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DSDSECF

Daiwa Securities Group Inc.

$DSECF·$13B·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$9.690.0%YTD+21.9%1Y+43.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-28: 0 posts2026-07-29: 0 posts2026-07-30: 0 posts2026-07-31: 0 posts2026-08-01: 0 posts2026-08-02: 0 posts2026-08-03: 0 posts0
Price updated 13h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
DSDSECF
$DSECFDaiwa Securities Group Inc.
$9.690.00%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $DSECF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-04

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Daiwa Securities just printed a huge Q1 fiscal beat with 189% revenue growth and 18% OM — the setup is genuine but the illiquid ADR tape makes it hard to trade.

Daiwa Securities (DSECF) is Japan's second-largest securities firm, running retail brokerage (177 branches plus online), institutional wholesale (equities, bonds, FX, derivatives, M&A advisory), asset management (investment trusts and advisory), and direct investment (private equity, real estate, infrastructure). Q1 fiscal delivered a 189% revenue-growth print into a thin ADR tape.

  • Q1 fiscal was a step-change: revenue grew 189% YoY to ¥433B with 18% OM and ¥40.36 EPS beating by 3% — Japanese capital-markets acceleration from wholesale and asset-management strength, marking a genuine cycle-turn.
  • Four straight EPS beats (3%, 19%, 17%, 22,499%) confirm sell-side is chronically behind the Japanese cycle recovery.
  • The 97% of 52w range positioning is technically extended: DSECF at 97% of 52w range with 15% above 200-day — trend confirmation, though ADR volume is effectively zero so position sizing is constrained.
  • The 14x TTM P/E on 14% TTM OM is real value framing: DSECF trades at 14x TTM earnings on 15% FCF yield — reasonable value into the recovery, though 3.3x D/E is the balance-sheet risk if Japanese rates back up.

Nov 3 Q2 fiscal is the next check. Continued capital-markets strength plus wholesale and asset-management commentary restarts compounding; a miss or soft rate-cycle commentary pauses the setup with 14x P/E as the value floor.

What to watch: Nov 3 Q2 fiscal print: continued Japanese capital-markets strength plus wholesale and asset-management commentary restarts compounding. A miss or soft rate-cycle commentary pauses the setup with 14x P/E as the value floor.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q2 fiscal earnings, EPS est $0.24

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. (DSECF), headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, operates predominantly as a securities brokerage and dealing firm across both domestic and international markets, alongside its various subsidiaries. Established in 1902, the company adopted its current name in 1999, having previously been known as Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. Its extensive operations are structured across four distinct business segments: Retail, Wholesale, Asset Management, and Investment. The Retail segment caters to individual investors, delivering online and telephone-based securities services through a broad network of 177 physical branches and sales offices, complemented by non-face-to-face channels such as its internet platform and dedicated call center. The Wholesale segment focuses on institutional investors and corporate clients, offering comprehensive sales and trading services for equities, bonds, foreign exchange, and derivative products. This division also provides robust investment banking solutions, including securities underwriting and M&A advisory. The Asset Management segment is responsible for structuring and overseeing investment trusts, primarily for individual clients and financial institutions, while additionally providing specialized investment advisory services and general asset management. The Investment segment engages in direct investment ventures, encompassing loans, private equity, and real estate, alongside strategic commitments in the energy, infrastructure, and resource sectors. Beyond these core business areas, Daiwa Securities Group offers a wide array of services including research and consulting, information technology solutions, banking, insurance, wrap accounts, and inheritance-related planning. The group is also actively involved in other securities-related businesses, investment advisory and agency services, investment management, and the lending and borrowing of real estate properties.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $DSECF.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

No material change from last week — Robinhood reporting its highest single-day signups confirms the retail infrastructure layer directly benefits from high-profile IPO cycles.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+8.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
14.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
14.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
15.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
10.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
53.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 3, 2026$0.25$0.24+2.8%
Q1 2026Apr 27, 2026$0.23$0.19+19.1%
Q4 2025Feb 2, 2026$0.21$0.18+17.1%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$33.74$0.15+22498.8%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $0.24

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$432.6B+18910.2%59.5%18.1%$40.36—
Q4 FY26$394.8B+46.3%57.6%15.2%$36.75$0
Q3 FY26$374.6B+134.1%56.1%16.6%$33.64$0
Q2 FY26$381.3B+15365.0%55.7%13.4%$35.00$0

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$875.9B$874.2B – $877.5B$143.77$143.30 – $144.252
FY28$896.9B$894.0B – $899.7B$145.96$145.48 – $146.442
FY29$925.9B$923.6B – $928.3B$151.57$151.07 – $152.071
FY30$820.2B$818.2B – $822.3B$166.11$165.57 – $166.661
FY31$1.51T$1.50T – $1.51T$171.24$170.68 – $171.801

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.—Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.97%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-0.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+15.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.1B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.β0.515-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $DSECF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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