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ERERO

Ero Copper Corp.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 107% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (106/wk), no spike
$ERO·$3.6B·Copper·Basic Materials
$38.83-2.5%YTD+0.3%1Y+176.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 57 posts2026-08-22: 9 posts106+9%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 8d ago
ERERO
$EROEro Copper Corp.
$38.83-2.49%106 posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ERO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Copper pure-play running +47% MTD — data-center demand is the tape.

Ero Copper is a Brazilian-focused copper producer with a growing gold franchise and multiple projects at various stages of ramp. Shares are essentially flat YTD but +177% TTM at $39, and this month's +47% shows the operating leverage is real.

  • Revenue and EPS are ramping: quarterly revenue ran $164M / $177M / $325M / $260M, gross margin at 43%, quarterly EPS at $0.68 / $0.34 / $0.75 / $1.03 — analysts model $1.24B and $3.83 EPS for the full year, so at $39 the stock is at roughly 10x forward for a copper name at this ramp.
  • The AI-data-center copper thesis is now catching: data-center demand is what's adding a burnished tan to this metal, and Ero's leverage into that pull is why +47% MTD is happening on top of copper's rip — this is the metal that goes into every server rack, transformer, and interconnect.
  • The technical setup supports it: IBD50 leadership with copper + gold leverage, EPS acceleration, and a wave-v setup above $39.80 targeting +115% from earlier levels — that's the shape of momentum still building, not exhausting, with an ATH daily close after the #2 print entry re-entry.

A Nov 3 Q3 print that shows realized copper price expansion, production growth, and any commentary on grade-improvement extends the run; a copper spot roll-over, a Brazilian operational incident, or a specific well/mine grade disappointment is what caps the tape.

Agrees with X sentimentX's bullish framing is well-anchored — the +47% MTD move, the copper + gold leverage, and the IBD50 leadership are all real; the RSI-divergence minority is a fair chart caveat but doesn't rebut the fundamental cycle.

What to watch: The Nov 3 Q3 print — realized copper price, production growth by mine, all-in-sustaining costs, and any grade-improvement commentary. A copper spot roll-over is what caps the tape.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment9 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

The mood on Ero Copper is bullish and momentum-driven — ERO is up 47% on the month and +50% since the last chart callout, testing the 61.8% extension around $39.24 with next targets at $43.92 and $49.74 and a wave-v aim of +115%. It sits on IBD-style relative-strength screens ("copper + gold leverage with earnings accelerating") with a hold-$39/breakout target of $43-45. The caveat is a daily-RSI bearish divergence: chartists warn that stalling here could form a larger top.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ERO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazilian copper producer operating the MCSA Mining Complex with gold and nickel byproduct credits in Bahia state.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Copper sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ERO.

Copper · Basic Materials

Copper demand is driven by two structural forces in parallel: grid infrastructure buildout (electrification) and data center cooling/wiring for AI deployments. Supply constraints from aging mine infrastructure and declining ore grades support the long-term price floor.

What this means for $ERO

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Ero Copper Corp.

Top industry ETF

$COPXGlobal X Copper Miners ETF
+14.2%YTD
+92.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
9.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
34.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
31.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
42.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.83$0.74+12.6%
Q1 2026May 4, 2026$0.69$0.56+23.2%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$1.04$1.06-1.9%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.27$0.36-25.0%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $1.14

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$259.5M+107.5%39.8%34.7%$1.03$19.9M
Q4 FY25$325.1M+165.3%50.9%43.9%$0.75$58.0M
Q3 FY25$177.1M+41.9%33.0%21.5%$0.34$23.9M
Q2 FY25$163.5M+39.6%41.2%29.3%$0.68$19.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.2B$1.2B – $1.3B$3.83$3.22 – $4.376
FY27$1.4B$1.2B – $1.5B$4.64$4.31 – $4.916
FY28$1.3B$1.2B – $1.5B$4.48$3.77 – $5.256
FY29$1.2B$1.1B – $1.4B$3.75$3.20 – $4.405
FY30$1.4B$1.2B – $1.6B$4.25$3.62 – $4.983

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.93%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+30.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+35.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 101.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.595-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 19 other (13 6-Ks · 4 13Gs · 1 SD · 1 40-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Bank of America Corp DE Sells 46,356 Shares of Ero Copper Corp. $EROdefenseworld.net·13d agoSoaring Data Center Demand Adds A Burnished Tan To This Metal Nameinvestors.com·20d agoEro Copper Target of Unusually Large Options Trading (NYSE:ERO)defenseworld.net·20d agoEro Copper Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·23d agoEro Copper: A Strong Q2, And Good Growth Prospectsseekingalpha.com·24d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

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Voices on X · top 7 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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