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TickerTalks›$META
MEMETA

Meta Platforms, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 33% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (47.3K/wk), no spike
$META·$1.7T·Internet Content & Information·Communication Services
$640.39-3.6%YTD+0.3%1Y-5.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 17,858 posts2026-07-11: 2,810 posts2026-07-12: 4,832 posts2026-07-13: 7,505 posts2026-07-14: 6,059 posts2026-07-15: 3,948 posts2026-07-16: 2,510 posts47,296+15%
Price updated 3m ago·X counts updated 16h ago
MEMETA
$METAMeta Platforms, Inc.
$640.39-3.63%47k posts+15%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $META, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Mega-cap ad engine re-rating higher after Zuckerberg pivots back to X and Meta ships a fresh AI model.

Meta owns Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp and the ad-tech that runs them; everything else — AI, VR, data centers — earns its keep by making those ads better. After a rough spring the stock has ripped back through its 200-day moving average as Zuckerberg re-emerged on X and Meta shipped a new AI model.

Why the reversal has teeth:

  • Revenue grew 33% YoY to $56B last quarter and EPS beat estimates by 56% — the ad engine is compounding faster than a mega-cap this size should be able to.
  • Trades at 21x TTM earnings, roughly in line with the S&P — you're paying an average multiple for above-average growth, which is what makes the re-rating defensible rather than speculative.
  • A fresh $10-13B Alberta data center pushes Meta to 33 sites globally, and Zuckerberg has floated leasing spare compute — a real second revenue leg if the compute-lease business ships.
  • Insider activity is a light trickle (COO Olivan trimmed $4.4M, director Kimmitt $304K) — nothing that reads as a smart-money exit.

The July 29 print is where the re-rating either extends or unwinds: another beat with AI capex unchanged and the tape keeps running; a walked-back guide is where multiple compression finally hits. The teen-mental-health penalty headline is a live-but-old tail risk, not the swing factor here.

Agrees with X sentimentX bulls are right that this is a mega-cap re-rating, not a squeeze — the 200-day reclaim is backed by 33% revenue growth and a 56% EPS beat, and the Alberta build-out validates their AI-leverage read. The $1.4T teen-mental-health headline the bear camp is waving is old news at this scale.

What to watch: July 29 earnings — need Q2 revenue growth held above 25% and AI capex guide unchanged. A guide cut is where the re-rating unwinds and $650 becomes the round-trip target.

On the calendar: 2026-07-29 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment97 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

The dominant thread is a sharp sentiment reversal after Mark Zuckerberg broke a three-year silence on X and Meta released its Muse Spark 1.1 model, sending shares up more than 20% off recent lows and reclaiming the 200-day moving average. Bulls point to a fresh $10-13B AI data-center commitment in Alberta (Meta's 33rd globally), a BofA 'US 1' add, sub-22x forward P/E, and a potential compute-leasing business Zuckerberg described as 'quite interesting.' A smaller bear camp flags a headline $1.4T teen-mental-health penalty risk and reminds traders that the 200-day and July 29 earnings still loom as resistance.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $META

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Owns Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger for 3B+ users monetized via advertising, while investing in AR/VR through Reality Labs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Internet Content & Information sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $META.

Internet Content & Information · Communication Services

No material change from last week — AI-enhanced ad targeting sustains META and GOOGL digital advertising pricing while LLM-based search agents remain a medium-term displacement risk to search revenue. Digital advertising continues to outperform traditional media as brand budgets follow eyeballs to social and search platforms.

What this means for $META

Partial — Owns Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger for 3B+ users monetized via advertising, while investing in AR/VR through Reality Labs; the AI-enhanced digital advertising repricing is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Top industry ETF

$FDNFirst Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund
+0.9%YTD
+2.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
21.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
20.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
41.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
33.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
81.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$10.44$6.70+55.8%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$8.88$8.19+8.4%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$7.25$6.72+7.9%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$7.14$5.88+21.4%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $7.20

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$56.3B+33.1%81.9%40.6%$10.57$13.2B
Q4 FY25$59.9B+23.8%81.8%41.3%$9.03$14.8B
Q3 FY25$51.2B+26.2%82.0%40.1%$1.08$11.2B
Q2 FY25$47.5B+21.6%82.1%43.0%$7.28$9.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 44 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$252.9B$249.1B – $257.8B$32.89$30.70 – $35.6144
FY27$301.9B$294.2B – $317.2B$35.03$31.87 – $38.0944
FY28$351.8B$351.0B – $352.7B$40.38$34.83 – $46.4836
FY29$405.6B$388.4B – $423.0B$48.13$45.47 – $50.8018
FY30$465.1B$445.3B – $484.9B$56.43$53.31 – $59.5718

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.52%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+10.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+3.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.255-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 13Javier OlivanCOO2.1K sh$1.4MSellJul 6Javier OlivanCOO5.0K sh$3.0MSellJul 1Robert M KimmittDirector500 sh$304KSellJun 15Javier OlivanCOO1.2K sh$740KSellJun 1Robert M KimmittDirector504 sh$317KSellJun 1Javier OlivanCOO1.4K sh$871KSellMay 27Curtis J. MahoneyChief Legal Officer2.1K sh$1.3MSellMay 26Javier OlivanCOO1.4K sh$843KSellMay 18Andrew BosworthCTO1.2K sh$726KSellMay 18Javier OlivanCOO408 sh$249K
1–10 of 18
+ 25 other (13 awards · 6 exempts · 5 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $META insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Meta Platforms held its 2026 Annual Meeting via audio webcast on May 27, 2026 with 92.19% of combined voting power represented (1.758B Class A + 342M Class B shares). Shareholders voted on twelve proposals including election of all 12 board nominees, ratification of Ernst & Young, and ten shareholder proposals covering AI data oversight, executive pay advisory vote, dual-class capital structure reform, and voting disclosure by share class, among others. Routine governance event; shareholder proposals on dual-class elimination and executive pay are recurring activist items with expected management opposition.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 30S-3ASR
AI summary

META filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-04-30. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 148-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

META disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-14). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

3New insider — initial holdingsJan 223
3New insider — initial holdingsJan 203
+ 18 other (6 PX14A6Gs · 2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

The "Magnificent Seven" Are at Their Lowest Relative Valuations in a Decade. My 3 Favorite Mag 7 Stocks to Buy.fool.com·22h agoThe Russell 2000 Is Having Its Best Year in 23 Years. Here’s Why Small-Caps Are Winning Again247wallst.com·1d agoMeta Is Betting $50 Billion on AI Data Centers. Where Does The Stock Go From Here?247wallst.com·1d agoMeta Vs. Microsoft: Insider Selling Shows Meta's $1.4 Trillion Existential Crisis Worse Than Microsoft's Legal Woes247wallst.com·1d agoThe AI Revolution Is Reshaping Credit Markets — Here Is What It Really Says About Risk247wallst.com·1d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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