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DMDMRC

Digimarc Corp.

$DMRC·$178M·Software - Application·Technology
$6.01-3.7%YTD+11.9%1Y-29.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 2 posts2026-08-21: 2 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts2026-08-24: 0 posts40%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 5d ago
DMDMRC
$DMRCDigimarc Corp.
$6.01-3.69%4 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $DMRC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Digital-watermarking micro-cap with a Microsoft-catalyst pitch — the tape doesn't buy it, and revenue is contracting.

Digimarc provides digital-identity, watermarking, and authentication solutions — a niche category with real technical IP but a limited addressable revenue base. The bull case has been Microsoft Build 2026 catalyst-plus-AI-content-trust narrative; the tape has been steadily distributing.

  • Q1 revenue was down 19% year-on-year to $7.6M with a -94% operating margin — the business is small and burning cash aggressively at this scale.
  • Q2 EPS came in at -$0.54 vs -$0.33 consensus (64% miss on a negative expected number) — the pattern of chronic misses shows sell-side unable to model the pace of decline.
  • Trades at ~9x TTM sales — genuinely expensive for a business shrinking at 20%; the multiple assumes the AI-content-trust narrative pans out.
  • Sits at the 19th percentile of the 52-week range and 12% below the 200-day trend — the tape has been in aggressive distribution, and the +12% year-to-date is a bounce off lows rather than sustained recovery.

What restarts the move is Oct 29 Q3 confirming revenue year-on-year returns to positive alongside a specific Microsoft or Adobe partnership dollar-value disclosure. What confirms the breakdown is another quarter of revenue decline or a fresh dilutive raise; the AI-content-trust thesis needs a real customer signature, not more presentations.

Differs from X sentimentThe bullish X Microsoft-Build-2026 catalyst framing with the AI-content-trust angle and short-squeeze setup on the tight float has been the specific bull case for months. What the crowd is under-weighting is that Q2 revenue actually shrank 19% and gross margin fell to 56% — the fundamentals moved the wrong direction from the thesis.

What to watch: Oct 29 Q3 earnings — revenue growth trajectory and any specific customer contract announcements with Microsoft, Adobe, or similar. Watch for follow-on 8-Ks on strategic partnerships.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-04

Digimarc is being framed as a Microsoft Build 2026 catalyst setup with 2.62M short interest on a tightly held 15M float and existing MSFT/ADBE relationships, plus a new 'AI-generated content trust infrastructure' announcement positioning the company against the EU AI Act mandate. Chart accounts cite price clearing key technical levels with a gap-fill target near $26 and a launch with 'a select group of early build partners and platform collaborators.' Corpus is thin but uniformly long; no real bear thread.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $DMRC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Provides digital watermarking and product ID technology for packaging authentication, supply chain traceability, and recycling sorting.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $DMRC.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — platforms where agents expand contract value (ServiceNow, Snowflake) are re-rated upward, while tools where agents substitute human users (Adobe Creative..

What this means for $DMRC

Neutral — Provides digital watermarking and product ID technology for packaging authentication, supply chain traceability, and recycling sorting; limited read-through from software - application macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+0.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-10.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-71.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-85.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
9.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-67.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
59.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-0.54$-0.33-63.6%
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$-0.32$-0.36+11.1%
Q4 2025Mar 11, 2026$-0.19$-0.24+20.8%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$-0.38$-0.23-65.2%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $-0.37

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$7.6M-19.1%56.0%-94.2%$-0.32$-1.9M
Q4 FY25$8.9M+2.9%63.5%-47.8%$-0.19$895K
Q3 FY25$7.6M-19.2%58.3%-98.6%$-0.38$-2.8M
Q2 FY25$8.0M-22.8%58.8%-105%$-0.38$-5.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$29.1M$29.0M – $29.2M-$1.27-$1.33 – -$1.222
FY27$31.5M$31.4M – $31.6M-$1.24-$1.35 – -$1.132
FY28$115.4M$115.1M – $115.8M$0.00$0.00 – $0.001

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.14%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-14.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-18.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 16.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.305-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 23 other (19 awards · 4 inkinds) in window

See when $DMRC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 128-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Digimarc Corporation (DMRC), an Oregon-based digital watermarking and product intelligence company, filed an 8-K on August 12, 2026, disclosing a board of directors change. Riley McCormack resigned from the board, effective immediately, pursuant to the terms of a subscription agreement dated September 29, 2020, between TCM Strategic Partners L.P. and Digimarc's predecessor. The board simultaneously elected Paul Carreiro to fill the vacancy created by McCormack's departure, with Carreiro serving until the next annual shareholder meeting when the board intends to nominate him for election. As an executive officer of the company, Carreiro will not sit on board committees and will receive no additional director compensation. The transition appears orderly and contractually predetermined, suggesting no governance controversy, though investors may want to assess what perspective McCormack brought as a TCM Strategic Partners designee.

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 53
AI summary

Thomas Ron (Last) (First) (Middle) 8500 SW CREEKSIDE PLACE (Street) BEAVERTON OREGON 97008 (City) (State) (Zip) UNITED STATES (Country) 2. Date of Event Requiring Statement (Month/Day/Year) 08/03/2026 3. Issuer Name and Ticker or Trading Symbol Digimarc Corp [ DMRC ] 3a. Foreign Trading Symbol 5. If Amendment, Date of Original Filed (Month/Day/Year) 4. Relationship of Reporting Person(s) to Issuer (Check all applicable) Director 10% Owner X Officer (give title below) Other (specify below) EVP, Chief Revenue Officer 6. Individual or Joint/Group Filing (Check Applicable Line) X Form filed by One Reporting Person Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned 1. Title of Security (Instr. 4) 2. Amount of Securities Beneficially Owned (Instr. 4) 3. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 4. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Common Stock 0 D Table II - Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned (e.g., puts, calls, warrants, options, convertible securities) 1. Title of Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 2. Date Exercisable and Expiration Date (Month/Day/Year) 3. Title and Amount of Securities Underlying Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 4. Conversion or Exercise Price of Derivative Security 5. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 6. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Date Exercisable Expiration Date Title Amount or Number of Shares Explanation of Responses: /s/ Ron Thomas 08/03/2026 ** Signature of Reporting Person Date Reminder: Report on a separate line for each class of securities beneficially owned directly or indirectly. * If the form is filed by more than one reporting person, see Instruction 5 (b)(v). ** Intentional misstatements or omissions of facts constitute Federal Criminal Violations See 18 U.S.C. 1001 and 15 U.S.C. 78ff(a). Note: File three copies of this Form, one of which must be manually signed. If space is insufficient, see Instruction 6 for procedure. Persons who respond to the collection of information contained in this form are not required to respond unless the form displays a currently valid OMB Number. * Form 3: SEC 1473 (03-26) filed an initial statement of beneficial ownership (Form 3) as a Director of DMRC, with an event date of 1473. The filer directly owns 0 shares of common stock. This is a routine insider-ownership disclosure with no indication of open-market purchases or activist intent.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 16SC 13D/A
AI summary

Ocho Investments LLC and manager Andris Upitis filed Amendment No. 2 to SC 13D on Digimarc Corporation (DMRC), disclosing 1,325,000 shares (5.9%). The amendment reveals active engagement with the Digimarc board on (1) board composition including Ocho designees and resignation of legacy directors, (2) financing alternatives to address Digimarc's going-concern disclosure, and (3) other strategic and governance matters. This is a significant activist development given Digimarc's going-concern status; Ocho is pushing for structural change.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 83
AI summary

Paul Carreiro, newly appointed CEO of Digimarc Corp (DMRC), filed a Form 3 on July 7, 2026 disclosing ownership of 0 shares of common stock at the time of his appointment (effective July 6, 2026). Routine administrative filing for a new reporting officer; no shares held at appointment.

S-3Shelf registrationJul 7S-3
AI summary

Digimarc Corporation filed a Form S-3 shelf registration statement on July 6, 2026, to register an unspecified amount of securities for potential future offering on a delayed or continuous basis. Digimarc is a smaller reporting company headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon. The S-3 is connected to a corporate reorganization — the excerpt references an 'Explanatory Note' suggesting it relates to the company's recent name change from Digimarc Parent, Inc. to Digimarc Corporation. This is a preparatory capital markets filing that does not indicate an immediate offering.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 68-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Digimarc Corporation disclosed the compensation package for its new President and CEO Paul Carreiro (appointed effective July 6, 2026) on July 6, 2026. His inducement equity award consists of 307,400 time-vesting LTIP Units (vesting in 15 equal quarterly installments from September 2026 through June 2030) plus 752,600 performance-vesting LTIP Units in DMRC LLC (a subsidiary). The time-vesting grant alone equates to approximately $4.2M at the June 5 price of $13.63. These are material inducement grants to attract a new chief executive; investors should note the ongoing dilution from unvested units.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 18SC 13D/A
AI summary

A Schedule 13D/A (Amendment No. 3) was filed on June 18, 2026 regarding Digimarc Corporation common stock, amending prior filings from October 2020 and subsequent amendments. The filer's identity and the specific changes to their beneficial ownership position are not available in the body excerpt as the text is truncated before the reporting person's details. Investors should review the full Schedule 13D/A for the filer's current stake and stated investment purpose.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 88-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Digimarc Corporation entered into an ATM (at-the-market) sales agreement with Needham & Company, LLC on June 8, 2026, allowing Digimarc to sell up to $17.5 million of common stock through Needham as agent at market prices at a 3.0% commission. The shares are registered on Digimarc's shelf (Form S-3 No. 333-272903, effectiveness amended May 21, 2026). This is a small equity raise facility; at the June 5 price of $13.63, $17.5M represents approximately 1.28 million shares. The same 8-K also confirmed the appointment of Paul Carreiro as the new President and CEO.

+ 34 other (7 S-8 POSs · 4 8-Ks · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 EFFECTs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Digimarc Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·16d agoDigimarc Corporation (DMRC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·16d agoDigimarc Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Resultsbusinesswire.com·17d agoDigimarc (NASDAQ:DMRC) Stock Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average – Here’s Whydefenseworld.net·25d agoDigimarc Appoints Enterprise Software Executive Ron Thomas as Chief Revenue Officerbusinesswire.com·27d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $DMRC on X in the last 7 days.

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