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DXDXYZ

Destiny Tech100 Inc.

$DXYZ·$789M·Asset Management·Financial Services
$32.13-7.5%YTD-20.7%1Y+18.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 8 posts2026-08-23: 2 posts112-1%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
DXDXYZ
$DXYZDestiny Tech100 Inc.
$32.13-7.51%112 posts-1%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $DXYZ, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Closed-end fund holding pre-IPO Anthropic (14.4%) and SpaceX (10.5%) — the Anthropic IPO decides most of the trade.

Destiny Tech100 is a listed closed-end fund holding pre-IPO stakes in the highest-profile private technology companies — Anthropic, SpaceX, OpenAI, others. It's the retail-accessible way to underwrite the coming AI-IPO cycle.

How the setup reads:

  • NAV mechanic is the story: Q2 NAV updated to $34.30 (above prior estimates), Destiny raised $715.4M net at ~NAV through the ATM, management added Anthropic exposure post-quarter — scaling into the pre-IPO cohort.
  • Holdings are concentrated: Anthropic 14.4%, SpaceX 10.5%, OpenAI 2.6% — Anthropic is the marquee position; a rumored IPO or secondary transaction would move NAV materially.
  • Trades near NAV: at $34.74 vs $34.30 NAV, close to par — market treating DXYZ as fair-value exposure, not discount-hunting.
  • Position is accelerating: 27% above the 50-day, 12% above the 200-day but only at 28% of the 52-week range — real recovery off deep lows with room in range.
  • Insider signal silent: zero recent transactions — fund structure means insider filings are less informative.

Watch two things: an Anthropic IPO filing or valuation update (each moves DXYZ NAV directly) and the ATM issuance pace (if it dilutes NAV per share, the trade breaks); an Anthropic IPO print at a premium to current private marks is the specific event that reprices this into the $40s.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree — the bull setup (NAV $34.30, Q2 ATM $715.4M at ~NAV, top holdings Anthropic 14.4% / SpaceX 10.5% / OpenAI 2.6%, technical tightening, pre-Anthropic-IPO exposure vehicle framing) all map to real filings; the minority 'don't-buy' posts read as promoter noise, not substantive counter-argument.

What to watch: An Anthropic IPO filing or private-market valuation update (moves DXYZ NAV directly) and the ATM issuance pace — an Anthropic IPO print at a premium to current marks is the specific event that reprices this into the $40s.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment14 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Destiny Tech100 is polarized after its Q2 NAV update. Bulls anchor on NAV rising to $34.30/share and the pending Anthropic IPO, with one poster modeling ~$50–$58/share if SpaceX and Anthropic marks are refreshed. Skeptics call the update 'dogshit wrapped in dogshit,' noting the fund raised $715M via ATM at its own self-marked NAV, sits 57% in T-bills, trimmed Anthropic to 14%, and dumped $150M into OpenAI 'at the hype top.'

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $DXYZ

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Closed-end fund giving retail investors listed access to stakes in up to 100 late-stage private technology unicorns.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Asset Management sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $DXYZ.

Asset Management · Financial Services

Equity market strength is driving AUM growth through market appreciation more than net flows; fee compression continues in passive products while alternatives and private markets hold pricing. Rising markets mask organic flow dynamics — the structural story is the shift toward private asset exposure.

What this means for $DXYZ

Partial — consumer discretionary / retail performance tracks consumer spending trends; Destiny Tech100, Inc.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+13.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
12.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-15.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
-160.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
17.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
57.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY25$1.5M+438.8%-108%2599%$3.06$-10.1M
Q2 FY25$-4.3M-5381.4%0.0%-121%$0.48$-1.5M
Q4 FY24$1.7M+1688.0%50.7%809%$1.29$-1.2M
Q2 FY24$167K—-488%1643%$0.31—

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.23%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+16.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+3.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 29.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today5.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β5.515-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 26424B5
AI summary

Destiny Tech100 Inc. (DXYZ) filed a 424B5 to sell up to $1 billion in common stock via an ATM agreement with Jefferies LLC. As of March 31, 2026, DXYZ's net asset value per share was $24.56, while shares last traded at $61.66 on May 21, 2026—a ~2.5x premium to NAV. The filing acknowledges significant unexplained price volatility since NYSE listing in March 2024. Selling at a premium to NAV is accretive to NAV per share but the $1 billion ATM is massive relative to the fund and potentially dilutive to future returns.

+ 9 other (2 NPORT-Ps · 2 POS EXs · 1 N-CSRS · 1 13G) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Destiny Tech100 Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsgurufocus.com·3d agoDestiny Tech100 Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsbusinesswire.com·3d agoDXYZ Is A Great Way To Play Anthropic Pre-IPOseekingalpha.com·60d agoDestiny Tech100 Stock Surges as SpaceX Prepares To Trade — Here's What Investors Need to Knowbenzinga.com·81d agoRanking the Market's Bets on 3 Blockbuster IPOs: OpenAI, Stripe, and Consensys247wallst.com·85d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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