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MEMETA

Meta Platforms, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 33% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (8.7K/wk), no spike
$META·$1.5T·Internet Content & Information·Communication Services
$572.34-1.0%YTD-11.3%1Y-22.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 499 posts2026-08-23: 514 posts8,652+0%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
MEMETA
$METAMeta Platforms, Inc.
$572.34-0.98%8.7k posts+0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $META, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

The cheapest mega-cap in the market is trading like a broken story — earn or spend a trillion in the process, that's the actual choice.

Meta is Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and now the biggest AI capex spender on the planet. It's been de-rated hard on that spend and on a stack of legal overhangs, and now trades at multiples usually reserved for genuinely-broken names — which this business plainly isn't.

  • The valuation gap is real: at roughly 17-18x forward earnings and 21x trailing, this is the cheapest of the mega-caps, with a 41% operating margin and a 33% return on equity most of the tape can only dream about.
  • Growth is holding well above the price tag: Q1 revenue grew 33% year-over-year to $56B and analysts still model $250B+ this year — not the shape of a business that deserves a 12% year-to-date decline while sitting in the bottom fifth of its 52-week range.
  • The near-term overhangs are load-bearing, not fatal: the $17.1B state settlement takes real headline risk off the table, and the antitrust trial's theoretical $1.4T exposure is a discount rate on legal risk, not a base case anyone should model.
  • The honest problem is cash: free cash flow is down 91% year-over-year as datacenters and custom silicon get built, and until the AI spend clearly earns its cost of capital, buyers get paid to wait but not to celebrate.

The path forward is unglamorous — earnings keep printing, buybacks keep shrinking the share count, and the multiple re-rates as the market accepts the AI capex is a durable investment cycle rather than a burn. What restarts the move is the Oct 28 Q3 print showing a dollar linkage between capex and ad-revenue lift; what confirms the de-rating is another quarter where FCF stays crushed and legal noise keeps compounding.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take — cheapest mega-cap at 17-18x forward, 3.6B daily users, an active buyback and the state settlement clearing an overhang — is directionally right on the math; where we'd push back is the confidence, because with FCF down 91% year-over-year on AI capex, the re-rating needs the spend to earn its cost of capital, not just cheap headline multiples.

What to watch: The Oct 28 Q3 print — specifically any dollar guide on how AI capex converts to ad-revenue lift, and whether FCF starts recovering. That's the number that either restarts the multiple re-rating or confirms the market's 'expensive to hold' view.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment186 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Bulls dominate: threads frame META as 'the most undervalued high-quality company in the market' at ~17-18x forward P/E, with the $16.7B state settlement reframed as a 'nothing burger' spread over ten years. Catalysts include the 'Hatch' consumer AI agent, the 'Watermelon' model launch, datacenter robots, a rumored $10B/year Anthropic spend, and potential AMD warrants. Bears flag FCF down 91% YoY, meme-stock price action, and capex sprawl.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $META

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Owns Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger for 3B+ users monetized via advertising, while investing in AR/VR through Reality Labs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Internet Content & Information sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $META.

Internet Content & Information · Communication Services

Digital advertising spend is recovering as macro visibility improves; AI-driven ad targeting improvements are lifting CPMs at the major platforms. Regulatory pressure (antitrust, data privacy) is the persistent overhang on the largest names.

What this means for $META

Partial — software subscription economics provide some insulation from macro cycles; AI integration is the growth catalyst for this segment; Meta Platforms Inc.

Top industry ETF

$FDNFirst Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund
+6.4%YTD
+6.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
21.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
20.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
41.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
33.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
81.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$6.18$7.19-14.0%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$10.44$6.70+55.8%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$8.88$8.19+8.4%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$1.05$6.72-84.4%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $6.75

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$56.3B+33.1%81.9%40.6%$10.57$13.2B
Q4 FY25$59.9B+23.8%81.8%41.3%$9.03$14.8B
Q3 FY25$51.2B+26.2%82.0%40.1%$1.08$11.2B
Q2 FY25$47.5B+21.6%82.1%43.0%$7.28$9.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 44 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$253.8B$249.8B – $258.5B$32.25$30.03 – $35.0538
FY27$304.2B$295.6B – $318.6B$34.51$30.75 – $37.5644
FY28$358.7B$321.2B – $455.0B$39.93$29.70 – $59.4439
FY29$428.6B$407.1B – $480.0B$50.44$47.16 – $58.3138
FY30$467.7B$444.2B – $523.8B$54.91$51.33 – $63.4819

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.19%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-8.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.245-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 18Curtis J. MahoneyChief Legal Officer1.6K sh$870KSellAug 18Susan J LiCFO9.2K sh$5.1MSellAug 18Andrew BosworthCTO7.8K sh$4.4MSellAug 15Susan J LiCFO2.1K sh$1.5MSellAug 10Javier OlivanCOO1.5K sh$918KSellAug 4Marc L AndreessenDirector426 sh$251KSellAug 3Robert M KimmittDirector500 sh$281KSellJul 31Peggy AlfordDirector464 sh$252KSellJul 27Javier OlivanCOO1.4K sh$841KSellJul 20Javier OlivanCOO1.4K sh$894K
1–10 of 28
+ 38 other (13 awards · 12 exempts · 9 inkinds · 2 conversions · 2 gifts) in window

See when $META insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Meta Platforms held its 2026 Annual Meeting via audio webcast on May 27, 2026 with 92.19% of combined voting power represented (1.758B Class A + 342M Class B shares). Shareholders voted on twelve proposals including election of all 12 board nominees, ratification of Ernst & Young, and ten shareholder proposals covering AI data oversight, executive pay advisory vote, dual-class capital structure reform, and voting disclosure by share class, among others. Routine governance event; shareholder proposals on dual-class elimination and executive pay are recurring activist items with expected management opposition.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 30S-3ASR
AI summary

META filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-04-30. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 148-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

META disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-14). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 18 other (6 PX14A6Gs · 3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Thatcher: NVDA AI "Tentpole," META & MU New Value Stocks, SPCX Long-Term Buyyoutube.com·12h agoColorado AG: Meta lawsuit's most important takeaway is the change in behavior, not moneyyoutube.com·13h agoMeta's stock looks too cheap, analysts say. Why it's now set up for a Google-style rally.marketwatch.com·14h agoNetflix vs. Meta: The Better Media Stock May Surprise You247wallst.com·15h agoRedfin fills CEO role with former Meta VP Alessio Sanfilippo after acquisition by Rocketgeekwire.com·16h ago

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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