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AZAZO

AutoZone, Inc.

$AZO·$51B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$2961.96+1.0%YTD-10.3%1Y-29.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 10 posts2026-08-22: 1 posts2026-08-23: 2 posts2026-08-24: 2 posts41+2%
Price updated 3d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
AZAZO
$AZOAutoZone, Inc.
$2,961.96+1.01%41 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AZO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-08-26

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

AutoZone at 8% of range on the worst year since 2020 — Mexico/Brazil expansion is dragging FCF while tariff politics loom.

AutoZone Inc. is the second-largest US auto-parts retailer whose stock is having its worst year since 2020 as aggressive Mexico/Brazil expansion drags free cash flow. The tape is stalled at absolute low levels with mixed insider signals.

  • The operational drag is real: FCF collapse driven by aggressive Mexico/Brazil expansion — that's a specific self-inflicted capex overhang that has capped the tape independent of same-store-sales performance; the last two prints delivered small EPS beats of 5% (Q3) and 2% (Q2), but the FCF conversion is the leading indicator.
  • The insider tape is mixed: Director Brian Hannasch bought $492.86K (his third-largest open-market purchase, +15% to holdings) below $3,000 — that's a real conviction-buy signal; officer LeRiche's option-exercise-plus-$4.5M sale at $3,100 is the counter-flow, and net-net the insider signal is directionally positive.
  • The tape is stalled at absolute low: at 8% of the 52-week range, essentially flat vs the 50-day and 11% below the 200-day on 1.46x elevated volume with beta 0.34 — that's a defensive-beta specialty retailer consolidating near lows on above-average volume; the USMCA 50% US-content rule proposed tariff is another regulatory-headline overhang.

The path if this works is the Sept 22 Q4 print delivering an EPS beat plus concrete FCF-recovery commentary, taking the tape past $3,300. What breaks it further is another FCF-conversion disappointment or a specific USMCA tariff escalation — AZO is a defensive compounder but the aggressive expansion has created a specific overhang that the tape is now discounting.

What to watch: Sept 22 Q4 print (sell-side EPS $54.53) — an EPS beat plus concrete FCF-recovery commentary breaks the stalled tape past $3,300; another FCF-conversion disappointment or a specific USMCA tariff escalation breaks the tape back to $2,750.

On the calendar: 2026-09-22 — Q4 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-03

The AutoZone thread is muted. Posters highlight Director Brian Hannasch buying $492.86K (his third-largest open-market purchase, +15% to holdings) below $3,000, but frame it against the company's worst year since 2020 and an FCF collapse driven by aggressive Mexico/Brazil expansion. Tariff politics around the proposed USMCA 50% US-content rule add another overhang. The two camps balance into a non-directional read.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AZO

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Largest US auto-parts retailer serving DIY consumers and professional mechanics through ~7,000 stores.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AZO.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

Consumer discretionary spending patterns drive same-store sales; AI-enabled inventory management and personalization are differentiating omnichannel leaders. Back-to-school and holiday cadence are the near-term seasonality anchors.

What this means for $AZO

Partial — fee-based midstream revenue has limited direct commodity price exposure but volume ties to upstream production activity.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+1.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
20.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
30.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
18.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-80.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-4.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 26, 2026$38.07$36.22+5.1%
Q4 2025Mar 3, 2026$27.63$27.15+1.8%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$31.04$32.75-5.2%
Q2 2025Sep 23, 2025$48.71$50.73-4.0%
Next earningsTue, Sep 22·consensus EPS $54.53

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$4.8B+8.4%52.2%19.1%$38.95$0
Q2 FY26$4.3B+8.1%52.5%16.3%$28.29$36.7M
Q1 FY26$4.6B+8.2%51.0%16.9%$31.88$628.9M
Q4 FY25$6.2B+0.6%51.5%19.2%$50.02$511.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 19 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$20.5B$20.4B – $20.6B$151.46$142.59 – $153.8719
FY27$22.0B$21.8B – $22.4B$175.44$162.71 – $182.9319
FY28$23.6B$22.9B – $24.1B$196.36$178.53 – $215.8816
FY29$25.5B$25.1B – $25.8B$222.44$218.56 – $226.4114
FY30$26.8B$26.5B – $27.2B$268.49$263.80 – $273.2814

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.4%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-13.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 16.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 7Dennis W. LerichePresident1.5K sh$4.5MBuyMay 29Brian HannaschDirector165 sh$493KSellApr 10Earl G GravesDirector50 sh$174K
+ 9 other (7 awards · 1 exempt · 1 gift) in window

See when $AZO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 143
AI summary

AutoZone (AZO) — Form 3 initial ownership for Grace Orians Sharpley (SVP Finance). Sharpley holds 131.909 direct shares plus ten tranches of stock options at various strike prices and vesting dates. Administrative — routine officer onboarding disclosure.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 148-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

AutoZone (AZO) — 8-K (Items 1.01, 2.03) reporting the completion of an $850 million senior notes offering at 4.950% due 2031, issued under an existing shelf registration. Notes pay semi-annual interest and were sold to institutional investors. Material — significant new debt issuance adding $850M to AutoZone's capital structure.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 98-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

AutoZone entered into an underwriting agreement for the public offering of $850 million in aggregate principal amount of 4.950% Senior Notes due 2031. The offering is made pursuant to AutoZone's effective shelf registration statement. Proceeds are expected to be used for general corporate purposes, which may include repurchase of common stock, repayment of debt, and working capital needs. At $850 million, this is a meaningful capital markets transaction for AutoZone, which routinely accesses the investment-grade debt market to fund its ongoing share-buyback program.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 7424B5
AI summary

AutoZone, Inc. filed a preliminary 424B5 prospectus supplement on July 7, 2026 for an offering of senior unsecured notes (specific amount, coupon, and maturity left blank in the preliminary filing). The notes rank equally with AutoZone's existing senior unsecured obligations and include customary change-of-control put rights. Joint book-runners are BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, Truist Securities, US Bancorp, and Wells Fargo Securities. As a preliminary filing, the specific dollar amount and terms are subject to market conditions — final terms will appear in the completed 424B5; use of proceeds is not yet specified in this excerpt.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationJul 7S-3ASR
AI summary

AutoZone, Inc. filed a Form S-3ASR (automatic shelf registration) on July 7, 2026, registering an unspecified amount of debt securities for future issuance on a delayed or continuous basis; as a well-known seasoned issuer (WKSI) the registration becomes effective upon filing. The shelf registers generic debt securities, with specific terms to be set at the time of each offering. This S-3ASR was filed simultaneously with a 424B5 prospectus supplement (see companion filing), indicating an imminent note issuance. The shelf itself is routine capital markets preparation for a large-cap issuer; any immediate dilution or debt increase is captured in the paired prospectus.

+ 9 other (5 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 1 routine 8-K · 1 earnings 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is AZO Undervalued? DCF Says Worth $3817gurufocus.com·5d agoShould You Avoid AutoZone Stock, Even Near a 52-Week Low?fool.com·6d agoAutoZone (AZO) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Knowzacks.com·7d agoAutoZone to Release Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings September 22, 2026globenewswire.com·7d agoBank of Nova Scotia Makes New Investment in AutoZone, Inc. $AZOdefenseworld.net·7d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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