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HZHZO

MarineMax, Inc.

$HZO·$1.1B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$52.04-0.2%1Y+99.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-06: 0 posts2026-08-07: 0 posts2026-08-08: 0 posts2026-08-09: 2 posts2026-08-10: 125 posts2026-08-11: 72 posts2026-08-12: 4 posts204+57%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 25m ago
HZHZO
$HZOMarineMax, Inc.
$52.04-0.17%204 posts+57%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $HZO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

MarineMax being taken out by Blackstone's Safe Harbor at $53/share — a 96% premium confirms the marina assets had hidden value.

MarineMax is the largest US recreational boat retailer, expanded meaningfully into marina services via multiple acquisitions. The whole current story is the definitive $53/share cash buyout by Blackstone Infrastructure's Safe Harbor Marinas — announced August 9 and valuing the company at $1.5B.

Where it stands:

  • The deal is the whole story: $53/share cash represents a 96.1% premium to Friday's $35.68 close and roughly double January levels — an outsized premium that confirms the marina assets had substantial hidden value beyond what activists initially bid for.
  • The Q3 (fiscal, June) print pre-deal was mixed: revenue $611M down 7% year-over-year, but EPS $0.70 (vs $0.81 consensus, small miss) with a decent 6.1% operating margin.
  • The tape has fully re-rated: shares at the 100th percentile of the 52-week range (literally the top), +48% above the 50-day and +78% above the 200-day, on volume 4x average.
  • Kahn Swick & Foti has opened a fair-price / fair-process investigation — the standard shareholder-lawyer response to any acquisition, which occasionally lifts the deal price via settlement.
  • Levin Capital 'applauds MarineMax board' — the activist that pushed for the sale is publicly endorsing the outcome, which suggests limited chance of an activist competing bid.
  • The June refinancing of the $950M floor plan facility plus new $150M revolver was pre-deal capital-structure housekeeping.

Event-ahead means the trade is entirely: does the deal close at $53, does it get bumped, or does it break. Base case is a straight close on 6-9 month timeline given the friendly board endorsement. What breaks it is a regulatory delay (FTC on marina-consolidation angle) or, upside, a topping bid from another marina operator or PE. Kahn Swick's investigation occasionally lifts the deal 1-3%.

Agrees with X sentimentX is right on the specifics — $53/share cash buyout by Blackstone Infrastructure / Safe Harbor Marinas at 96.1% premium to Friday's $35.68 close, valuing the company at $1.5B. The one detailed-analyst note that the outcome came in well above a conservative $42 fair-value estimate is honest signal; the deal cleared the highest reasonable case.

What to watch: Any 8-K on the Blackstone / Safe Harbor merger closing timeline, FTC review commentary, or a competing bid disclosure. Watch also for shareholder-vote results; a high-approval vote is the specific event that confirms straight close at $53.

On the calendar: 2026-11-12 — Q4 (fiscal) earnings

float missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-12

MarineMax announced a definitive $53/share cash buyout by Blackstone Infrastructure's Safe Harbor Marinas valuing the company at $1.5B - a 96.1% premium to Friday's $35.68 close and roughly double January levels. Shares soared 33-40% pre-market. Contributors say the marina assets had hidden value beyond what activists initially bid for, and one detailed analyst notes the outcome came in well above a conservative $42 fair-value estimate.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $HZO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

US leisure boat and luxury yacht dealer with superyacht services and a manufacturing segment through its Fraser and IGY marina operations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HZO.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Amazon's $200B AI infrastructure commitment and AI shopping agent deployment shifts purchase decisions from browsing to autonomous fulfillment, bypassing..

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+5.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
289.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
2.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
15.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
0.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
34.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 23, 2026$0.81$0.82-1.2%
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.04$-0.03+233.3%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$-0.21$-0.12-75.0%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-0.04$-0.15+73.3%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $0.02

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$611.3M-7.0%35.7%6.1%$0.70$77.2M
Q2 FY26$527.4M-16.5%34.4%2.1%$-0.12$44.5M
Q1 FY26$505.2M+7.8%31.8%1.0%$-0.36$8.3M
Q4 FY25$552.2M-1.9%34.7%2.1%$-0.04$48.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.2B$2.2B – $2.3B$0.71$0.70 – $0.736
FY27$2.3B$2.3B – $2.3B$1.59$1.47 – $1.726
FY28$2.4B$2.4B – $2.5B$2.57$2.52 – $2.672

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.4.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.100%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+47.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+78.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β1.595-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 1 other (1 exempt) in window

See when $HZO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 108-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

MarineMax (HZO) filed an 8-K (as soliciting material) disclosing a merger agreement signed August 9, 2026, under which SHM Holdco LLC — an affiliate of Safe Harbor Marinas, itself a portfolio company of Blackstone Infrastructure Partners — will acquire MarineMax via a reverse triangular merger. MarineMax will survive as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Parent. The Board unanimously approved the deal, finding it in the best interests of shareholders, and received a fairness opinion from Wells Fargo Securities. A shareholder vote will be required to adopt the Merger Agreement.

8-KAgreement terminatedJun 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

MarineMax (HZO) refinanced its existing $950 million floor plan facility on June 29, 2026 into a comprehensive new credit facility. The new structure maintains the $950M floor plan, and adds a $150 million revolving credit facility (including a $20M swingline and $20M letter of credit sublimit), a $302.5 million term loan, and an $85 million delayed draw mortgage facility. M&T Bank (Manufacturers and Traders Trust) is administrative agent; Wells Fargo Commercial Distribution Finance is floor plan agent. The facility matures June 2031, with interest at SOFR-based rates. This refinancing provides meaningful additional liquidity headroom ahead of the pending Safe Harbor Marinas merger.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 38-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 12 other (3 proxys · 3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

MarineMax Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of MarineMax, Inc. - HZOgurufocus.com·2d agoMarineMax Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of MarineMax, Inc. - HZObusinesswire.com·2d agoLevin Capital Applauds MarineMax Board for Acting on Shareholder Feedback and Pursuing a Value-Maximizing Sale to Safe Harbor Marinasbusinesswire.com·3d agoMarinemax Stock Surges to New 52-Week High Toward Safe Harbor Buyout Pricebenzinga.com·3d agoShareholder Alert: Ademi LLP investigates whether MarineMax, Inc. is obtaining a Fair Price for Public Shareholdersprnewswire.com·4d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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