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COCOHR

Coherent, Inc.

$COHR·$74B·Hardware, Equipment & Parts·Technology
$325.83-0.4%YTD+72.2%1Y+255.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-08: 179 posts2026-08-09: 244 posts2026-08-10: 465 posts2026-08-11: 274 posts2026-08-12: 762 posts2026-08-13: 443 posts2026-08-14: 193 posts2,573+59%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 23h ago
COCOHR
$COHRCoherent, Inc.
$325.83-0.43%2.6k posts+59%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $COHR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-15

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

AI-DC networks need optics faster than the industry can build them, and Coherent has Nvidia's $2B check to lock in the supply.

Coherent makes the lasers and optical components that go into AI datacenter networks, industrial tools, and semiconductor manufacturing. It's the photonics play trading alongside Lumentum and AAOI — up ~4x in a year on the same 'AI networks need more optics than the industry can build' thesis.

The reason the move has legs:

  • Q4 delivered $2.05B in revenue (beat by 3%) with EPS of $1.74 versus $1.62 expected, and management's forward guide is well above what analysts modeled — the incremental orders reach into 2028 because customers are pre-booking capacity that doesn't exist yet.
  • Nvidia's $2B commitment is the anchor customer disclosure that turned the story from 'transceiver cycle' into 'strategic supply relationship' — Nvidia doesn't write $2B checks to hedge, it writes them to secure supply that its own accelerator roadmap depends on.
  • The valuation reflects all of the above: 51x EV/EBITDA and 120x trailing earnings — so any FCC action tightening the China optical-transceiver rules, or a hyperscaler pulling capex forecasts, resets the multiple faster than the operations reset the fundamentals.

The story extends while every quarterly print keeps raising the following one's guide and the Nvidia relationship deepens. The specific thing to watch: a July FCC rule on Chinese optical-transceiver imports could either lock in Coherent's share (bullish) or trigger a broader supply reshuffle that pauses the ramp.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree with the bullish tape — Q4 beat, Nvidia's $2B commitment, and orders booked to 2028 all line up with a supply-shortage story that's genuinely multi-year. The nuanced thread parsing the FCC rule is the one worth reading; it's a real second-order variable the celebratory posts are ignoring.

What to watch: The next Q1 FY27 print in early November and any FCC finalization of Chinese optical-transceiver rules: a guide raise plus a favorable FCC ruling extends the runway; either the guide going in-line or FCC pulling back what shipments count as 'domestic' pauses the multiple.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment157 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-14

Coherent's chatter is a photonics victory lap: the Q4 print ($2.1B vs $1.99B est, +34% YoY, guidance ahead) has posters framing this alongside Lumentum and AAOI as the leading edge of a multi-year InP shortage story. Nvidia's $2B commitment, orders reaching 2028, and 'seven straight green days' rallies dominate the tone. Skeptical takes exist — one nuanced thread parses whether the FCC's July rule actually hits Chinese optical transceivers or not — but bullish framing owns the conversation, with an 'all-in optics' meme taking hold.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $COHR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes industrial lasers, optical components, and photonic modules for manufacturing, telecom, and defense applications.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Hardware, Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $COHR.

Hardware, Equipment & Parts · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI data center buildout is intact but rotation from early YTD winners (SNDK +100%) compresses near-term premiums in the rack-to-server supply layer.

What this means for $COHR

Neutral — Makes industrial lasers, optical components, and photonic modules for manufacturing, telecom, and defense applications; limited read-through from hardware, equipment & parts macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
+75.7%YTD
+116.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
119.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
10.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
8.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
37.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 12, 2026$1.74$1.62+7.4%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.41$1.40+0.7%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$1.29$1.21+6.6%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$1.16$1.04+11.5%

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$1.8B+20.5%37.7%8.2%$1.01$-383.5M
Q2 FY26$1.7B+17.5%37.0%11.8%$0.87$-95.7M
Q1 FY26$1.6B+17.3%36.6%10.9%$1.24$-58.0M
Q4 FY25$1.5B+16.4%36.6%10.4%$-0.83$-1.1M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.1B$7.0B – $7.1B$5.46$5.40 – $5.5616
FY27$9.7B$8.8B – $10.8B$8.37$7.33 – $10.1716
FY28$13.4B$13.4B – $13.5B$13.26$12.69 – $14.2311
FY29$17.9B$15.5B – $20.5B$16.63$13.63 – $19.661

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.68%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+22.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 186.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.115-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 22Sherri R LutherCFO1.0K sh$307KSellMay 12Sherri R LutherCFO2.0K sh$746KSellMay 11Howard H. XiaDirector2.0K sh$709KSellApr 22Sherri R LutherCFO2.0K sh$702KSellMar 17Howard H. XiaDirector3.2K sh$783KSellMar 16Howard H. XiaDirector1.0K sh$258KSellMar 10Eng Julie SheridanCTO1.5K sh$375KSellMar 9Stephen A SkaggsDirector3.5K sh$857KSellMar 6Enrico DigirolomoDirector3.9K sh$945KSellMar 2Eng Julie SheridanCTO2.8K sh$814K
+ 7 other (4 exempts · 2 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $COHR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 53
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of COHR securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at COHR.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

COHR reported third quarter of fiscal year 2026 ended March 31, 202 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 288-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

COHR disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-28). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Chief Executive Officer, effective as of the Transition Date. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KUnregistered equity saleMar 28-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 8 other (6 13Gs · 1 SD · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

COHR Sells on Strong Earnings: Andrew Graham Sees Buy Opportunityyoutube.com·2d agoOptics Stocks Divide: Coherent and Cisco Drop After Earnings While Nokia and Ciena Soar247wallst.com·2d agoUnderstand How Coherent and Lumentum Bypass an AI Bottleneck With Optics247wallst.com·2d agoCoherent Posts Q4 Beat: Analyst Raises Price Target on Accelerating Data Center Growthbenzinga.com·2d agoClaims Rise Above Estimateszacks.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureQuantum ComputingRobotics & HumanoidsAI Photonics & Co-Packaged Optics

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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