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IOIONQ

IonQ, Inc.

$IONQ·$18B·Computer Hardware·Technology
$34.78-0.9%YTD-23.7%1Y-19.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 1,918 posts2026-07-11: 1,203 posts2026-07-12: 642 posts2026-07-13: 881 posts2026-07-14: 731 posts2026-07-15: 924 posts2026-07-16: 961 posts7,324+13%
Price updated 7m ago·X counts updated 22h ago
IOIONQ
$IONQIonQ, Inc.
$34.78-0.91%7.3k posts+13%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $IONQ, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Quantum story stock down 36% in a month while directors keep selling into the weakness.

IonQ builds trapped-ion quantum computers — the physics-heavy alternative to the superconducting-qubit chips from IBM and Google. Revenue is inflecting off a tiny base while acquisitions add manufacturing (SkyWater) and rival IP (Oxford Ionics). The stock has just given back 36% in a month.

  • Revenue grew 850% YoY to $65M last quarter — the top line is real and accelerating, but off a base so small that the market cap still implies 113x sales.
  • Operating margin was -420% and free cash flow was -$159M in a single quarter — the business spends roughly $4 for every $1 of revenue, so this is a story valuation on a science-project P&L until it isn't.
  • Insider transactions in the last 30 days are sales-only: three director sales at $55 (Chou, Toledano, Raymond, totaling ~$513K) with zero open-market buying — the 'where are the buys?' bear complaint on X is factually right.
  • The Oxford Ionics deal brings in a UK trapped-ion team that was raising a $130M Series B at a similar valuation — real IP consolidation, but ~$1B in acquisition-related spend across recent M&A is another cash draw layered on top of the operating burn.
  • 52-week position is 20th percentile with a beta of 3.2 — the tape has been actively rejecting the thesis, and the volatility makes both directions faster than usual.

August 5 earnings has to show hardware revenue accelerating beyond the acquired contribution and cash burn narrowing. Otherwise the 'same price as 18 months ago' complaint deepens — insider selling into weakness closes the door on any bounce. Quantum is a real long-term story; nothing about the current tape says the market is willing to pay for it right now.

Differs from X sentimentX is right that the roadmap is credible and the Oxford Ionics deal is strategic. Where the crowd is thin: at 113x sales with directors continuously selling into weakness and zero open-market buying, the 'no-brainer buy' framing skips over the fact that the tape has been actively rejecting the thesis for a month.

What to watch: Aug 5 Q2 earnings — need organic hardware revenue growth ex-acquisitions and a narrower burn quarter. More director selling with unchanged burn is where '18-month flat' becomes '24-month flat'.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment74 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

IonQ chatter is bullish and vision-heavy. The Oxford Ionics acquisition is being publicly validated by co-founder/CTO Tom Harty (who was weighing a $130M Series B), and community fans emphasize a compute roadmap running out five years with revenue guiding to $260-270M from $43M when Chapman was CEO, plus headcount up from 500 to 1,500+. Bulls also highlight a growing space-to-earth quantum-networking narrative via Capella and IonQ ion traps, a Duke research paper on circuit-depth reduction, the SkyWater acquisition, and qBraid's 27,000 developers now able to access IonQ hardware. A softer bearish thread just notes the stock trades at the same price as 18 months ago and asks where insider buys are.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $IONQ

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Builds trapped-ion quantum computers accessible via cloud, selling quantum computing services to enterprises and governments.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Computer Hardware sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $IONQ.

Computer Hardware · Technology

No material change from last week — STX and WDC (SanDisk spinoff) benefit from LLM training requiring petabyte-scale nearline storage infrastructure.

What this means for $IONQ

Neutral — Builds trapped-ion quantum computers accessible via cloud, selling quantum computing services to enterprises and governments; this business's revenue is largely decoupled from the LLM training data storage demand pulling HDD/SSD production cycle.

Top industry ETF

$SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
+71.9%YTD
+116.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
73.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-12.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-443%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
113.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
9.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
38.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$2.07$-0.46+548.5%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$1.93$-0.48+502.1%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$-3.58$-0.44-713.6%
Q2 2025Aug 6, 2025$-0.70$-0.13-438.5%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $-0.54

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$64.7M+754.7%23.8%-420%$2.24$-159.4M
Q4 FY25$61.9M+428.5%56.5%-392%$2.13$-83.3M
Q3 FY25$39.9M+221.5%48.0%-423%$-3.58$-127.2M
Q2 FY25$20.7M+81.8%8.5%-708%$-0.70$-54.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 10 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$265.7M$263.2M – $272.2M-$0.37-$0.51 – -$0.199
FY27$380.4M$321.9M – $537.1M-$1.85-$2.68 – -$0.6310
FY28$599.6M$580.2M – $619.0M-$2.08-$2.43 – -$1.876
FY29$813.1M$734.5M – $1.0B-$2.02-$2.74 – -$1.765
FY30$1.3B$1.2B – $1.6B-$1.48-$2.01 – -$1.293

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.16%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-35.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-27.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 367.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today6.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β3.235-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 18John W RaymondSpecial Advisor3.8K sh$210KSellJun 18Kathryn K. ChouDirector2.8K sh$152KSellJun 18Gabrielle B ToledanoDirector2.8K sh$152KSellMay 6Robert T. CardilloChair3.8K sh$188KSellApr 16Robert T. CardilloChair2.5K sh$112KSellMar 12John W RaymondSpecial Advisor2.8K sh$93KBuyFeb 27William J TeuberDirector3.0K sh$115KSellFeb 26Robert T. CardilloChair5.2K sh$204KSellFeb 24Gabrielle B ToledanoDirector616 sh$19K
+ 22 other (10 inkinds · 9 awards · 3 exempts) in window

See when $IONQ insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 228-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Delaware 001-39694 85-2992192 disclosed voting results from its annual or special meeting. ng growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ Item 5.07 Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. IonQ, Inc. (the “Company”) held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders (the “Annual Meeting”) o...

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Apr 1SC 13D
AI summary

IonQ, Inc. filed an new Schedule 13D on IONQ disclosing beneficial ownership (4,230,118.00 shares) as of 2026-04-01. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

IONQ disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-25). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KUnregistered equity saleMar 118-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
8-KUnregistered equity saleJan 308-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementJan 268-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 34 other (15 425s · 3 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investorszacks.com·1d agoThe Big 3: GOOGL, TGT, IONQyoutube.com·1d agoCould IonQ Become America's Best Quantum Platform?fool.com·1d agoIonQ: This Quantum Computing Pioneer Is a No-Brainer Buy (NYSE: IONQ)fool.com·2d ago2 Quantum Stocks That Could Challenge IonQ's Leadershipmarketbeat.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Quantum Computing

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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