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KDKDK

Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock

$KDK·$323M·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$1.41-11.3%YTD-84.5%1Y-82.1%
Price updated 8m ago·X counts updated 5d ago
KDKDK
$KDKKodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock
$1.41-11.32%77 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $KDK on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

77X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $KDK's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 61% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-09

Kodiak's driverless-long-haul safety-case completeness climbed from 91% in July to 93% at end of August — on track for a year-end launch. Bulls frame it as a $TXT-adjacent Aurora-style bet with War Department backing. The stock hit a new low today anyway; Cathie Wood's favorite is still a contrarian pick.

Read what X is saying about $KDK

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $KDK — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Too early to tellWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Kodiak at 0.6% of its range after an 85% YTD drawdown — the driverless launch is the catalyst, cash is the question.

Kodiak AI is a developer of driverless-long-haul trucking technology — Dallas-Houston as the named launch lane, AWS as the cloud partner, War Department funding as a specific capital tailwind. The 2026 drawdown reflects general autonomous-vehicle skepticism plus Kodiak-specific execution concerns.

  • The P&L is literally pre-commercial: Q2 revenue was $1.83M (up 24% YoY off a tiny base) at a -2,068% operating margin and EPS of $0.15 (which reflects non-cash accounting rather than cash operations), with the trailing EPS surprise of -187% being the type of swing that happens when revenue is small.
  • The operational milestones are specific: safety-case completeness climbing from 91% in July to 93% at end of August with a year-end driverless launch targeted, plus Autonomous deliveries completed under the California DMV permit — these are concrete steps toward commercialization.

At 0.6% of 52-week range, 76% below the 200-day, and volume at 3.1x average going into Nov 11 earnings, this is a classic autonomous-vehicle microcap-at-floor coil. A dated commercial-service launch disclosure plus named Pentagon or shipper customer is the trigger; another cash-burn surprise or safety-case setback is the invalidation.

Agrees with X sentimentThe 'contrarian Cathie Wood pick' plus 'Aurora-style bet with War Department backing' framing captures the real setup — this is a leveraged-optionality trade on autonomous-trucking commercialization, not a current-earnings story.

What to watch: Nov 11 Q3 earnings — safety-case completeness, driverless-launch date, cash runway, and any named shipper or Pentagon customer. Launch date plus named customer is the trigger; cash-burn surprise is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-11 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dautonomous trucking

Read the AI verdict on $KDK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Provides AI-powered ground autonomy software for unmanned military vehicles and defense robotics programs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KDK.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

No material change from last week — AI infrastructure capex bifurcates the cohort — GPU-cloud providers and AI-native security platforms absorbing enterprise spend, while legacy SaaS faces multiple compression. GPU-cloud platforms and AI-native security tools absorb enterprise spend while legacy SaaS faces multiple compression.

What this means for $KDK

Partial — Provides AI-powered ground autonomy software for unmanned military vehicles and defense robotics programs.; AI infrastructure capex bifurcates the cohort; exposure depends on workload alignment with GPU-cloud and AI-native security architectures.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
+4.2%YTD
-3.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-2.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-111%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-31.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-14.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
282.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
305%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-330%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-2.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$-0.50$-0.17-187.0%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.10$-0.20+150.0%
Q4 2025Mar 10, 2026$-0.42$-0.16-162.5%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-3.89$-0.16-2331.3%
Next earningsWed, Nov 11·consensus EPS $-0.25

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.8M+24.4%-354%-2068%$0.15$-35.0M
Q4 FY25$1.1M-85.1%-723%-3676%$-0.42$-34.4M
Q3 FY25$770K-89.1%-16.9%-3892%$-3.89$-80.0M
Q2 FY25$503K+24.2%100%-5039%$-0.71$-23.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$11.1M$10.2M – $13.2M-$0.57-$0.59 – -$0.556
FY27$32.3M$23.4M – $46.6M-$0.85-$0.96 – -$0.736
FY28$143.5M$139.3M – $147.8M-$0.65-$0.91 – -$0.345
FY29$450.6M$338.4M – $599.0M-$0.11-$0.16 – -$0.082
FY30$838.9M$630.2M – $1.1B$0.72$0.48 – $1.022

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-50.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-75.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 122.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.425-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 13 other (12 awards · 1 return) in window

See when $KDK insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Kodiak AI's Compensation Committee increased CEO Don Burnette's base salary from $425,000 to $525,000 and raised his annual bonus opportunity from 80% to 100% of base salary; CFO Surajit Datta and COO Michael Wiesinger also received compensation adjustments following an independent consultant review. Routine executive compensation housekeeping with no structural leadership change.

8-KShareholder voteJun 158-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

KDK filed an 8-K Item 5.07 on June 15, 2026 reporting annual meeting vote results. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before vote tallies are disclosed.

S-1Initial registrationMay 29S-1
AI summary

Kodiak AI, Inc. (ticker KDK, formerly AACT) filed an S-1 amendment describing its September 24, 2025 completion of a business combination with Legacy Kodiak Gas Services via a SPAC merger. AACT domesticated from Cayman Islands to Delaware, renamed to 'Kodiak AI, Inc.,' and the SPAC merged with Legacy Kodiak, with Legacy Kodiak surviving as a wholly owned subsidiary. SPAC public warrants were adjusted to an exercise price of $9.28 on October 20, 2025 post-closing. Standard post-SPAC S-1 registration for resale of previously issued shares and warrants.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 78-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

KDK reported period ending 2026-05-07 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

+ 14 other (5 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 earnings 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Kodiak to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 5, 2026globenewswire.com·1d agoReviewing Kodiak AI (NASDAQ:KDK) and RingCentral (NYSE:RNG)defenseworld.net·5d agoKodiak AI and Charger USA Launch Autonomous Trucking Between Dallas and Laredoglobenewswire.com·8d agoKodiak AI On Track for Year-End Driverless Long-Haul Launch as Autonomy Readiness Measure Jumps to 96%globenewswire.com·10d agoKodiak AI Targets Year-End Driverless Dallas-Houston Trucking Launch With IKEAdefenseworld.net·12d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & DronesRobotics & Humanoids

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $KDK on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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