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LWLW

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

$LW·$6.8B·Packaged Foods·Consumer Defensive
$53.11+7.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-20: 2 posts2026-07-21: 5 posts2026-07-22: 5 posts2026-07-23: 17 posts2026-07-24: 41 posts2026-07-25: 10 posts2026-07-26: 3 posts83
Price updated 53m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
LWLW
$LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$53.11+7.12%83 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LW, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-26

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Lamb Weston just crushed Q4 (7/24) — volume +7% YoY, EPS $0.87 vs $0.626 estimate, the frozen-fries turnaround is landing.

Lamb Weston Holdings is the largest US supplier of frozen potato products (fries, hash browns) to restaurants and retail — a business that had a rough 18 months on manufacturing issues and demand softness but is now printing above expectations. This week's Q4 fiscal print was a genuine turnaround-confirming beat.

The setup is a real business inflecting on volume and margin:

  • Q4 was clearly better: EPS $0.87 crushed $0.626 (39% surprise) with volume +7% YoY — the last three EPS prints all beat by 7-39%, showing the turnaround is compounding.
  • Revenue growth is stabilizing: Q4 revenue grew 5.6% YoY to $1.77B with a 20% gross margin and 9.5% operating margin — meaning the operational-leverage is finally showing after the manufacturing-issue recovery.
  • The Seeking Alpha framing is mixed but leaning positive: 'Turnaround is advancing despite mounting headwinds' (7/25) balanced against 'Passing the bottom, but challenges remain (Downgrade)' — the operational story is real, the tape reaction just has to price it in.

At 41% of the 52-week range and 11% above the 50-day, this is accelerating on the print. Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings on 9/30 is the next referee — continued volume growth plus a pricing-recovery commentary keeps the turnaround trade going; a soft QSR-customer-demand comment or a continued margin-compression signal cools the trade despite the Q4 beat.

What to watch: 9/30 Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings — continued volume growth plus pricing-recovery commentary keeps the turnaround trade going; a soft QSR-customer-demand comment or continued margin-compression signal cools the trade.

On the calendar: 2026-09-30 — Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. is a prominent global entity specializing in the manufacturing, distribution, and sale of enhanced frozen potato items. Its operations are structured across four distinct segments: Global, Foodservice, Retail, and Other. The company's product portfolio encompasses frozen potatoes, various commercial ingredients, and appetizers. These are offered both under its flagship "Lamb Weston" brand and tailored to numerous customer labels. Furthermore, the company leverages its proprietary brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, alongside other licensed trademarks and private label brands for retailers. Beyond potatoes, Lamb Weston also maintains interests in the vegetable and dairy sectors. Its extensive client base includes both retail and foodservice channels, ranging from major grocery chains, mass merchandisers, club stores, and specialty retailers to diverse businesses, educational institutions, independent and regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores. Established in 1950, the corporation maintains its principal executive offices in Eagle, Idaho.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Packaged Foods sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LW.

Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — WEST's private-label coffee co-packing benefits from consumer switching from branded to value coffee, while DAR's food waste conversion to bio-based..

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
+16.4%YTD
-0.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
23.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
9.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
20.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 24, 2026$0.87$0.63+39.0%
Q1 2026Apr 1, 2026$0.72$0.63+15.0%
Q3 2025Dec 19, 2025$0.69$0.64+7.1%
Q2 2025Sep 30, 2025$0.74$0.55+35.8%
Next earningsWed, Sep 30·consensus EPS $0.62

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$1.8B+5.6%20.4%9.5%$0.80—
Q3 FY26$1.6B+2.9%21.2%8.1%$0.39$-36.3M
Q2 FY26$1.6B+1.1%20.0%8.6%$0.45$101.0M
Q1 FY26$1.7B+0.3%20.6%9.4%$0.46$274.4M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$6.5B$6.5B – $6.6B$2.77$2.67 – $3.199
FY27$6.3B$6.2B – $6.4B$2.89$2.50 – $3.589
FY28$6.5B$6.4B – $6.6B$3.26$2.88 – $3.587
FY29$6.7B$6.6B – $6.7B$3.51$3.39 – $3.643
FY30$7.0B$6.9B – $7.1B$4.00$3.90 – $4.112

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.3.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.41%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+11.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+2.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β0.465-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyMay 11James D GrayCFO10.0K sh$409KBuyApr 27James D GrayCFO4.6K sh$200KBuyApr 15Jana Partners Management, LpSee Remarks50.0K sh$2.2MBuyApr 13Jana Partners Management, LpSee Remarks100.0K sh$4.2MBuyApr 8Jana Partners Management, LpSee Remarks100.0K sh$4.1MBuyApr 7Jana Partners Management, LpSee Remarks136.0K sh$5.6MBuyApr 7Norman PrestageDirector2.5K sh$104KBuyApr 6Peter J BensenDirector5.0K sh$197KBuyFeb 6Craps Jan Eli BChair50.0K sh$2.4M
+ 20 other (13 awards · 7 inkinds) in window

See when $LW insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Lamb Weston Q4 Earnings Call Highlightsdefenseworld.net·2d agoLamb Weston: The Turnaround Is Advancing Despite Mounting Headwindsseekingalpha.com·3d agoLamb Weston: Passing The Bottom, But Challenges Remain (Downgrade)seekingalpha.com·3d agoLamb Weston's Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Volume Rises 7% Y/Yzacks.com·3d agoLamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·3d ago

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