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TickerTalks›$FIX
FIFIX

Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 56% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (166/wk), no spike
$FIX·$62B·Engineering & Construction·Industrials
$1690.02-2.7%YTD+85.0%1Y+222.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 26 posts2026-07-09: 94 posts2026-07-10: 23 posts2026-07-11: 5 posts2026-07-12: 5 posts2026-07-13: 6 posts2026-07-14: 5 posts1660%
Price updated 4m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
FIFIX
$FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.
$1,690.02-2.69%166 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $FIX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Comfort Systems up 222% in a year on AI data-center MEP — Goldman initiated Buy with $2,159 PT.

Comfort Systems USA is the largest US mechanical/electrical/plumbing (MEP) contractor — the specialty-services company that installs HVAC, electrical, and plumbing systems in commercial and industrial buildings. The stock is up 222% over the past year on the AI-data-center-buildout MEP demand.

  • Revenue grew 56% YoY last quarter with a 17% operating margin — real explosive top-line acceleration; the data-center MEP-services demand is exactly where Comfort Systems has been positioned to benefit.
  • Trades at 53x TTM earnings, 6.4x sales, and a 2.1% FCF yield — expensive multiples that only make sense if the AI-data-center MEP demand keeps compounding.
  • Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with Buy and PT $2,159 — real sell-side conviction backing the AI-infrastructure-boom-beneficiary framing; the setup captures the specific sector tailwind.
  • Chairman Franklin Myers sold $13M on June 26 — meaningful insider distribution at these levels, and the timing worth naming as a signal to watch.
  • 52-week position 78th percentile with position vs 200-day MA +30% — the tape has fully confirmed the AI-infrastructure thesis; the setup rewards continued execution.

July 23 Q2 earnings is the confirming catalyst: revenue growth held above 50% plus specific data-center-MEP backlog commentary is what continues the run; a modest print with cautious guide is where the 78th percentile position gives back. Real AI-data-center-MEP beneficiary with real operational execution and real insider distribution to name — the setup rewards a clean beat and continued backlog acceleration.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take on Goldman's $2,159 PT with the AI-infrastructure-beneficiary framing is analytically fair. The Chairman Myers $13M sale is worth flagging even in the bullish setup; the 'take shorts at $1744 targeting $1450' bear framing captures the appropriate tape-level caution.

What to watch: July 23 Q2 earnings — need revenue growth held above 50% and specific data-center-MEP backlog commentary. A modest print with cautious guide is where the 78th percentile position gives back.

On the calendar: 2026-07-23 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

Comfort Systems USA chatter is bullish. Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with Buy rating and PT $2,159 - calling FIX a 'key beneficiary of the AI infrastructure boom' with significant leverage as a leading mechanical/electrical contractor. Some traders take shorts at $1744 targeting the open gap at $1450, but bulls dominate. Community broadly long.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $FIX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Installs and maintains HVAC, electrical, and plumbing systems in commercial and industrial buildings across the U.S.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Engineering & Construction sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $FIX.

Engineering & Construction · Industrials

No material change from last week — hyperscaler campus builds requiring mission-critical electrical, mechanical, and plumbing contractors have pushed PWR's backlog to $50B, with FIX (Comfort..

What this means for $FIX

Partial — Installs and maintains HVAC, electrical, and plumbing systems in commercial and industrial buildings across the U.S; the hyperscaler campus builds requiring mission-critical MEP infrastructure is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
+49.7%YTD
+76.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
53.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
37.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
15.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
51.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
25.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$10.51$6.81+54.3%
Q4 2025Feb 19, 2026$9.37$6.75+38.8%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$8.25$6.29+31.2%
Q2 2025Jul 24, 2025$6.53$4.84+34.9%
Next earningsThu, Jul 23·consensus EPS $10.45

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.9B+56.5%26.3%16.9%$10.52$241.4M
Q4 FY25$2.6B+41.7%25.5%16.1%$9.38$402.4M
Q3 FY25$2.5B+35.2%24.8%15.5%$8.26$517.9M
Q2 FY25$2.2B+20.1%23.5%13.8%$6.54$221.2M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$12.0B$11.8B – $12.1B$43.63$41.93 – $45.237
FY27$14.2B$12.6B – $15.4B$54.17$44.08 – $61.167
FY28$16.8B$16.4B – $17.2B$68.46$61.37 – $75.542

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.78%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-7.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+29.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 34.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.665-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 24Franklin MyersDirector6.7K sh$13.1MSellMay 27Rhoman J HardyDirector342 sh$650KSellMay 11George William IiiCFO1.0K sh$2.0MSellMay 11Julie ShaeffCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER1.1K sh$2.2MSellMay 8George William IiiCFO4.0K sh$7.8MSellMay 7Franklin MyersDirector4.5K sh$8.6MSellMay 5Brian E. LaneCEO11.1K sh$21.9MSellApr 30Pablo G. Mercado,Director500 sh$890KSellApr 29William J SandbrookDirector1.5K sh$2.6MSellMar 3Terrence ReedSVP & CHRO1.1K sh$1.6M
1–10 of 15
+ 28 other (15 awards · 11 inkinds · 2 gifts) in window

See when $FIX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 93
AI summary

Initial Form 3 ownership statement filed by Craig Sasser, a newly reportable officer or director at Comfort Systems USA, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of company securities upon becoming a Section 16 reporting person. Routine Section 16(a) disclosure triggered by appointment or election to a qualifying role. No operational implications for the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 228-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Delaware 1-13011 76-0526487 reported a compensatory arrangement or officer/director change: in Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) and (c) On June 22, 2026, Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that Craig Sasser will transition from his current role as the Company’s Regional Vice President – Atlantic Region to the role of Company Chief Operating Officer, effective July 1, 2026. In connection w. Delaware 1-13011 76-0526487 furnished a Reg FD disclosure covering: in Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) and (c) On June 22, 2026, Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that Craig Sasser will transition from his current role as the Company’s Regional Vice President – Atlantic Region to the role of Company Chief Operating Officer, effective July 1, 2026. In connection w.

8-KShareholder voteMay 218-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) filed an 8-K on May 18, 2026 disclosing annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). Comfort Systems is a Houston, Texas-based building systems and mechanical construction company listed on the NYSE. Annual meeting results are routine governance disclosures.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 18-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

FIX filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-05-01. Covers: investor presentation slideshow. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 208-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 13 other (7 13Gs · 2 8-Ks · 1 10-Q · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Artisan Mid Cap Fund Q2 2026 Performance Reviewseekingalpha.com·1d agoComfort Systems (FIX) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investorszacks.com·3d agoArgan vs. Comfort Systems USA: Which AI Infrastructure Stock Is the Better Buy?fool.com·3d agoGoldman Sachs Just Made 4 Bold Calls: 2 Sells, 1 Buy, and a $2,159 Price Target On This Popular Stock247wallst.com·6d agoCan Modular Expansion Strengthen Comfort Systems' Growth Prospects?zacks.com·6d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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