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HZHZO

MarineMax, Inc.

$HZO·$1.2B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$52.35-0.0%YTD+114.5%1Y+101.6%
Price updated 11m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
HZHZO
$HZOMarineMax, Inc.
$52.36-0.03%10 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $HZO on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

10X posts · last 7 days
Sep 11Sep 27
Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-17

MarineMax chatter is uniformly bullish - HZO signed a definitive all-cash acquisition agreement with Safe Harbor Marinas (Blackstone Infrastructure Portfolio Company) at $53/share (~96% premium and ~$1.5B transaction value, nearly 100% above January levels when activists began pushing for a sale). Shares gapped +37% to $48.78 on the news. A separate mention references OneWater Marine at $1.1B - the sample consistently frames the marina real-estate/asset value as previously hidden.

Read what X is saying about $HZO

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $HZO — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-09-28

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

MarineMax up 115% YTD at 100% of the 52-week range — Safe Harbor Marinas (Blackstone) all-cash $53/share acquisition announced Aug 10 with ~96% premium.

MarineMax Inc. is the leading US leisure-boat and luxury-yacht retail franchise (79 locations, sales/service/finance/insurance, own-brand yacht manufacturing) — a business now in a specific M&A completion event with Safe Harbor Marinas/Blackstone. The stock is up 104% over 12 months.

  • The Aug 10 Safe Harbor Marinas merger agreement is the whole story: SHM Holdco LLC (Blackstone Infrastructure Partners portfolio company) acquires MarineMax via reverse triangular merger at $53/share cash, ~$1.5B transaction value, ~96% premium — the Board unanimously approved with a Wells Fargo fairness opinion.
  • Fundamentals are noisy but positive: Q3 fiscal (June) revenue $611M (-7% YoY) with EPS $0.70 (-1% miss vs $0.82) — softness that doesn't materially change the takeout economics.
  • The Sept 26 Halper Sadeh LLC 'fair price' investigation and the Sept 21 Kellnerova (PPF Group) SC 13D/A Amendment 5 add governance-and-legal noise but don't threaten the deal per se.

Regulatory-clearance completion is the primary catalyst — closes the deal at $53/share; a regulatory block or shareholder-vote complication and the tape falls back to standalone fundamentals near $30.

Agrees with X sentimentX bulls correctly frame the Safe Harbor Marinas/Blackstone all-cash acquisition at $53/share, ~96% premium, ~$1.5B transaction value, and the +37% gap on the news — every claim aligns with the Aug 10 8-K and the deal terms. Clean agreement on the catalyst-play event-ahead framing.

What to watch: Regulatory-clearance completion — closes the deal at $53/share; a regulatory block or shareholder-vote complication and the tape falls back to standalone fundamentals.

On the calendar: TBD — Safe Harbor deal close

safe harbor blackstone 5396pct premium1 5b transaction

Read the AI verdict on $HZO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

US leisure boat and luxury yacht dealer with superyacht services and a manufacturing segment through its Fraser and IGY marina operations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HZO.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Consumer discretionary bifurcation deepens as XRT falls -7.

What this means for $HZO

Neutral — US leisure boat and luxury yacht dealer with superyacht services and a manufacturing segment through its Fraser and IGY marina operations.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
-4.3%YTD
-4.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
289.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
2.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
15.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
0.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
34.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 23, 2026$0.81$0.82-1.2%
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.04$-0.03+233.3%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$-0.21$-0.12-75.0%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-0.04$-0.15+73.3%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $0.04

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$611.3M-7.0%35.7%6.1%$0.70$77.2M
Q2 FY26$527.4M-16.5%34.4%2.1%$-0.12$44.5M
Q1 FY26$505.2M+7.8%31.8%1.0%$-0.36$8.3M
Q4 FY25$552.2M-1.9%34.7%2.1%$-0.04$48.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.2B$2.2B – $2.2B$0.71$0.70 – $0.726
FY27$2.3B$2.3B – $2.3B$1.57$1.45 – $1.706
FY28$2.4B$2.4B – $2.4B$2.57$2.53 – $2.672

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.99%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+11.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+53.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 19.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.675-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 1 other (1 exempt) in window

See when $HZO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentSep 21SC 13D/A
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentSep 8SC 13D/A
AI summary

Kellnerova Renata filed Amendment No. 5 to her SC 13D/A on MarineMax Inc. (HZO), continuing an ongoing series of amendments to her ownership position in the marine recreation retailer. Specific current stake details are in the full filing.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentAug 27SC 13D/A
AI summary

Renata Kellnerova (Czech Republic) filed SC 13D/A (Amendment No. 4) on MarineMax, Inc. (HZO) as of August 7, 2026, updating her beneficial ownership of MarineMax's common stock ($0.001 par value, CUSIP 567908108). Funds source is AF (affiliated entity funds). The specific share count and percentage held are not visible in the excerpt. Kellnerova is associated with PPF Group, a major Central European investment conglomerate; a continuing 13D position on a U.S. leisure marine dealer signals potential strategic interest or governance engagement.

8-KMaterial agreementAug 108-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

MarineMax (HZO) filed an 8-K (as soliciting material) disclosing a merger agreement signed August 9, 2026, under which SHM Holdco LLC — an affiliate of Safe Harbor Marinas, itself a portfolio company of Blackstone Infrastructure Partners — will acquire MarineMax via a reverse triangular merger. MarineMax will survive as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Parent. The Board unanimously approved the deal, finding it in the best interests of shareholders, and received a fairness opinion from Wells Fargo Securities. A shareholder vote will be required to adopt the Merger Agreement.

8-KAgreement terminatedJun 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

MarineMax (HZO) refinanced its existing $950 million floor plan facility on June 29, 2026 into a comprehensive new credit facility. The new structure maintains the $950M floor plan, and adds a $150 million revolving credit facility (including a $20M swingline and $20M letter of credit sublimit), a $302.5 million term loan, and an $85 million delayed draw mortgage facility. M&T Bank (Manufacturers and Traders Trust) is administrative agent; Wells Fargo Commercial Distribution Finance is floor plan agent. The facility matures June 2031, with interest at SOFR-based rates. This refinancing provides meaningful additional liquidity headroom ahead of the pending Safe Harbor Marinas merger.

+ 14 other (4 13Gs · 4 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

HZO Stock Alert: Halper Sadeh LLC is Investigating Whether MarineMax, Inc. is Obtaining a Fair Price for its Shareholdersgurufocus.com·3d agoHZO Stock Alert: Halper Sadeh LLC is Investigating Whether MarineMax, Inc. is Obtaining a Fair Price for its Shareholdersbusinesswire.com·3d agoMarineMax (NYSE:HZO) Sets New 12-Month High – Here’s What Happeneddefenseworld.net·6d agoComparing CarMax (NYSE:KMX) and MarineMax (NYSE:HZO)defenseworld.net·13d agoBlackRock Inc. Acquires New Shares in MarineMax, Inc. $HZOdefenseworld.net·31d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $HZO on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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