a nicotine juggernaut alongside PM, BTI, and IMBBY. Some scanner concerns arise as MO appears alongside UNH, MPC, PSX, SJM, and HON as top scanner findings which historically signals rotational caution. Marlboro brand collab implication for a partnership.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operating across the United States through its subsidiaries, Altria Group, Inc. is a prominent manufacturer and marketer of both combustible and oral tobacco items. Its portfolio features cigarettes, primarily under the iconic Marlboro brand, alongside cigars and pipe tobacco mainly offered as Black & Mild. The enterprise further provides an assortment of moist smokeless tobacco products, including Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky, in addition to its on! brand of oral nicotine pouches. Altria distributes its merchandise chiefly to wholesale partners, such as independent distributors, and directly to substantial retail organizations, including major chain stores. The corporation, founded in 1822, maintains its principal offices in Richmond, Virginia.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Tobacco sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MO.

Tobacco · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — the market's trajectory under China's tightening e-cigarette regulations determines RLX's volume and pricing, while ISPR's OEM device technology for nicotine..

Top industry ETF

$XLPConsumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
+8.3%YTD
+5.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
15.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
33.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
50.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-255%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
67.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-7.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$1.32$1.25+5.6%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$1.30$1.32-1.5%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$1.45$1.44+0.7%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$1.44$1.39+3.6%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $1.48

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$5.4B+20.1%64.6%54.5%$1.30$2.2B
Q4 FY25$5.8B+14.5%62.1%28.2%$0.66$3.2B
Q3 FY25$5.3B-1.7%72.6%61.5%$1.41$3.0B
Q2 FY25$5.3B+0.2%72.8%61.1%$1.41$173.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$20.5B$20.5B – $20.6B$5.69$5.64 – $5.758
FY27$20.7B$20.5B – $20.9B$5.89$5.79 – $6.048
FY28$20.9B$20.8B – $20.9B$6.14$5.84 – $6.517
FY29$20.8B$20.7B – $21.0B$6.18$6.12 – $6.263
FY30$21.1B$21.0B – $21.3B$6.39$6.32 – $6.476

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.88%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+11.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 26Kelly Ennis Debra JDirector5.8K sh$418KSellMay 26Ellen R StrahlmanDirector2.0K sh$145KSellMar 5Charles N. WhitakerSVP, Chief HR Off. & CCO27.9K sh$1.9M
+ 31 other (22 awards · 7 inkinds · 1 exempt · 1 gift) in window

See when $MO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KOfficer or director changeJan 298-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 13 other (2 11-Ks · 2 10-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Altria Q2 Earnings Coming Up: What Should Investors Expect?zacks.com·1d agoForget Social Security: 5 Sleep-at-Night Dividend Stocks Retirees Are Using to Replace a Paycheck247wallst.com·1d agoCurious about Altria (MO) Q2 Performance? Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metricszacks.com·1d agoBuy 4 Barron's Better Bets (Than T-Bills) Out Of 11 'Safer' July DiviDogsseekingalpha.com·3d agoThe $2 Million Retirement Mistake: Confusing Yield With Income You Can Actually Spend247wallst.com·3d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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