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LELEN

Lennar Corporation

$LEN·$21B·Residential Construction·Consumer Cyclical
$85.04+0.5%YTD-17.8%1Y-25.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-20: 3 posts2026-07-21: 11 posts2026-07-22: 8 posts2026-07-23: 12 posts2026-07-24: 12 posts2026-07-25: 6 posts2026-07-26: 1 posts54+28%
Price updated 8m ago·X counts updated 22h ago
LELEN
$LENLennar Corporation
$85.04+0.47%54 posts+28%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LEN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-26

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Lennar is down 25% over 12 months at 7% of 52-week range — Q2 met estimates but the technical breakdown is the whole story.

Lennar Corporation is one of the largest US homebuilders — entry-level to move-up single-family homes, plus multifamily and financial-services. Down 25% over 12 months and 18% YTD at 7% of the 52-week range, this is a broken-tape homebuilder testing whether the rate-and-affordability drag has a floor.

The setup is a real business in a structural downcycle:

  • Revenue is contracting: Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue was down 5% YoY at $7.94B with negative gross margin (-4.9% from write-downs) — the Q3 EPS $1.23 met estimates and the last four prints have been mostly in-line or small misses.
  • The COO transition is signal: Jim Parker appointed COO effective 6/5 (from Area President East) — that's internal-succession but signals ongoing operational restructuring during the down-cycle.
  • The insider tape is neutral: 8 director A-Awards on 7/10 (small dollar amounts), no distribution cluster — normal for a mega-cap navigating a tough patch.

At 7% of the 52-week range and 19% below the 200-day, the tape is breaking down through every prior support. Q4 fiscal earnings on 9/17 is the referee — a comp-orders stabilization plus a rate-driven mortgage-demand recovery commentary restarts a bounce; another quarter of orders contraction plus a lot-cost-margin-squeeze extends the down-drift despite the MS mortgage-AI tailwind narrative.

Agrees with X sentimentX is right on the technical breakdown ('looks sick — about to start next leg lower'), the year-low print, the 2022-low $60 measured-move framing, and the 3-year topping-process concerns. The MS AI-transformation-of-mortgage bull framing is aspirational — the near-term is really about the rate-and-affordability drag.

What to watch: 9/17 Q4 fiscal earnings — a comp-orders stabilization plus rate-driven mortgage-demand recovery commentary restarts a bounce; another quarter of orders contraction plus lot-cost-margin-squeeze extends the down-drift.

On the calendar: 2026-09-17 — Q4 fiscal earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-25

Lennar 'looks sick — about to start next leg lower' with the stock hitting new lows for the year. Bears see LEN nowhere since October 2020 with measured moves initially to 2022 lows around $60, and a scarier chart with a 3-year topping process counting down further. Bulls note Morgan Stanley calls AI transformation of the $14T US mortgage market bullish for LEN/RKT/DHI/OPEN. Some traders fade Buffett (short LEN) as a contrarian signal. Direction is bearish on the technical breakdown despite the mortgage-AI tailwind narrative.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $LEN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

One of the largest US homebuilders constructing single-family homes across price points with an integrated financial services segment.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Residential Construction sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LEN.

Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Affordability compression at 7%+ mortgage rates is the structural headwind, but Lennar's Q2 beat on cost discipline confirms builders can maintain earnings..

What this means for $LEN

Partial — One of the largest US homebuilders constructing single-family homes across price points with an integrated financial services segment; partial earnings exposure to residential construction demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$ITBiShares U.S. Home Construction ETF
+0.4%YTD
-2.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
11.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
11.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
6.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
11.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
5.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 11, 2026$1.24$1.240.0%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$0.93$0.95-2.4%
Q3 2025Dec 16, 2025$1.93$2.21-12.7%
Q2 2025Sep 18, 2025$2.00$2.10-4.8%
Next earningsThu, Sep 17·consensus EPS $1.31

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$7.9B-5.2%-4.9%7.9%$1.23—
Q1 FY26$6.6B-13.3%5.9%3.5%$0.94$-358.5M
Q4 FY25$9.4B-5.8%8.9%7.1%$1.93$1.7B
Q3 FY25$8.8B-6.4%10.1%8.2%$2.29$-190.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$32.3B$31.9B – $32.8B$5.50$5.31 – $5.797
FY27$33.3B$31.9B – $35.5B$6.51$5.84 – $7.947
FY28$34.7B$31.8B – $38.5B$7.95$5.03 – $10.825

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.7%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-18.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 206.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.395-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 35 other (28 awards · 4 inkinds · 2 returns · 1 gift) in window

See when $LEN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Lennar Corporation disclosed under Reg FD (Item 7.01) on June 12, 2026 that management posted an investor presentation on investors.lennar.com for use in ongoing investor meetings and presentations. The presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and not deemed filed for Exchange Act liability purposes. Routine investor relations disclosure — no specific financial results, guidance, or material corporate actions are described in the filing body.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Lennar Corporation (LEN) appointed Jim Parker as Chief Operating Officer, effective June 5, 2026. Parker, 56, has 30+ years of homebuilding experience, most recently as Lennar's Area President leading East operations since December 2025, and previously as Regional President from 2019-2025 (and at CalAtlantic, Ryland, and other homebuilders). In connection with his appointment, his annual cash incentive target was raised to $5,750,000. This is a senior leadership elevation within Lennar's existing bench, signaling operational continuity and succession planning rather than an external hire.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 113
AI summary

James David Grove, an Area President officer of Lennar Corp, filed a Form 3 initial statement of beneficial ownership on May 11, 2026, effective May 1, 2026. Grove directly owns 63,131 shares of Lennar Class A Common Stock and 150 shares of Class B Common Stock. This is a routine insider disclosure required upon Grove’s appointment or designation as a reporting person under Section 16(a) — administrative in nature with no impact on company operations.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 113
AI summary

James Buchanan Parker Jr., an Area President officer of Lennar Corp, filed a Form 3 initial statement of beneficial ownership on May 11, 2026, effective May 1, 2026. Parker directly owns 66,094 shares of Lennar Class A Common Stock and 231 shares of Class B Common Stock. This is a routine insider disclosure required upon Parker’s designation as a reporting person under Section 16(a) — administrative in nature with no impact on company operations.

8-KShareholder voteApr 138-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 10S-3ASR
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentFeb 19SC 13D/A
+ 14 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Fs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

3 New Analyst Picks for the Third Quarter of 2026youtube.com·5d agoBoxabl Disrupts Housing With A Tiny Float IPOmarketbeat.com·5d agoCalifornia Public Employees Retirement System Acquires 7,103 Shares of Lennar Corporation $LENdefenseworld.net·6d ago3 Stocks Smart Investors Are Buying in July247wallst.com·11d agoLandmark Housing Affordability Bill Becomes Law: ETFs in Focuszacks.com·14d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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