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TickerTalks›$KHC
KHKHC

The Kraft Heinz Company

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 1% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (117/wk), no spike
$KHC·$30B·Packaged Foods·Consumer Defensive
$25.38+3.5%YTD+9.7%1Y-9.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-06: 27 posts2026-08-07: 17 posts2026-08-08: 5 posts2026-08-09: 9 posts2026-08-10: 20 posts2026-08-11: 26 posts2026-08-12: 11 posts117-4%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
KHKHC
$KHCThe Kraft Heinz Company
$25.38+3.47%117 posts-4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $KHC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-14

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Packaged-food defensive at ~6% dividend yield with 123% FCF conversion — the raised guide still assumes revenue contraction.

Kraft Heinz is the packaged-foods giant whose Q2 print delivered a modest beat and a raised (still-negative) organic-sales guide — a set of numbers consistent with the "defensively-cheap, structurally-challenged" framing that has kept the stock at a 6% dividend yield.

  • The Q2 print was a small beat: adjusted EPS of $0.56 beat the $0.53 estimate, and management raised FY26 organic-sales guidance to -0.5% to -2% — the raise is directional but still assumes revenue contraction, so the "beat" is measured against a lowered bar.
  • The FCF math is the load-bearing bull case: $1.7B YTD free cash flow at 123% of adjusted net income represents genuine cash conversion — the specific level that funds the ~6% dividend yield and keeps the "cushioned hold" framing defensible.
  • The bear thesis is real: food companies feeling "uninvestable" amid ongoing inflation pressure plus recurring asset write-downs collectively suggest structural equity-value erosion — the specific reason KHC trades at a discount to peer packaged-goods multiples.
  • The chart is quietly stable: shares sit at 61% of the 52-week range, above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, on 88% of average volume — the specific pattern of a defensive-yield name accumulating on dividend rotation.

Coming into Nov 4 earnings, the tape needs continued organic-sales-decline moderation, sustained FCF conversion, and any private-label competition or M&A commentary. A clean beat plus dividend reaffirmation extends the compounding trend; another asset write-down or organic-sales-guide cut is what would compress even the 6% dividend-yield floor.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree the read is mixed. Bulls have the $1.7B YTD FCF, ~6% dividend yield, and DDM-cushion math on their side. Bears have the real structural concern (food-company inflation pressure, recurring asset write-downs suggesting equity-value erosion) that no dividend-yield floor entirely offsets.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — continued organic-sales-decline moderation, sustained FCF conversion, and any private-label competition or M&A commentary. Another asset write-down or organic-sales-guide cut compresses even the 6% dividend-yield floor.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment10 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-12

Kraft Heinz posted a Q2 EPS beat ($0.56 vs $0.53), raised its FY26 organic sales guidance to -0.5% to -2%, and continues to convert cash strongly with $1.7B YTD FCF (123% of adj net income). Longs frame the ~6% dividend yield and $34 DDM value versus a $26.5 tape as a cushioned hold-or-accumulate story. Skeptics note food companies feel uninvestable amid inflation and question whether asset write-downs signal structurally weak equity value.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $KHC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Global food and beverage company selling branded condiments, sauces, and packaged foods including Heinz ketchup and Kraft cheese globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Packaged Foods sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KHC.

Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — WEST's private-label coffee co-packing benefits from consumer switching from branded to value coffee, while DAR's food waste conversion to bio-based..

What this means for $KHC

Partial — Global food and beverage company selling branded condiments, sauces, and packaged foods including Heinz ketchup and Kraft cheese globally; partial earnings exposure to packaged foods demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
+13.2%YTD
+16.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-5.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-6.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-19.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
13.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-13.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
33.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.56$0.54+3.5%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.58$0.50+15.8%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$0.67$0.61+9.8%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.61$0.58+4.6%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $0.44

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$6.0B+0.8%34.4%17.8%$0.67$766.0M
Q4 FY25$6.4B-3.4%32.6%17.1%$0.55$1.2B
Q3 FY25$6.2B-2.3%31.9%16.4%$0.52$986.0M
Q2 FY25$6.4B-1.9%34.4%-126%$-6.58$1.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$24.5B$24.2B – $24.6B$2.06$2.03 – $2.1314
FY27$24.6B$24.2B – $25.0B$2.08$1.97 – $2.3614
FY28$24.9B$24.6B – $25.2B$2.17$1.94 – $2.5712
FY29$25.0B$24.7B – $25.3B$2.20$2.17 – $2.247
FY30$25.1B$24.8B – $25.4B$2.25$2.22 – $2.2911

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.61%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+2.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.085-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 18Diana FrostGlbl Chief Growth Officer18.5K sh$427KBuyMay 12Steven A CahillaneCEO213.1K sh$5.0MSellMar 3Cory OnellChief Omnich Sales & AEM Ofcr5.0K sh$121KSellMar 2Cory OnellChief Omnich Sales & AEM Ofcr9.0K sh$223K
+ 26 other (19 awards · 7 inkinds) in window

See when $KHC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KCharter amendmentJul 278-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment
AI summary

Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) amended and restated its bylaws on July 31, 2026, making several procedural changes: clarifying board authority to postpone/cancel stockholder meetings; revising quorum definition to a majority-in-voting-power standard; enhancing advance notice requirements for stockholder proposals and director nominations (including new mandatory disclosures about derivative instruments, short positions, and affiliates). The changes tighten procedural requirements for shareholder activism and provide the board with clearer authority over meeting logistics — consistent with a defensive governance posture.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 88-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementMay 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Kraft Heinz Foods Company (fully guaranteed by Kraft Heinz) issued EUR 500M of 3.500% Senior Notes due 2031 and EUR 500M of 3.950% Senior Notes due 2034 (totaling EUR 1B) on May 21, 2026. EUR 1B dual-tranche senior note issuance diversifying KHC's funding sources across the European bond market.

8-KShareholder voteMay 198-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Kraft Heinz's 2026 Annual Meeting results: all 10 director nominees elected for one-year terms (John Cahill and John Pope received elevated withhold votes of ~38.5M and ~26.9M respectively). Advisory executive compensation vote also held. Routine annual meeting with mildly elevated withhold votes against two long-tenured directors.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Kraft Heinz Foods Company commenced a cash tender offer on May 7, 2026 to purchase up to $1.1B aggregate purchase price of its 4.375% Senior Notes due 2046 and 4.875% Senior Notes due 2049, funded by proceeds from a concurrent new notes offering. Large debt management tender offer targeting long-duration legacy notes.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 7424B5
AI summary

Kraft Heinz Foods Company filed a preliminary prospectus supplement for a dual-tranche EUR-denominated senior notes offering with all terms blank. Preliminary filing preceding the final EUR 1B (3.500% due 2031 / 3.950% due 2034) issuance.

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Apr 3SC 13D
+ 17 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Prediction: 3 Dividend Stocks That Will Cut Their Payouts Within the Next 3 Yearsfool.com·3d agoKraft Heinz Company $KHC Shares Sold by Empowered Funds LLCdefenseworld.net·5d agoKraft Heinz Company $KHC Shares Sold by Bank of America Corp DEdefenseworld.net·5d agoKraft Heinz: Why A Smart Strategy Still May Not Workseekingalpha.com·8d ago3 Big Dividends and One Case Study in How a Yield Trap Ends247wallst.com·8d ago

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Voices on X · top 2 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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