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IOIOT

Samsara Inc.

$IOT·$24B·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$40.85-0.8%YTD+7.5%1Y+15.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 0 posts600%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
IOIOT
$IOTSamsara Inc.
$40.85-0.75%60 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $IOT, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-26

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Samsara reclaimed $40 for the first time in a year — IoT-fleet-management SaaS with 76% gross margin, earning Sept 3.

Samsara Inc. is the IoT-connected-operations SaaS platform serving fleet-management, industrial and equipment-monitoring customers. The tape is back at $40 for the first time since last year, positioned into the Sept 3 Q2 print.

  • The fundamentals justify the multiple compression path: revenue $479M last quarter with 76% gross margin (near-SaaS-benchmark), and the last two prints delivered EPS beats of 31% and 40% — a $24B market cap at 352x trailing PE compresses meaningfully as GAAP operating leverage arrives; FY27 sell-side EPS at $0.60+ puts the stock at ~65x forward, still expensive but reasonable given the growth cadence.
  • The product cadence is broadening: the Samsara Fuel Command Center launch (helping fleets control costs amid price volatility) is a specific ARR-monetization vector, and Samsara is on IOT/HOOD/ABCL/AMZN 'decade-thinking positions' lists — that's a specific long-term-quality endorsement from the retail-institutional overlay.
  • The tape is accelerating: at 65% of the 52-week range, 8% above the 50-day and 16% above the 200-day on 0.78x normal volume with beta 1.34 — small insider option-exercise-plus-sells (Biswas $1.4M, Bicket $5.1M combined) are calendar-based mechanical sells rather than conviction; the tape reclaiming $40 for the first time since last year is a real technical signal.

The path if this works is the Sept 3 Q2 print delivering another clean beat plus concrete AI-agent-plus-connected-operations ARR commentary, taking the tape past $45. What breaks it is a soft NRR number or a fresh Biswas-Bicket-scale insider selling — the setup is real but the insider distribution is a leading indicator.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X bulls have the setup right — IOT back to $40 for the first time since last year, basing after breaking through weekly downtrend resistance, tight flag on the daily against 8-EMA, big push through $41.4, up 75% on tech holdings adding SNOW/RBRK/IOT/DOCN/SMCI, IOT/HOOD/ABCL/AMZN as decade-thinking positions — and mechanics back the accelerating tape.

What to watch: Sept 3 Q2 print (sell-side EPS $0.16) — a clean beat plus concrete AI-agent-plus-connected-operations ARR commentary extends the tape past $45; a soft NRR number or a fresh Biswas-Bicket-scale insider selling breaks the accelerating tape back toward $32.

On the calendar: 2026-09-03 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment16 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Traders talk about Samsara constructively as "officially above $40" and "breaking out strong," grouping it with SNOW, RBRK, GTLB and ZS as core software names setting up ahead of earnings. Several posts frame the prior software drawdown as a "SaaSpocalypse" that dragged IOT down 49% unfairly. A recurring noise thread is BingX adding IOT perpetual futures, which several accounts spam as a watchlist item without a real thesis.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $IOT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sells IoT telematics sensors and cloud platform connecting physical operations data for trucking, construction, and industrial fleets.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $IOT.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $IOT

Direct beneficiary — AI-native product or platform captures spend from the same capex cycle driving the industry; Sells IoT telematics sensors and cloud platform connecting physical operations data for trucking, construction, and indu.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+2.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
352.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-0.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
11.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
4.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
76.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 4, 2026$0.17$0.13+30.6%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$0.18$0.13+40.1%
Q3 2025Dec 4, 2025$0.15$0.12+26.9%
Q2 2025Sep 4, 2025$0.12$0.07+65.9%
Next earningsThu, Sep 3·consensus EPS $0.16

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$478.8M+30.5%75.4%1.5%$0.08$73.2M
Q4 FY26$444.3M+28.3%76.2%2.0%$0.04$61.7M
Q3 FY26$416.0M+29.2%76.7%-0.4%$0.01$55.8M
Q2 FY26$391.5M+30.4%76.9%-6.8%$-0.03$44.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.6B$1.6B – $1.6B$0.51$0.50 – $0.5214
FY27$2.0B$2.0B – $2.0B$0.71$0.67 – $0.8617
FY28$2.4B$2.4B – $2.4B$0.91$0.75 – $1.0917
FY29$2.8B$2.8B – $2.9B$1.14$0.98 – $1.318
FY30$3.6B$3.5B – $3.6B$0.00$0.00 – $0.004

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.74%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+11.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+22.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 25Adam EltoukhySEE REMARKS6.9K sh$274KSellAug 20Sanjit BiswasCEO35.4K sh$1.4MSellAug 20John BicketSEE REMARKS34.6K sh$1.4MSellAug 19Sanjit BiswasCEO93.1K sh$3.7MSellAug 19John BicketSEE REMARKS93.4K sh$3.7MSellAug 18Sanjit BiswasCEO135.5K sh$5.4MSellAug 18John BicketSEE REMARKS136.0K sh$5.4MSellAug 18Kirchhoff Benjamin LouisCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER989 sh$39KSellAug 17Kirchhoff Benjamin LouisCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER2.6K sh$103KSellAug 6Sanjit BiswasCEO57.1K sh$2.2M
1–10 of 59
+ 26 other (16 awards · 6 inkinds · 2 gifts · 2 conversions) in window

See when $IOT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJul 238-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

IOT filed an 8-K covering Item(s) 5.07. Item 5.07 Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. On July 22, 2026, Samsara Inc. (the “Company”) held its annual meeting of stockholders (the “Annual Meeting”). The Company’s stockholders voted on the following three proposals, which are described in more detail in the Company’s definitive proxy statement filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission on June 1, 2026 (the “Proxy Statement”): (1) to elect eight directors to the Board of Directors of the Company until. Investors should review the full filing for complete details.

8-KCharter amendmentJun 18-K — Item 3.03 · Item 5.03: Charter amendment
AI summary

Samsara (IOT) reincorporated from Delaware to Nevada effective June 1, 2026 at 12:02 AM PT, with affairs now governed by Nevada law and new Nevada Articles of Incorporation and Bylaws. Corporate reincorporation; Nevada law is generally more director-friendly and may provide governance flexibility.

8-KShareholder voteMay 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

IOT held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-01 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 1 director to the board. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

+ 19 other (8 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Samsara Set to Report Q2 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?zacks.com·17h agoThe Week Ahead: August Jobs Report Takes Center Stageschaeffersresearch.com·5d agoSamsara Inc. (IOT) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Knowzacks.com·6d agoDow Rebounds as Tech Weakness Offsets Falling Bond Yieldsschaeffersresearch.com·8d agoSamsara Launches Fuel Command Center to Help Fleets Control Costs Amid Price Volatilitybusinesswire.com·13d ago

In themes

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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