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IBIBM

International Business Machines Corporation

$IBM·$224B·Information Technology Services·Technology
$233.87-0.7%YTD-21.0%1Y-3.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 27 posts2026-08-23: 32 posts2026-08-24: 59 posts424+7%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
IBIBM
$IBMInternational Business Machines Corporation
$233.87-0.73%424 posts+7%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $IBM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

IBM's HRL acquisition and 2nm ARM/Z mainframe make the quantum roadmap concrete — quality name coiling with a legal-notice overhang.

IBM is the diversified enterprise-technology and consulting business — mainframes, hybrid cloud (Red Hat), software (Watson/AI), consulting, and an increasingly serious quantum-computing business. The setup is a compounder coiling with a specific technology roadmap and a legal-notice overhang.

  • The core P&L is quietly compounding: Q1 revenue grew 9.5% YoY to $15.9B, Q2 revenue at $17.16B with EPS in line at $2.93 — the sell side models ~$70B FY26 revenue rising to ~$73B in FY27, and 24.9x trailing earnings is reasonable for the mix (software + consulting + mainframes + quantum optionality).
  • The quantum roadmap is concrete: IBM completed the HRL Laboratories acquisition to accelerate quantum, and the joint IBM/Arm dual-architecture 2nm mainframe processor at 5.6-5.7GHz (announced this week) plus a fully fault-tolerant 200-logical-qubit target for 2029 turn the quantum bull case into a dated milestone — the +27% one-month move and $440K in November $280 call sweeps show the tape is treating it as real.
  • The legal notice is a real short-term cap: BFA Law's investor notice for potential securities-fraud investigation lands into a name at 27% of its 52-week range and below the 200-day — a plaintiffs'-firm notice usually caps the tape until it resolves, and Cramer's noted cautious take reinforces the pause.

The setup is a real-business quality compounder coiled with a specific quantum roadmap and a plaintiffs-firm notice — the October 21 print is the referee, and the market needs continued 9%+ revenue growth, updated quantum roadmap milestones, and reiterated FY guide. A clean beat with a dated quantum milestone breaks the coil up toward $260; a legal-notice escalation or a soft consulting print extends the drift.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on the completed HRL Laboratories acquisition to accelerate quantum, the first ARM/Z dual-arch 2nm mainframe processor at 5.6-5.7GHz, the 200-logical-qubit fully-fault-tolerant target for 2029, the +27% one-month move, and the $440K November $280 call sweeps is factually consistent with the filings and press releases. The BFA Law investor notice cap the sample notes obliquely (via Cramer's caution) is a real short-term overhang.

What to watch: The October 21 Q3 earnings — need continued 9%+ revenue growth, updated quantum-roadmap milestones toward the 2029 200-logical-qubit target, and reiterated FY26 EPS guide around the $12.31 consensus. A legal-notice escalation or a soft consulting print extends the drift; a clean beat plus a dated quantum milestone breaks the coil up toward $260.

On the calendar: 2026-10-21 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment35 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Sentiment tilts bullish. Bulls anchor on the closed HRL Laboratories acquisition 'to Accelerate the Future of Quantum', the new dual-architecture IBM Z/Arm processor at '5.6GHz… about twice the speed of comparable INTC and AMD chips', and a 'nice flag break' targeting the $256-$289 gap fill. Traders swing September calls and cite weekly MACD 'curling to the upside'. Cautionary notes stay technical: stubborn $242 resistance and one 'love hate' holder trimming.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $IBM

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  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sells hybrid cloud software (Red Hat), AI platform (watsonx), and IT consulting services to large enterprises.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Information Technology Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $IBM.

Information Technology Services · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $IBM

Direct beneficiary — AI-native product or platform captures spend from the same capex cycle driving the industry; Sells hybrid cloud software (Red Hat), AI platform (watsonx), and IT consulting services to large enterprises.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+2.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
24.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
35.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
59.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$2.93$2.930.0%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$1.91$1.81+5.5%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$4.52$4.31+4.9%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$2.65$2.45+8.2%
Next earningsWed, Oct 21·consensus EPS $2.88

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$15.9B+9.5%56.2%8.5%$1.30$4.8B
Q4 FY25$19.7B+12.2%61.6%21.2%$5.98$3.1B
Q3 FY25$16.3B+9.1%58.7%16.3%$1.87$3.7B
Q2 FY25$17.0B+7.7%58.8%18.2%$2.36$1.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 18 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$70.5B$69.8B – $71.2B$12.31$11.95 – $12.6015
FY27$73.2B$71.2B – $75.0B$13.16$12.65 – $13.8218
FY28$77.0B$74.8B – $79.0B$14.29$12.72 – $16.5415
FY29$81.0B$79.4B – $82.4B$14.11$13.75 – $14.4411
FY30$81.5B$79.9B – $82.9B$12.56$12.24 – $12.867

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.26%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-11.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 940.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.705-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 27 other (24 awards · 1 exempt · 1 inkind · 1 gift) in window

See when $IBM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 11424B5
AI summary

IBM filed a prospectus supplement for a senior notes offering with Canadian bank underwriters CIBC Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets, Scotiabank, and TD Securities, dated August 10, 2026. Specific coupon rates, maturity dates, and offer size are in the full prospectus supplement.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 148-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

IBM (IBM) — 8-K (Items 2.02, 7.01) furnishing Q2 2026 earnings results and investor materials announced on July 14, 2026. Disclosed via press releases furnished as exhibits under Regulation FD. Material — major technology company quarterly earnings disclosure; furnished not filed.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 238-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

New York 1-2360 13-0871985 entered into a material note purchase/issuance agreement on 2026-06-23 for $.20. Narrative: 2026-06-22 0000051143 ibm:Debentures5.875PercentDue2032Member exch:XNYS 2026-06-22 2026-06-22 0000051143 ibm:Debentures7.00PercentDue2045Member exch:XNYS 2026-06-22 2026-06-22 0000051143 ibm:Debentures7.125PercentDue2096Member exch:XNYS 2026-06-22 2026-06-22 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COM...

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 288-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KOfficer or director changeMay 18-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

IBM disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-01). Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 53
+ 20 other (5 S-8 POSs · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Can IBM's HRL Acquisition Boost Its Quantum Computing Capabilities?zacks.com·16h agoCan Quantum Computing Save IBM Stock?barrons.com·17h agoIBM Investment Losses: IBM Product Slowdown Leads to 25% Stock Drop – BFA Law Reminds Investors of the Pending Securities Fraud Investigationglobenewswire.com·21h agoConvergence Investment Partners LLC Grows Stake in International Business Machines Corporation $IBMdefenseworld.net·23h agoInternational Business Machines Corporation $IBM Shares Sold by Brendel Financial Advisors LLCdefenseworld.net·23h ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureQuantum Computing

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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