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BKBKKT

Bakkt Holdings, Inc.

$BKKT·$375M·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$7.30-7.1%YTD-24.8%1Y-63.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 15 posts2026-07-10: 15 posts2026-07-11: 13 posts2026-07-12: 18 posts2026-07-13: 29 posts2026-07-14: 22 posts2026-07-15: 19 posts131+4%
Price updated 2m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
BKBKKT
$BKKTBakkt Holdings, Inc.
$7.31-7.06%131 posts+4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $BKKT, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storyWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Bakkt is down 54% over twelve months with revenue down 77% year-over-year and multiple securities-fraud investigations open.

Bakkt Holdings runs a digital-assets platform for institutional custody and retail crypto trading, $375M market cap, with Q2 2026 earnings due 2026-08-10.

  • Q1 revenue was $244M, down 77.3% year-over-year and 18.6% sequentially — the second consecutive quarter of severe revenue declines as loyalty and crypto-services segments contracted.
  • Q1 EPS -$0.87 versus -$0.10 consensus (310% miss), and Q4 fiscal 2025 EPS was -$6.37 (versus -$0.55, 1,135% miss) reflecting large impairment charges.
  • Gross margin 31.7% trailing (Q1 slightly negative on segment mix), operating margin -8.2%, FCF yield -18.5% — operating economics have fully broken.
  • Consensus models 2026 revenue $2.38B (versus $244M Q1 run rate) rising to $7.59B in 2027 — aggressive curve depending on recovery inflection.
  • On June 23, the annual meeting elected Michael Alfred and Lyn Alden as Class II directors — Alden brings macro-Bitcoin credibility.
  • On June 4, Bakkt disclosed a $0.0001 per share dividend — a symbolic shareholder-focus message, not material capital return.
  • Pomerantz Law Firm opened multiple investor investigations in June — standard reactive-litigation cycle.
  • Trailing twelve-month return -54% and year-to-date -21%, at only 3% of the 52-week range — the tape is at trough territory.

The setup is a broken-story crypto-adjacent platform with severe revenue declines, litigation, and Lyn Alden macro-brand addition — August 10 checks Q2 stabilization.

Agrees with X sentimentX posters describe Bakkt as setting up in the low-to-mid $9 area with financial-sector tailwind, expanding into neobanking including credit-card underwriting via Head of Credit Cards Joseph Green, and grouping BKKT alongside MSTR, IREN, and CIFR as crypto-adjacent equity plays. That partially aligns with the June regulatory-approval expansion in India and the strategic direction shift, though the fundamental Q1 revenue collapse and litigation backdrop are also real.

What to watch: August 10 Q2 earnings — revenue trajectory versus the -77% Q1 decline (any stabilization signals the loyalty-programs headwind is bottoming), gross-margin trajectory (Q1 was slightly negative), operating-loss magnitude, and any commentary on the Indian regulatory-approval expansion and neobanking pivot. Litigation-status updates from Pomerantz investigations are a separate signal.

On the calendar: 2026-08-10 Q2 2026 earnings; revenue stabilization and neobanking pivot drive the print.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-13

Bakkt is described as setting up in the low-to-mid $9 area with financial-sector tailwind, and is expanding into everyday neobanking including credit-card underwriting via new US remote hires under Head of Credit Cards Joseph Green. Long-term holders frame BKKT alongside MSTR, IREN, and CIFR as names whose fundamentals have dramatically improved during their holding period.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $BKKT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates a digital asset trading and custody platform enabling consumer and institutional Bitcoin and crypto transactions.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BKKT.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

No material change from last week — Enterprise software infrastructure is in a multiple compression phase (-16.

What this means for $BKKT

Neutral — Operates a digital asset trading and custody platform enabling consumer and institutional Bitcoin and crypto transactions; end markets and revenue mix have limited overlap with the cloud-native adoption and AI security spend despite multiple compression.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.0%YTD
-14.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-67.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-8.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-18.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-117%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
31.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$-0.41$-0.10-310.0%
Q4 2025Mar 16, 2026$-6.73$-0.55-1134.9%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$1.20$-0.47+355.3%
Q2 2025Aug 11, 2025$-2.16——
Next earningsMon, Aug 10·consensus EPS $0.03

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$243.6M-77.3%-1.3%-6.9%$-0.87$-12.8M
Q4 FY25$299.2M-83.4%-16.1%-21.3%$-6.37$-7.1M
Q3 FY25$402.2M+22.5%-4.0%-6.3%$-2.19$-49.9M
Q2 FY25$577.9M+13.3%95.3%-3.2%$-2.16$5.3M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.4B$2.4B – $2.4B$0.29$0.29 – $0.291
FY27$7.6B$7.6B – $7.6B$1.82$1.82 – $1.821
FY28$12.1B$12.1B – $12.1B$0.00$0.00 – $0.001

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.2%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-44.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 35.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β5.905-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 26Marc D'annunzioGeneral Counsel & Secretary1.4K sh$10KSellJun 25Henderson Joseph Sean-walshChief Accounting Officer349 sh$3KSellJun 25Marc D'annunzioGeneral Counsel & Secretary1.6K sh$12KSellJun 25Nicholas BaesCOO1.6K sh$12KSellJun 25Karen AlexanderCFO1.9K sh$15KBuyJun 10Michael AlfredDirector100.0K sh$783KBuyJun 9Michael AlfredDirector180.0K sh$1.4MBuyMay 18Michael AlfredDirector220.0K sh$1.8MBuyMay 15Michael AlfredDirector365.0K sh$3.0MSellApr 28Karen AlexanderCFO4.7K sh$43K
1–10 of 16
+ 5 other (4 exempts · 1 award) in window

See when $BKKT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 268-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Bakkt Holdings held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 23, 2026; Michael Alfred and Lyn Alden were elected as Class II directors; the advisory executive compensation vote passed; Grant Thornton was ratified as independent auditor. Lyn Alden is a widely-followed independent macro and Bitcoin analyst; her board seat signals Bakkt's continued focus on the crypto markets business.

S-3Shelf registrationMay 13S-3
AI summary

BKKT filed a S-3 shelf registration statement dated 2026-05-13. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 4SC 13D/A
AI summary

Akshay Sudhir Naheta filed an amended Schedule 13D on BKKT disclosing beneficial ownership (11,138,989.00 shares) as of 2026-05-04. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 4SC 13D/A
AI summary

INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE, INC. filed an amended Schedule 13D on BKKT disclosing beneficial ownership (8,380,362.00 shares) as of 2026-05-04. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

8-KAcquisition completedApr 308-K — Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 5.01: Change in control · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

BKKT filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-04-30. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KShareholder voteApr 208-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

BKKT held its special meeting of stockholders around 2026-04-20 (8-K Item 5.07). The meeting was adjourned, likely due to insufficient quorum. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 178-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMar 4SC 13D/A
+ 25 other (7 proxys · 3 13Gs · 3 8-Ks · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Bakkt, Inc. - BKKTprnewswire.com·36d agoINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims on Behalf of Investors of Bakkt, Inc. - BKKTglobenewswire.com·38d agoINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Bakkt, Inc. - BKKTprnewswire.com·43d agoBakkt Advances Indian Investment Following Regulatory Approvalglobenewswire.com·43d agoINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Bakkt, Inc. - BKKTglobenewswire.com·45d ago

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Voices on X · top 2 · last 7 days

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