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TickerTalks›$ERO
ERERO

Ero Copper Corp.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 107% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (36 mentions/wk)
$ERO·$3.9B·Copper·Basic Materials
$34.75+0.8%YTD+20.2%1Y+43.8%
Price updated 13h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
ERERO
$EROEro Copper Corp.
$34.75+0.84%36 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $ERO on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

36X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ERO's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 72% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Chatter is upbeat as posters cheer ERO Copper's roughly 50% run alongside a strong copper backdrop, sharing breakout setups above $39.80 and targets stepping toward $43.92 and $49.74. The name appears repeatedly on relative-strength and CANSLIM screens, with one poster booking "nice profits" and trimming rather than adding. A technician flags a "bearish divergence" forming on the daily RSI and warns "there's a real chance a larger top is forming".

Read what X is saying about $ERO

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
Free, forever. No credit card.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ERO — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Ero Copper up 50% on copper tailwinds plus a 35% operating margin — the breakout setup is clean into Nov 3 earnings.

Ero Copper is a Brazilian pure-play copper producer with growing gold byproduct exposure — levered to Chinese decarbonization demand, data-center electrification, and the broader copper-structural-deficit narrative.

  • The P&L is firing with the cycle: Q2 revenue grew 107% YoY to $260M at a 35% operating margin and $1.03 EPS, with trailing EPS beats of 13% and 23% — these are the kinds of surprises you see when realized metal prices are running meaningfully above sell-side modeling.
  • The chart setup is specific: a 50% YTD run, repeat appearance on relative-strength and CANSLIM screens, breakout levels above $39.80 targeting $43.92 then $49.74 — a technician flagging a bearish RSI divergence is honest caution, but divergences on strong-fundamental names resolve more often than they predict.

At 87% of its 52-week range and 26% above the 200-day going into Nov 3 earnings, this is a confirmed-breakout tape rather than a coil. Another 20%+ EPS surprise with copper-pricing-and-production commentary is the trigger for the next leg; a soft gold-byproduct contribution or any Brazilian-operations-safety signal is the first warning.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish breakout setup, CANSLIM screening presence, and specific technical targets are all grounded. The RSI divergence hedge is honest — size appropriately on a 50% run.

What to watch: Nov 3 Q3 earnings — realized copper price, production volume, Brazil operations commentary, and FY27 guide. 20%+ EPS surprise plus production growth is the trigger; a Brazil operations signal is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dcopper cycle

Read the AI verdict on $ERO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazilian copper producer operating the MCSA Mining Complex with gold and nickel byproduct credits in Bahia state.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Copper sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ERO.

Copper · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — EV adoption, grid electrification, and AI data-center power wiring sustain structural copper demand against constrained supply.

What this means for $ERO

Partial — Brazilian copper producer operating the MCSA Mining Complex with gold and nickel byproduct credits in Bahia state.

Top industry ETF

$COPXGlobal X Copper Miners ETF
+9.9%YTD
+27.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
9.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
34.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
31.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
42.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.83$0.74+12.6%
Q1 2026May 4, 2026$0.69$0.56+23.2%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$1.04$1.06-1.9%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.27$0.36-25.0%
Next earningsMon, Nov 2·consensus EPS $1.12

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$259.5M+107.5%39.8%34.7%$1.03$19.9M
Q4 FY25$325.1M+165.3%50.9%43.9%$0.75$58.0M
Q3 FY25$177.1M+41.9%33.0%21.5%$0.34$23.9M
Q2 FY25$163.5M+39.6%41.2%29.3%$0.68$19.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.3B$1.3B – $1.3B$4.12$3.98 – $4.257
FY27$1.4B$1.3B – $1.5B$4.85$4.17 – $5.517
FY28$1.3B$1.2B – $1.5B$4.53$3.73 – $5.195
FY29$1.2B$1.1B – $1.4B$4.71$4.07 – $5.362
FY30$1.4B$1.2B – $1.5B$4.25$3.67 – $4.832

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.72%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+13.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 102.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.595-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 14 other (9 6-Ks · 4 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is Ero Copper Corp (ERO) a Bargain After 6.0% Drop? GF Value Says Undervaluedgurufocus.com·2d agoThe AI Boom Has a Copper Problem, and Here's One Stock the Smart Money Is Betting Oninvestorplace.com·5d ago3 Sectors Where Volatility Is Creating Entry Points, Not Exit Signalsmarketbeat.com·10d agoEro Copper to Release Third Quarter 2026 Operating and Financial Results on November 2, 2026globenewswire.com·15d agoReviewing Endeavour Silver (NYSE:EXK) and Ero Copper (NYSE:ERO)defenseworld.net·16d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

More in Copper

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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