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ELELVA

Electrovaya Inc.

$ELVA·$481M·Electrical Equipment & Parts·Industrials
$6.67+0.3%YTD+16.3%1Y+10.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 1 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts2026-08-24: 4 posts80%
Price updated 11m ago·X counts updated 7d ago
ELELVA
$ELVAElectrovaya Inc.
$6.67+0.28%8 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ELVA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Lithium-ion battery maker cut FY guidance below prior 30% growth thesis — Q3 miss broke the tape, and there's no obvious reset catalyst.

Electrovaya makes proprietary lithium-ion batteries and battery systems, primarily targeting industrial materials-handling (forklifts, mining vehicles) with a Canadian manufacturing base. The equity has been a bet on the industrial-electrification wave; the recent Q3 print undermines the pace.

  • Fiscal Q3 revenue came in at $17.7M, missing the $21.7M estimate (up just 3% YoY) — the growth curve broke in one quarter, and the FY26 revenue guide was cut to $70-73M against a prior $83M consensus, implying full-year growth well below the prior 'above 30%' expectation.
  • Stock is +16% year-to-date and +46% over 12 months but dropped 19% on the Q3 miss — the tape has essentially given back the fresh-guidance-driven optimism from earlier in the year.
  • Trades at ~104x trailing earnings and 86x EV/EBITDA — a growth multiple that only makes sense if growth actually shows up; at the newly-guided pace, the multiple is likely to compress faster than the underlying business.
  • Oppenheimer cut the price target from $14 to $13 (Outperform reiterated) — the sell-side is trimming rather than defending, which is the specific pattern that keeps a broken growth story broken.

What restarts the move is Dec 9 fiscal Q4 landing at or above the newly-lowered $70-73M FY guide alongside a specific order-book update for fiscal 2027 — both together give the value case something to work with. What confirms the breakdown is another guide cut or a specific large-customer loss disclosure; the P&L doesn't self-fund the shortfall at this scale.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bearish X read (Q3 miss $17.7M vs $21.7M, FY guide cut to $70-73M vs $83M, -19.2% stock reaction, Oppenheimer PT cut) matches the mechanics. The 'doing nothing until I see more' posture from bulls is the honest position — the guide cut broke the thesis, and re-establishing it takes multiple quarters of numbers.

What to watch: Dec 9 fiscal Q4 earnings — hitting the newly-lowered $70-73M FY guide is the minimum. Any fiscal 2027 order-book update, particularly customer names, is what would restart the growth-story bid.

On the calendar: 2026-12-09 — Fiscal Q4 earnings

float missingbeta missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-17

Electrovaya chatter is bearish - Q3 revenue $17.7M missed $21.7M estimate (+3% YoY) and FY26 revenue guide was cut to ~$70M-$73M vs $83.3M consensus (below prior >30% growth expectation). Stock fell -19.2% and Oppenheimer cut the price target from $14 to $13 (Outperform reiterated). Bulls holding are 'doing nothing until I see more', calling the shortfall for Q3/Q4 substantial, shocking, and disappointing.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ELVA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Canadian lithium-ion battery manufacturer focused on industrial electric vehicles including forklifts and automated guided vehicles.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Electrical Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ELVA.

Electrical Equipment & Parts · Industrials

Grid modernization — driven by electrification, EV charging infrastructure, and AI data center power demand — is the central capex cycle pulling electrical equipment volumes. Backlog visibility is strong; execution risk is the near-term constraint, not demand.

What this means for $ELVA

Direct beneficiary — EV product exposure positions this company at the center of the powertrain transition; Electrovaya, Inc.

Industry benchmark

36-name peer basket
+23.2%YTD
+59.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
104.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
10.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-5.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
8.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
11.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
31.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$0.01$0.03-66.7%
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$0.02$0.01+100.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.02$0.01+100.0%
Q3 2025Dec 10, 2025$0.06$0.05+20.0%
Next earningsWed, Dec 9·consensus EPS $0.03

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$17.8M+18.5%31.0%8.5%$0.02$-22.1M
Q1 FY26$15.6M+39.3%32.9%8.8%$0.02$-14.2M
Q4 FY25$20.3M+75.3%30.2%11.7%$0.05$6.4M
Q3 FY25$17.1M+66.8%30.8%11.5%$0.02$-4.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$82.5M$80.0M – $85.1M$0.13$0.08 – $0.175
FY27$122.4M$109.6M – $150.1M$0.36$0.15 – $0.775
FY28$179.1M$150.9M – $210.1M$0.42$0.33 – $0.553
FY29$247.1M$223.7M – $284.1M$0.73$0.64 – $0.871
FY30$321.4M$291.0M – $369.5M$1.07$0.94 – $1.282

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.29%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-23.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-21.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 34.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.615-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 12 other (11 6-Ks · 1 6-K/A) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Electrovaya Targets Data Centers, Defense as Jamestown Battery Plant Nears 2027 Launchmarketbeat.com·2d agoElectrovaya Commences Factory Acceptance Testing of Cell Manufacturing Line for Jamestown Cell Manufacturing Facilityaccessnewswire.com·7d agoElectrovaya: A Bad Case Of Overpromising And Underdelivering - Sellseekingalpha.com·11d agoElectrovaya Q3 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·20d agoElectrovaya Inc. (ELVA) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimateszacks.com·21d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ELVA on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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