TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$GVA
GVGVA

Granite Construction Incorporated

$GVA·$5.2B·Engineering & Construction·Industrials
$115.08-0.6%YTD-0.3%1Y+6.9%
Price updated 12m ago·X counts updated 4d ago
GVGVA
$GVAGranite Construction Incorporated
$115.08-0.62%20 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

On X

The complete picture of $GVA on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

20X posts · last 7 days
Aug 31Sep 13
Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-07

Granite Construction is a top-3 Altindex Top Stocks name (score 83) and top-3 AI-score name (79-83) across multiple daily updates alongside CEG, POWL, AU, VIRT, IRDM, OKE, TER, LLY and JKHY. The Altindex AI score 'combines AI and alternative data to assess a stock's minus-side probability.' Posters treat inclusion as validation without deep fundamental analysis in the sample.

Read what X is saying about $GVA

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
Free, forever. No credit card.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $GVA — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-09-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Granite Construction at 29% of 52w — $273.7M settlement Aug 13, 31% Wall Street upside call Aug 27.

Granite Construction is the US infrastructure contractor down 0.3% YTD and up 7% over 12 months at 29% of 52w. Settled $273.7M aggregate settlement Aug 13, and 30.86% Wall Street upside call Aug 27.

  • Business growing: Q2 revenue grew 29.3% YoY to $1.46B at 16% gross margin and 6% op margin — real infrastructure-cycle scaling on $5.2B mcap franchise with 11% ROIC.
  • Valuation reasonable: P/E -32 (accounting-heavy, settlement charge) but 1.07x sales with 7.3% FCF yield — sales multiple gives real support.
  • Aug 13 $273.7M settlement + Aug 7 10%+ beneficial owner Form 3 + Aug 4 material agreement + Sep 10 dividend + Sep 9 Two Medicine Road project — coherent cadence.

Nov 5: EPS above $3.40 and infrastructure-backlog/IIJA commentary breaks the cool; a construction-cycle slowdown cools 29%-of-52w.

What to watch: The Nov 5 Q3 print — EPS above $3.40 and infrastructure-backlog/IIJA commentary. A construction-cycle slowdown is what cools 29%-of-52w.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

earnings within 60dsettlement resolvedinfrastructure setup

Read the AI verdict on $GVA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Heavy civil construction contractor specializing in transportation, water, tunneling, and public infrastructure projects across the western US.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Engineering & Construction sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GVA.

Engineering & Construction · Industrials

Engineering and construction order books are at record levels driven by data-centre electrical infrastructure, grid modernisation under IIJA, and LNG/industrial construction; labour scarcity remains the binding constraint on output growth, with Sterling's record backlog and FIX's modular expansion both evidencing sustained demand.

What this means for $GVA

Partial — heavy civil infrastructure (roads, bridges, water) benefits from IIJA funding; limited direct AI data-centre exposure but public-sector backlog provides visibility into multi-year revenue stream.

Industry benchmark

20-name peer basket
+16.7%YTD
+27.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-32.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
11.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
6.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-16.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
15.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$2.16$2.25-4.0%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$-0.96$-0.77-25.2%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$1.40$1.34+4.5%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$2.70$2.56+5.5%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $3.40

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$1.5B+29.3%16.4%8.7%$-6.37$85.7M
Q1 FY26$912.5M+30.4%12.0%-3.4%$-0.96$-57.0M
Q4 FY25$1.2B+19.2%14.4%5.2%$1.19$128.8M
Q3 FY25$1.4B+12.4%18.2%10.0%$2.36$257.5M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.4B$5.3B – $5.4B-$3.93-$3.97 – -$3.874
FY27$5.9B$5.8B – $6.0B$7.47$7.36 – $7.574
FY28$6.1B$6.1B – $6.1B$8.21$8.09 – $8.322

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.29%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-8.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 43.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.335-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 6Carlos M HernandezDirector400 sh$50KBuyJun 15Romer John TimothyDirector375 sh$54KBuyJun 12Romer John TimothyDirector375 sh$53KSellJun 8Michael G TatuskoPresident7.5K sh$1.1MSellJun 8Williams Bradley JayPresident6.7K sh$949KSellMar 30Kyle T LarkinCEO12.0K sh$1.4MSellMar 27Staci M WoolseyCFO3.5K sh$415KSellMar 27Brian R DowdPresident6.1K sh$726KSellMar 27Kyle T LarkinCEO26.7K sh$3.1M
+ 14 other (9 awards · 5 inkinds) in window

See when $GVA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KUnregistered equity saleAug 138-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Granite Construction Incorporated (Watsonville, CA; NYSE: GVA) settled the full $273.7 million aggregate principal of its outstanding 3.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028 on August 12, 2026, paying approximately $715 million in cash and issuing 662,383 shares of common stock to converting noteholders (using the Section 3(a)(9) exchange exemption). The cash outlay was partly offset by approximately $148 million received from unwinding the related capped call transactions with counterparty financial institutions on August 11, 2026 under unwind agreements signed August 4, 2026. The net cash outflow substantially exceeds par value, reflecting Granite's elevated stock price versus the notes' conversion terms. This large-scale balance-sheet restructuring retires convertible debt but entails a sizable premium cash payment alongside modest equity dilution.

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 73
AI summary

A new 10%+ beneficial owner filed a Form 3 initial statement of ownership for GVA (GVA) dated 2026-08-07. The filing reports initial beneficial ownership of shares, representing approximately a 10%+ stake of outstanding shares. Form 3 is required within 10 days of crossing the 10% ownership threshold and is an administrative disclosure. This indicates significant insider or institutional accumulation and may precede further Schedule 13D/G activity.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 78-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

GVA (GVA) disclosed an officer or director change (Item 5.02) on 2026-08-07. Details: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Executive transitions are administrative disclosures; materiality depends on the seniority of the affected position. No financial terms were disclosed in this filing.

8-KAgreement terminatedAug 48-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated
AI summary

GVA (GVA) entered into a material agreement with a counterparty on 2026-08-04, involving $273.7 million. Other items: Item 1.02. closed, on May 19, 2026, Granite Construction Incorporated (the “Company”) annou. This is a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01) requiring immediate disclosure under SEC rules. Investors should review the agreement terms for financial obligations, dilution, or strategic implications.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 108-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

GVA (GVA) filed a Reg FD disclosure (Item 7.01) on 2026-07-10, furnishing an investor presentation or Reg FD disclosure. Reg FD filings ensure simultaneous public disclosure of material information shared with select investors. This is generally informational; no new deal terms or financial results were announced unless otherwise noted. Investors should review the attached exhibit for updated guidance or strategic commentary.

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KMaterial agreementJun 28-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 198-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 13 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Financial Survey: APi Group (NYSE:APG) and Granite Construction (NYSE:GVA)defenseworld.net·5d agoGranite Declares Quarterly Dividendbusinesswire.com·7d agoGranite Awarded Two Medicine Road Rehabilitation Project in Glacier National Parkbusinesswire.com·8d agoEMCOR vs. Granite: Which Construction Stock is the Better Buy Now?zacks.com·20d agoWall Street Analysts See a 30.86% Upside in Granite Construction (GVA): Can the Stock Really Move This High?zacks.com·21d ago

More in Engineering & Construction

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$FLR$PWR$AGX$STRL$FIX$MTZ$PRIM$DY
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $GVA on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport