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BMBMBL

Bumble Inc.

$BMBL·$369M·Internet Content & Information·Communication Services
$5.93-0.7%YTD+64.9%1Y+11.8%
Price updated 1h ago·X counts updated 43d ago
BMBMBL
$BMBLBumble Inc.
$5.93-0.67%19 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $BMBL on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

19X posts · last 7 days
No mention history yet
Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-19

Bumble (BMBL) sentiment is genuinely split. Bears: Hamid exited his entire BMBL position and put proceeds into more RIVN and META. 'The rats always leave at the bottom' captures the frustration. Bulls describe operators salivating at the idea of taking over 'the world's second-largest dating platform for peanuts' — 'Expected EV/Sales 2026 at 0.8x.' One trader debates 'if I double down on bagholding this one.' Buy Hold Rant Episode 52 covered the position exit. The split is between exhausted longs cutting bait and value-oriented bulls seeing an M&A target. Overall no clean directional signal.

Read what X is saying about $BMBL

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $BMBL — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-09-03

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Bumble Q2 EPS -$0.84 vs $0.25 est = -437% miss, Zacks 'Reduce' consensus — 'Bumble is losing its Bumble-ness,' operators salivating at 0.8x EV/Sales.

Bumble Inc. is a US women-first dating app in structural decline. Down 12% YTD and 54% TTM at $2.83 — breaking-down as fundamentals continue to deteriorate.

  • The core is contracting: Q1 revenue $212.4M (-14.1% YoY — meaningful top-line drop), 70% gross margin (platform economics), 31.6% operating margin, Q1 EPS $0.43 (Q2 EPS -$0.84 vs $0.2496 est = -437% miss — catastrophic). FCF yield 76.8% is extraordinarily high because market cap has collapsed, ROIC 20.2%; analysts model 2026 EPS $1.05.
  • The catalyst mix is bearish: 'Can Bumble, Tinder make a comeback as users leave apps' captures the category-decline framing. 'Bumble is tossing one of its key original features' and 'Bumble is losing its Bumble-ness' capture the strategic-repositioning risk. Zacks 'Reduce' consensus reflects analyst caution.
  • The insider signal is small: founder Whitney Wolfe Herd F-InKind $11K on Aug 10 (RSU-vesting withholding). No open-market P-Purchase to signal conviction, no meaningful S-Sale distribution. Bulls describe operators salivating at the idea of taking over 'the world's second-largest dating platform for peanuts' — Expected EV/Sales 2026 at 0.8x. One trader debates 'if I double down on bagholding this one.'

Breaks the fall: Nov 4 Q3 print above $0.23 EPS plus specific paid-user growth reversal. Deepens: another Q3-magnitude EPS miss, or a specific take-under offer at deep discount.

Agrees with X sentimentX is mixed with bull thesis (operators salivating at 0.8x EV/Sales for the second-largest dating platform) vs bear thesis (Hamid exited entire position, 'rats leave at bottom', 'Bumble losing its Bumble-ness') — the mechanics support the caution: -14.1% Q1 revenue growth, catastrophic Q2 EPS -$0.84 vs $0.25 est miss, Zacks Reduce consensus. This is a genuinely breaking-down story with take-under-target framing.

What to watch: November 4 Q3 earnings — EPS above $0.23 and paid-user growth reversal. Also any take-under offer or specific strategic-review announcement.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $BMBL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Dating app where women initiate contact, monetizing through subscriptions and in-app purchases across North America, Europe, and other markets.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Internet Content & Information sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BMBL.

Internet Content & Information · Communication Services

No material change from last week — AI-enhanced ad targeting continues to concentrate digital ad share in Google and Meta.

What this means for $BMBL

Partial — software subscription economics provide some insulation from macro cycles; AI integration is the growth catalyst for this segment; Specializing in online dating and social networking, Bumble .

Top industry ETF

$FDNFirst Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund
+7.5%YTD
+4.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
20.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
76.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-110%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
69.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$-0.84$0.25-436.5%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.34$0.25+36.0%
Q4 2025Mar 11, 2026$1.07$0.23+355.5%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.35$0.38-7.9%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $0.24

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$212.4M-14.1%72.3%31.6%$0.43$73.8M
Q4 FY25$224.2M-14.3%69.0%25.3%$-4.75$56.3M
Q3 FY25$246.2M-10.0%69.9%26.9%$0.36$73.8M
Q2 FY25$248.2M-7.6%67.8%32.8%$-2.41$67.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$843.9M$841.0M – $846.3M$1.05$0.80 – $1.2011
FY27$829.6M$815.4M – $844.8M$0.98$0.63 – $1.1911
FY28$846.5M$745.6M – $939.0M$0.86$0.64 – $1.206
FY29$707.6M$679.1M – $740.2M$0.57$0.54 – $0.605
FY30$670.3M$643.3M – $701.2M$0.49$0.46 – $0.523

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.5.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.72%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+99.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+80.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 97.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today40.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.895-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 13Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc10% owner2.8M sh$9.8MSellOct 13Blackstone Holdings Iii Gp Management L.l.c.10% owner2.8M sh$9.8MSellOct 13- Nq Btoa10% owner2.8M sh$9.8MSellOct 13Bcp Buzz Holdings L.p.10% owner2.8M sh$9.8MSellOct 13Bx Buzz Ml-1 Holdco L.p.10% owner2.8M sh$9.8MSellOct 6Sissie L. HsiaoDirector2.7K sh$7KSellSep 28Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc10% owner3.8M sh$11.1MSellSep 28Blackstone Holdings Iii Gp Management L.l.c.10% owner3.7M sh$11.0MSellSep 28- Nq Btoa10% owner3.8M sh$11.1MSellSep 28Bcp Buzz Holdings L.p.10% owner3.8M sh$11.1M
1–10 of 18
+ 16 other (9 inkinds · 6 awards · 1 conversion) in window

See when $BMBL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Bumble director Jonathan Korngold resigned effective June 30, 2026, concurrent with his departure from Blackstone; no disagreement was noted. Administrative board departure tied to PE firm transition.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 18SC 13D/A
AI summary

Blackstone entities including BX Buzz ML-1 Holdco LP (0.4%, 544,030 shares) and BX Buzz ML-2 Holdco LP (5.7%, 7,485,565 shares) updated their Schedule 13D for Bumble Inc. as of June 16, 2026. This is the 11th amendment, reflecting continued reductions in Blackstone's founding Bumble position as the PE firm progressively exits its stake in this online dating platform.

8-KShareholder voteJun 88-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Bumble Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 4, 2026, with 95.44% of the combined voting power represented (371.8M Class A votes + 212.3M Class B votes = 584.1M out of 611.9M total); three proposals were voted upon. High quorum participation despite the ongoing Blackstone stake reduction; three proposals indicate a straightforward governance agenda. Specific vote outcomes are routine.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Bumble Inc. reported Q1 2026 financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 and disclosed the details of a refinancing transaction under Regulation FD on May 5, 2026. The refinancing, completed April 24, 2026, involved entering a new term loan and senior priority revolving credit agreement, with proceeds used to refinance Bumble's existing credit facilities. Confidential information previously shared with prospective lenders in connection with the refinancing was also publicly disclosed on the company's IR website. Body unavailable — Q1 2026 financial results are in the attached press release; the refinancing disclosures are in the Reg FD exhibit.

8-KAgreement terminatedApr 248-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
+ 5 other (2 10-Qs · 2 13Gs · 1 earnings 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

$BMBL Shareholders: An Investigation is Pending into Bumble's $6.05 per share Merger Deal – Contact BFA Law if You Own Sharesglobenewswire.com·1d ago$BMBL Stock Notification: Bumble Inc. Is Being Investigated After the $6.05 Per Share Merger Deal Announced – Investors Are Alerted to Contact BFA Lawbusinesswire.com·2d agoWhy Bumble Stock Skyrocketed Todayfool.com·2d agoBumble Surges 56% on $1.3 Billion Take-Private Deal | Closing Bellyoutube.com·2d agoBumble Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Bumble Inc. - BMBLgurufocus.com·2d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $BMBL on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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