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TickerTalks›$AZO
AZAZO

AutoZone, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 8% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (86 mentions/wk)
$AZO·$51B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$3120.59+2.0%YTD-9.4%1Y-22.1%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
AZAZO
$AZOAutoZone, Inc.
$3,120.59+1.99%86 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $AZO on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

86X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $AZO's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-03

The AutoZone thread is muted. Posters highlight Director Brian Hannasch buying $492.86K (his third-largest open-market purchase, +15% to holdings) below $3,000, but frame it against the company's worst year since 2020 and an FCF collapse driven by aggressive Mexico/Brazil expansion. Tariff politics around the proposed USMCA 50% US-content rule add another overhang. The two camps balance into a non-directional read.

Read what X is saying about $AZO

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $AZO — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

The retail compounder at its worst drawdown since 2020 with a director backing up the truck — the setup is the setup.

AutoZone is the auto-parts retailer whose 20-year compounding record is built on US store density and share repurchases. The 2026 drawdown reflects an FCF collapse from aggressive Mexico/Brazil expansion plus tariff politics around a proposed USMCA 50% US-content rule.

  • The underlying business is still earning: Q4 revenue grew 8.4% YoY to $4.84B at a 19% operating margin with EPS beats of 4% and 5% on the last two prints — the core economics aren't broken, just reinvesting through a near-term FCF trough.
  • The insider signal is unusually specific: director Brian Hannasch bought $492K below $3,000 — his third-largest open-market purchase and a 15% increase to his holdings — the kind of conviction buy that rarely shows up at the top of a drawdown.

At just 2% of its 52-week range and 15% below the 200-day, the setup is the textbook turnaround coil. Dec 8 earnings is the test: a clean FCF stabilization plus any tariff-policy clarity is the trigger; another expansion-capex overshoot plus unresolved USMCA risk extends the drawdown. DCF-model intrinsic value of ~$2,258 vs the current ~$2,792 is also the one bear point worth weighing — the margin of safety is real but not giant.

Agrees with X sentimentThe thread's balanced read is accurate — insider conviction is real, FCF collapse and tariff risk are real, and the two balance. The non-directional tone matches the setup; this is a coil, not a confirmed direction yet.

What to watch: Dec 8 Q1 earnings — free cash flow trajectory, same-store sales (US and international), and any specific USMCA tariff commentary. FCF stabilization plus tariff clarity is the trigger; another capex overshoot is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-12-08 — Q1 earnings

insider buytariff overhang

Read the AI verdict on $AZO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Largest US auto-parts retailer serving DIY consumers and professional mechanics through ~7,000 stores.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AZO.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Consumer discretionary bifurcation deepens as XRT falls -7.

What this means for $AZO

Partial — Largest US auto-parts retailer serving DIY consumers and professional mechanics through ~7,000 stores.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
-4.3%YTD
+3.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
20.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
30.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
18.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-80.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-4.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Sep 22, 2026$56.05$54.08+3.6%
Q1 2026May 26, 2026$38.07$36.22+5.1%
Q4 2025Mar 3, 2026$27.63$27.15+1.8%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$31.04$32.75-5.2%
Next earningsTue, Dec 8·consensus EPS $35.54

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$4.8B+8.4%52.2%19.1%$38.95$0
Q2 FY26$4.3B+8.1%52.5%16.3%$28.29$36.7M
Q1 FY26$4.6B+8.2%51.0%16.9%$31.88$628.9M
Q4 FY25$6.2B+0.6%51.5%19.2%$50.02$511.1M

Forward consensus

10-year forecast · up to 19 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$20.4B$20.3B – $20.6B$150.63$147.76 – $152.8019
FY26$20.5B$20.4B – $20.6B$150.85$147.92 – $152.6519
FY27$21.8B$21.7B – $22.0B$170.69$164.25 – $181.2819
FY27$22.0B$21.8B – $22.4B$174.99$162.42 – $182.6119
FY28$23.4B$23.0B – $23.8B$191.47$182.06 – $204.6418
FY28$23.5B$22.9B – $24.1B$195.67$181.70 – $215.6516
FY29$24.9B$24.4B – $25.6B$214.57$191.67 – $224.408
FY29$25.4B$25.2B – $25.6B$223.19$210.76 – $235.713
FY30$26.5B$26.0B – $26.9B$256.80$250.60 – $262.794
FY30$26.8B$26.4B – $27.3B$268.49$262.56 – $274.481

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.30%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 16.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 7Dennis W. LerichePresident1.5K sh$4.5MBuyMay 29Brian HannaschDirector165 sh$493K
+ 21 other (18 awards · 2 exempts · 1 gift) in window

See when $AZO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeOct 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
3New insider — initial holdingsJul 143
AI summary

AutoZone (AZO) — Form 3 initial ownership for Grace Orians Sharpley (SVP Finance). Sharpley holds 131.909 direct shares plus ten tranches of stock options at various strike prices and vesting dates. Administrative — routine officer onboarding disclosure.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 148-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

AutoZone (AZO) — 8-K (Items 1.01, 2.03) reporting the completion of an $850 million senior notes offering at 4.950% due 2031, issued under an existing shelf registration. Notes pay semi-annual interest and were sold to institutional investors. Material — significant new debt issuance adding $850M to AutoZone's capital structure.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 98-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

AutoZone entered into an underwriting agreement for the public offering of $850 million in aggregate principal amount of 4.950% Senior Notes due 2031. The offering is made pursuant to AutoZone's effective shelf registration statement. Proceeds are expected to be used for general corporate purposes, which may include repurchase of common stock, repayment of debt, and working capital needs. At $850 million, this is a meaningful capital markets transaction for AutoZone, which routinely accesses the investment-grade debt market to fund its ongoing share-buyback program.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 7424B5
AI summary

AutoZone, Inc. filed a preliminary 424B5 prospectus supplement on July 7, 2026 for an offering of senior unsecured notes (specific amount, coupon, and maturity left blank in the preliminary filing). The notes rank equally with AutoZone's existing senior unsecured obligations and include customary change-of-control put rights. Joint book-runners are BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, Truist Securities, US Bancorp, and Wells Fargo Securities. As a preliminary filing, the specific dollar amount and terms are subject to market conditions — final terms will appear in the completed 424B5; use of proceeds is not yet specified in this excerpt.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationJul 7S-3ASR
AI summary

AutoZone, Inc. filed a Form S-3ASR (automatic shelf registration) on July 7, 2026, registering an unspecified amount of debt securities for future issuance on a delayed or continuous basis; as a well-known seasoned issuer (WKSI) the registration becomes effective upon filing. The shelf registers generic debt securities, with specific terms to be set at the time of each offering. This S-3ASR was filed simultaneously with a 424B5 prospectus supplement (see companion filing), indicating an imminent note issuance. The shelf itself is routine capital markets preparation for a large-cap issuer; any immediate dilution or debt increase is captured in the paired prospectus.

+ 8 other (4 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 routine 8-K · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

AutoZone (AZO) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for Investorszacks.com·10h agoAutoZone, Inc. $AZO Holdings Raised by Krilogy Financial LLCdefenseworld.net·3d agoAutoZone, Inc. $AZO Position Trimmed by Terra Nova Asset Management LLCdefenseworld.net·4d agoIs Trending Stock AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) a Buy Now?zacks.com·5d agoGalvin Gaustad & Stein LLC Sells 233 Shares of AutoZone, Inc. $AZOdefenseworld.net·8d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $AZO on X in the last 7 days.

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