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LDLDOS

Leidos Holdings, Inc.

$LDOS·$13B·Information Technology Services·Technology
$107.33+0.7%YTD-40.7%1Y-34.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-07: 8 posts2026-07-08: 26 posts2026-07-09: 65 posts2026-07-10: 88 posts2026-07-11: 26 posts2026-07-12: 62 posts2026-07-13: 79 posts354+13%
Price updated 5m ago·X counts updated 20h ago
LDLDOS
$LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.
$107.33+0.70%354 posts+13%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LDOS, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-07-13

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Leidos at 11x PE with an 11.9% cash yield — the defense-IT name that everyone hates.

Leidos Holdings is the largest US IT-services-to-government contractor, with material exposure to intelligence-community IT, defense-space systems, and the transitional MHS Genesis healthcare-IT business. This year the stock is down 40% YTD, but the fundamentals suggest the tape has gone too far.

Where the setup sits:

  • The business is generating exceptional cash: Q1 revenue grew 3.7% year over year to $4.4B with 17% gross margins and 12% operating margins — modest growth for defense IT, but the 11.9% free-cash-flow yield on a $13.5B market cap is exceptional and supports both the dividend and continued buybacks.
  • The strategic transition is real: Leidos framed as 'transitioning from IT Middleman to Defense Prime' with the MHS Genesis decoupling and DHA revenue headwinds — the $2.7B in Hypersonic and Missile contracts are the specific offset that starts to reflect in the growth trajectory over the next several quarters.
  • The tape is at true capitulation: 7.6th percentile 52-week range, 12% below the 50-day, 35% below the 200-day, volume 58% of 30-day — that alignment reflects institutional exit; the community's 'unbelievably despised and hated sector' framing captures the sentiment honestly.

August 4 earnings needs Defense Systems revenue growth to accelerate AND commentary on the MHS Genesis decoupling timeline to break the stall upward; another quarter of DHA-related revenue headwind with no offsetting Defense-Prime win is what would confirm the drift extends. This is a rare value setup — 11x PE, 12% FCF yield, and a real strategic pivot — the tape just has to stop selling.

Agrees with X sentimentThe small bullish crowd (5 posts) is aligned on the Fibonacci-and-psychological support hold at $100, the IT-to-Defense-Prime transition, and the $2.7B hypersonic contracts — all directly supported by the fundamentals. Clean value-with-catalyst read.

What to watch: August 4 earnings — Defense Systems revenue growth, MHS Genesis decoupling timeline, and hypersonic-contract revenue-recognition pace. Another DHA revenue headwind quarter is what would confirm the stall extends.

On the calendar: 2026-08-04 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-29

Leidos hit the Fibonacci and psychological support of $100 today - 'the last time it traded at this price was November 13, 2023.' Posters note 'an unbelievably despised and hated sector' with AMTM under $20, BAH under $60, LDOS under $100. LDOS is 'transitioning from IT Middleman to Defense Prime' with MHS Genesis decoupling and DHA revenue headwinds, plus the $2.7B Hypersonic and Missile contracts. The nice hammer day-chart recovery was confirmed. Tone is bullish on the deep-value defense IT setup.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $LDOS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Provides IT modernization, engineering, and digital transformation services to US federal agencies including DoD and VA.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Information Technology Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LDOS.

Information Technology Services · Technology

No material change from last week — SAIC, CACI, and LDOS benefit from multi-year DoD AI production contracts converting from pilots to deployed systems.

What this means for $LDOS

Direct beneficiary — Provides IT modernization, engineering, and digital transformation services to US federal agencies including DoD and VA; primary revenue lines track directly to the DoD AI production contract conversions driving multi-year IT backlog.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.9%YTD
-15.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
11.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
12.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
29.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
17.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$3.13$2.90+7.9%
Q4 2025Feb 17, 2026$2.76$2.61+5.7%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$3.05$2.71+12.5%
Q2 2025Aug 5, 2025$3.21$2.66+20.7%
Next earningsTue, Aug 4·consensus EPS $2.91

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.4B+3.7%17.3%11.5%$2.60$270.0M
Q4 FY25$4.2B-3.6%16.0%11.2%$2.53$452.0M
Q3 FY25$4.5B+6.7%18.4%12.0%$2.87$680.0M
Q2 FY25$4.3B+2.9%18.4%13.4%$3.03$457.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$17.3B$17.2B – $17.3B$11.84$11.57 – $12.039
FY27$18.2B$18.2B – $18.4B$12.33$12.14 – $12.4511
FY28$19.1B$19.0B – $19.2B$13.12$12.82 – $13.3611
FY29$20.0B$20.0B – $20.0B$14.52$12.79 – $15.719

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.7%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-11.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-35.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 124.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.555-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 7May Gary StephenDirector1.5K sh$197KSellApr 7Elizabeth A PorterPresident2.0K sh$318K
+ 40 other (28 awards · 10 inkinds · 2 exempts) in window

See when $LDOS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 68-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

LDOS disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-06). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

LDOS entered into a purchase agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-04-15). Counterparty: Leidos solely for certain limited purposes set forth therein, with certain affil. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

8-KAcquisition completedMar 308-K — Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

LDOS filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-03-30. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 38-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationFeb 19S-3ASR
8-KMaterial agreementFeb 178-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 178-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementJan 268-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 10 other (2 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 11-K · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

SpaceX Gets All the Attention, but These 3 Under-the-Radar Defense Stocks Have Stronger Fundamentalsfool.com·1d agoLeidos and Rune accelerate AI-enabled logistics to support Indo-Pacific military operationsprnewswire.com·5d agoLeidos (LDOS) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Knowzacks.com·6d agoLeidos Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call for August 4, 2026, at 8 a.m. (ET)prnewswire.com·7d agoWill Leidos (LDOS) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?zacks.com·8d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureDefense & Drones

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Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

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