TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$KDK
KDKDK

Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock

$KDK·$939M·Software - Application·Technology
$4.23-0.8%YTD-61.2%1Y-46.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 7 posts2026-07-10: 8 posts2026-07-11: 9 posts2026-07-12: 15 posts2026-07-13: 11 posts2026-07-14: 14 posts2026-07-15: 15 posts80+12%
Price updated 11m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
KDKDK
$KDKKodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock
$4.23-0.84%80 posts+12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $KDK, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Kodiak Robotics with the PACCAR autonomous-trucking pivot — the tape at 1% of range says the market is discounting the valuation gap.

Kodiak Robotics is a specific autonomous-trucking developer whose whole equity story is the PACCAR partnership to commercialize self-driving Peterbilt and Kenworth trucks. The stock is at 1% of its 52-week range on the specific commercial-timing question.

Where the disconnect sits:

  • The commercial catalysts are real: the PACCAR partnership plus a General Dynamics Land Systems tie-up positioning it for the 2027 defense budget is a specific multi-catalyst backdrop.
  • Fundamentals are pre-revenue by design: 282x TTM sales with -330% gross margin means the underlying business is currently in a specific unit-economics gap that requires the commercial ramp to arrive.
  • The tape has broken decisively: sitting 34% below the 50-day and 46% below the 200-day at 1% of the 52-week range — the specific pattern of active distribution running to completion.
  • The valuation-gap-to-Aurora framing is the specific bull argument: roughly 10x valuation gap ($1.5B vs $15B) is aspirational — the corpus itself acknowledges Kodiak retreating 26% while Aurora rose 117%, meaning the tape is the specific counter-signal.

Aug 6 earnings is the trigger. A number confirming specific PACCAR commercial timeline plus GD Land Systems progress extends any bounce; another quarter of pre-revenue metrics without specific commercial dates continues the breakdown.

Differs from X sentimentX is bullish on the PACCAR partnership, the GD Land Systems tie-up, and the valuation-gap-to-Aurora framing, and the strategic catalysts are real. But the tape has been decisive — sitting at 1% of the 52-week range with Aurora rising 117% while Kodiak dropped 26% means the market is pricing the specific commercial-timing gap.

What to watch: The Aug 6 print — specific PACCAR commercial timeline, GD Land Systems progress, and cash-runway update. A specific commercial timeline restarts a leg; another quarter of pre-revenue metrics continues the breakdown.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 earnings

float missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment11 posts analyzed · as of 2026-05-20

Kodiak is bullish, with the cashtag spanning Kodiak Robotics (autonomous trucking) and, separately, Kodiak Copper. The dominant thread is the autonomy thesis: a PACCAR partnership to commercialize self-driving Peterbilt and Kenworth trucks and a General Dynamics Land Systems tie-up positioning it for the 2027 defense budget, framed as generational-wealth physical-AI exposure. Bulls argue the roughly 10x valuation gap to leader Aurora (about $1.5B versus $15B) is unsustainable even allowing Aurora a premium, despite Kodiak retreating ~26% year to date while Aurora rose ~117%. Kodiak Copper's proposed Teck Resources merger is a separate item.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $KDK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Provides AI-powered ground autonomy software for unmanned military vehicles and defense robotics programs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KDK.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — platforms where agents expand contract value (ServiceNow, Snowflake) are re-rated upward, while tools where agents substitute human users (Adobe Creative..

What this means for $KDK

Neutral — Provides AI-powered ground autonomy software for unmanned military vehicles and defense robotics programs; limited exposure means the AI agent bifurcation — contract expansion vs. user substitution is not a near-term catalyst or headwind.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.0%YTD
-14.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-2.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-111%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-31.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-14.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
282.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
305%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-330%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-2.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.10$-0.20+150.0%
Q4 2025Mar 10, 2026$-0.22$-0.16-37.5%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.49$-0.16-206.2%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $-0.17

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.8M+24.4%-354%-2068%$0.15$-35.0M
Q4 FY25$1.1M-85.1%-723%-3676%$-0.42$-34.4M
Q3 FY25$770K-89.1%-16.9%-3892%$-3.89$-80.0M
Q2 FY25$503K+24.2%100%-5039%$-0.71$-23.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$9.7M$9.3M – $10.2M-$0.48-$0.57 – -$0.404
FY27$38.3M$20.7M – $55.9M-$0.67-$0.75 – -$0.604
FY28$143.0M$138.5M – $147.5M-$0.54-$0.76 – -$0.285
FY29$399.2M$246.4M – $555.0M-$0.15-$0.22 – -$0.072
FY30$727.8M$449.3M – $1.0B$0.37$0.18 – $0.552

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-33.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-45.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β0.415-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 13 other (12 awards · 1 return) in window

See when $KDK insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Kodiak AI's Compensation Committee increased CEO Don Burnette's base salary from $425,000 to $525,000 and raised his annual bonus opportunity from 80% to 100% of base salary; CFO Surajit Datta and COO Michael Wiesinger also received compensation adjustments following an independent consultant review. Routine executive compensation housekeeping with no structural leadership change.

8-KShareholder voteJun 158-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

KDK filed an 8-K Item 5.07 on June 15, 2026 reporting annual meeting vote results. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before vote tallies are disclosed.

S-1Initial registrationMay 29S-1
AI summary

Kodiak AI, Inc. (ticker KDK, formerly AACT) filed an S-1 amendment describing its September 24, 2025 completion of a business combination with Legacy Kodiak Gas Services via a SPAC merger. AACT domesticated from Cayman Islands to Delaware, renamed to 'Kodiak AI, Inc.,' and the SPAC merged with Legacy Kodiak, with Legacy Kodiak surviving as a wholly owned subsidiary. SPAC public warrants were adjusted to an exercise price of $9.28 on October 20, 2025 post-closing. Standard post-SPAC S-1 registration for resale of previously issued shares and warrants.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 78-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

KDK reported period ending 2026-05-07 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

+ 12 other (2 EFFECTs · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Kodiak to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 6, 2026globenewswire.com·1d agoKodiak Copper Updates on Progress of Previously Announced Transaction to Create New US-Focused Copper Exploration Companynewsfilecorp.com·26d agoCathie Wood Sells Robinhood Stock, Doubles Down On This George Soros-Backed AI Stockfeeds.benzinga.com·37d agoKodiak AI Named to Inc.'s 2026 Best Workplaces Listglobenewswire.com·46d agoKodiak AI Issues Statement on BUILD America 250 Act Bill Supporting Autonomous Trucksglobenewswire.com·60d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & DronesRobotics & Humanoids

More in Software - Application

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$ZETA$MSTR$CRM$BULL$NOW$SNOW$UBER$SOUN
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $KDK on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport