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CICIIHF

CITIC Securities Company Limited

$CIIHF·$52B·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$3.500.0%1Y-14.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 0 posts2026-08-21: 0 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts0
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
CICIIHF
$CIIHFCITIC Securities Company Limited
$3.500.00%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CIIHF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Stuck sidewaysCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-28

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

China's largest broker at 12x earnings with a 45% free cash flow yield — and down 14% while its own earnings beat by 190%.

CITIC Securities is China's largest securities firm, spanning investment banking, brokerage, trading and market-making, asset management and private equity. The reported figures are strong but extremely lumpy, which is inherent to the model. Q1 revenue of RMB27.8B grew 22.7% YoY but fell 74% sequentially from a December quarter of RMB107.3B — that quarter's 372% YoY growth reflects trading and mark-to-market gains rather than a step change in the franchise. Operating margin swings between 22.9% and 54.2% for the same reason. The last four reported results beat estimates enormously — 190%, 25%, 178%, 59% — which tells you the sell side cannot model proprietary trading income, not that the business is systematically outperforming. Trailing valuation is 12.0x earnings with 11.6% ROE and a 44.9% FCF yield; the free cash flow figure at a broker reflects changes in trading assets and client balances rather than distributable cash, so it should not be read as it would at an industrial. Debt-to-equity of 2.62 is normal for a securities dealer. Ten to eleven analysts model revenue rising from RMB95.9B in 2026 to RMB110B by 2028, roughly 7% annual growth. The stock is down 14.4% over twelve months and sits at 22% of its 52-week range — the market is discounting Chinese capital-markets activity and regulatory intervention risk, both of which have repeatedly reset broker earnings power. Volume data is missing entirely on this OTC quotation.

Differs from X sentimentNo X sentiment snapshot is available and the news set is empty. Chinese brokers quoted OTC in the US sit outside the retail conversation, and the absence of any independent coverage is itself part of why the discount persists.

What to watch: Chinese A-share turnover and IPO approval activity drive brokerage and investment-banking revenue directly. Regulatory policy on trading, margin financing and IPO pipelines has historically reset broker earnings abruptly. Q3 on 2026-10-22 — though given the beat history, the estimate carries little information.

On the calendar: Q3 earnings, 2026-10-22

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

CITIC Securities is China's largest investment bank by revenue, offering securities brokerage, underwriting, and asset management.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CIIHF.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

No material change from last week — Robinhood reporting its highest single-day signups confirms the retail infrastructure layer directly benefits from high-profile IPO cycles.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+11.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
12.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
48.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
44.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
11.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
78.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 20, 2026$0.23$0.08+190.3%
Q1 2026Apr 24, 2026$0.10$0.08+25.5%
Q4 2025Jan 14, 2026$0.15$0.05+178.4%
Q3 2025Oct 27, 2025$0.09$0.05+58.9%
Next earningsThu, Oct 22·consensus EPS $0.08

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$27.8B+22.7%82.4%47.6%$0.67$74.9B
Q4 FY25$107.3B+372.0%85.4%22.9%$1.05$-9.3B
Q3 FY25$23.3B+12.9%100%54.2%$0.61$25.6B
Q2 FY25$19.4B-6.1%77.7%48.8%$0.46$83.4B

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$95.9B$93.5B – $110.6B$2.72$2.59 – $3.4710
FY27$102.2B$97.2B – $129.4B$2.92$2.78 – $3.7311
FY28$110.1B$106.0B – $133.5B$3.17$3.01 – $4.044

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.—Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.22%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.0.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-1.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 10.7B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $CIIHF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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