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AZAZO

AutoZone, Inc.

$AZO·$50B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$3047.36+2.6%YTD-12.0%1Y-19.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 152 posts2026-07-10: 179 posts2026-07-11: 54 posts2026-07-12: 115 posts2026-07-13: 171 posts2026-07-14: 45 posts2026-07-15: 45 posts772+31%
Price updated 4m ago·X counts updated 22h ago
AZAZO
$AZOAutoZone, Inc.
$3,047.36+2.59%772 posts+31%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AZO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-07-15

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

One of the best long-term compounders in retail, trading 20% below highs with an $850M debt raise fresh on the tape — the setup is quietly asymmetric.

AutoZone is the largest US auto-parts retailer, running the classic buyback-powered compounder playbook that has made it one of the best long-term S&P 500 stocks. It's had a rare drawdown, and the underlying business hasn't cracked.

Where it sits:

  • Growth is quietly consistent: Q1 revenue grew 8% year-over-year to $4.8B at a 19% operating margin — this is a mature retailer running like clockwork, and the last three EPS prints beat consensus by 2-5%.
  • The valuation is finally reasonable: 21x trailing PE for a compounder with 15% long-term EPS growth via aggressive share buybacks is a discount to AZO's historical average — the negative D/E reflects the buyback-driven negative book value that has always been part of the business model.
  • The Mexico/Brazil international expansion is the current overhang: the FCF collapse holders are frustrated about is real, and the tariff-related USMCA content-rule proposal adds a specific risk that keeps the multiple from expanding — but the $850M senior notes at 4.95% signal management sees the borrowing math as favorable and continues to fund buybacks.

Sept 22 earnings is the specific hinge: a comp-sales beat combined with any commentary that international-market operating leverage is starting to translate would trigger a real rally out of the base toward $3,400+, while another quarter of FCF weakness combined with any commercial-segment miss would confirm the stall and pull shares to a fresh 52-week low.

Agrees with X sentimentThe small X sample is nuanced — director Hannasch's $492K purchase alongside frustration with FCF collapse and USMCA-tariff risk. Both sides are anchored on real data. The verdict lands with the compounder framing while naming the specific FCF/tariff overhang.

What to watch: Sept 22 earnings: US comp sales, international operating leverage, FCF trajectory, and any USMCA content-rule commentary. Another FCF weakness quarter with commercial miss confirms the stall.

On the calendar: 2026-09-22 — Q4 FY26 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-03

The AutoZone thread is muted. Posters highlight Director Brian Hannasch buying $492.86K (his third-largest open-market purchase, +15% to holdings) below $3,000, but frame it against the company's worst year since 2020 and an FCF collapse driven by aggressive Mexico/Brazil expansion. Tariff politics around the proposed USMCA 50% US-content rule add another overhang. The two camps balance into a non-directional read.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AZO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Largest US auto-parts retailer serving DIY consumers and professional mechanics through ~7,000 stores.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AZO.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Amazon's $200B AI infrastructure commitment and AI shopping agent deployment shifts purchase decisions from browsing to autonomous fulfillment, bypassing..

What this means for $AZO

Partial — Largest US auto-parts retailer serving DIY consumers and professional mechanics through ~7,000 stores; exposure exists but is diluted by diverse end markets and revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+3.9%YTD
+12.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
20.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
30.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
18.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-80.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-4.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 26, 2026$38.07$36.22+5.1%
Q4 2025Mar 3, 2026$27.63$27.15+1.8%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$31.04$32.75-5.2%
Q2 2025Sep 23, 2025$48.71$50.73-4.0%
Next earningsTue, Sep 22·consensus EPS $54.51

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$4.8B+8.4%52.2%19.1%$38.95$0
Q2 FY26$4.3B+8.1%52.5%16.3%$28.29$36.7M
Q1 FY26$4.6B+8.2%51.0%16.9%$31.88$628.9M
Q4 FY25$6.2B+0.6%51.5%19.2%$50.02$511.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 20 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$20.5B$20.4B – $20.6B$151.39$142.41 – $153.6719
FY27$22.0B$21.8B – $22.4B$175.62$162.75 – $182.9720
FY28$23.6B$23.6B – $23.6B$196.49$178.52 – $215.8717
FY29$25.5B$25.1B – $25.8B$222.44$217.94 – $226.178
FY30$26.8B$26.4B – $27.2B$268.49$263.05 – $272.998

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.3%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-6.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-16.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 16.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyMay 29Brian HannaschDirector165 sh$493KSellApr 10Earl G GravesDirector50 sh$174KSellJan 23Smith Richard CraigPresident5.9K sh$21.9M
+ 9 other (7 awards · 1 gift · 1 exempt) in window

See when $AZO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 143
AI summary

AutoZone (AZO) — Form 3 initial ownership for Grace Orians Sharpley (SVP Finance). Sharpley holds 131.909 direct shares plus ten tranches of stock options at various strike prices and vesting dates. Administrative — routine officer onboarding disclosure.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 148-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

AutoZone (AZO) — 8-K (Items 1.01, 2.03) reporting the completion of an $850 million senior notes offering at 4.950% due 2031, issued under an existing shelf registration. Notes pay semi-annual interest and were sold to institutional investors. Material — significant new debt issuance adding $850M to AutoZone's capital structure.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 98-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

AutoZone entered into an underwriting agreement for the public offering of $850 million in aggregate principal amount of 4.950% Senior Notes due 2031. The offering is made pursuant to AutoZone's effective shelf registration statement. Proceeds are expected to be used for general corporate purposes, which may include repurchase of common stock, repayment of debt, and working capital needs. At $850 million, this is a meaningful capital markets transaction for AutoZone, which routinely accesses the investment-grade debt market to fund its ongoing share-buyback program.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 7424B5
AI summary

AutoZone, Inc. filed a preliminary 424B5 prospectus supplement on July 7, 2026 for an offering of senior unsecured notes (specific amount, coupon, and maturity left blank in the preliminary filing). The notes rank equally with AutoZone's existing senior unsecured obligations and include customary change-of-control put rights. Joint book-runners are BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, Truist Securities, US Bancorp, and Wells Fargo Securities. As a preliminary filing, the specific dollar amount and terms are subject to market conditions — final terms will appear in the completed 424B5; use of proceeds is not yet specified in this excerpt.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationJul 7S-3ASR
AI summary

AutoZone, Inc. filed a Form S-3ASR (automatic shelf registration) on July 7, 2026, registering an unspecified amount of debt securities for future issuance on a delayed or continuous basis; as a well-known seasoned issuer (WKSI) the registration becomes effective upon filing. The shelf registers generic debt securities, with specific terms to be set at the time of each offering. This S-3ASR was filed simultaneously with a 424B5 prospectus supplement (see companion filing), indicating an imminent note issuance. The shelf itself is routine capital markets preparation for a large-cap issuer; any immediate dilution or debt increase is captured in the paired prospectus.

+ 9 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

AutoZone Announces Organizational Changesglobenewswire.com·6d agoInvestors Heavily Search AutoZone, Inc. (AZO): Here is What You Need to Knowzacks.com·9d agoWhy AutoZone Stock Plunged by More Than 6% Todayfool.com·10d agoAutoZone: A Defensive Compounder That's Still Worth Buyingseekingalpha.com·17d agoHere is What to Know Beyond Why AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is a Trending Stockzacks.com·20d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $AZO on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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