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BIBIRK

Birkenstock Holding plc

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 9% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (18 mentions/wk)
$BIRK·$6.2B·Apparel - Footwear & Accessories·Consumer Cyclical
$34.14-4.9%YTD-12.5%1Y-15.9%
Price updated 13m ago·X counts updated 5d ago
BIBIRK
$BIRKBirkenstock Holding plc
$34.14-4.88%18 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $BIRK on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

18X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-29

Birkenstock chatter is bullish. Michael Burry added to his long BIRK position (alongside FMCC), contributors note BIRK looking 'very cheap relative to its growth' via Peter Lynch framing (comfortable shoes = huge market). One trader covered a short at $35.46 and flipped long. Fresh long positions in TMC/TGTX/BIRK. Loud voices bullish.

Read what X is saying about $BIRK

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $BIRK — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Hinges on a big eventWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Burry added Birkenstock to the portfolio — a brand compounder at 16% of range looking cheap on growth.

Birkenstock Holding is the German-origin comfortable-footwear brand with specific scale, pricing power, and a durable consumer franchise. The 2026 drawdown reflects general luxury-footwear weakness, now meeting specific institutional conviction.

  • The P&L is quietly compounding: Q3 revenue grew 9.4% YoY to $629M at a 26% operating margin and $0.45 EPS — these are the economics of a premium-brand compounder with pricing power.
  • The specific institutional signal is unusual: Michael Burry added to his long BIRK position (alongside FMCC) — Burry's holdings are deliberately concentrated, and a specific drawdown-name position signals genuine conviction. The Peter Lynch framing ('comfortable shoes = huge market') and the Moderate Buy brokerage consensus pile on top.

At 16% of its 52-week range and 15% below the 200-day, the setup is a classic quality-brand coil at a drawdown. A clean operating-margin print plus continued wholesale and DTC growth is the trigger for a reclaim; a soft DTC-channel comp or any inventory-build-up signal is the invalidation.

Agrees with X sentimentThe Burry adding framing is grounded on specific portfolio-disclosure data. The 'short covered at $35.46 and flipped long' voice is honest tactical read; the 'cheap relative to its growth' Peter Lynch framing is reasonable.

What to watch: Next earnings — same-store growth, DTC channel direction, wholesale distribution expansion, and FY27 guide. Clean margin plus DTC growth is the trigger; inventory build-up signal is the invalidation.

burry positioningbrand compounder

Read the AI verdict on $BIRK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Premium footwear brand built on anatomical cork-footbed sandals, expanding into orthopedic shoes and lifestyle categories globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Apparel - Footwear & Accessories sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BIRK.

Apparel - Footwear & Accessories · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Legacy sportswear incumbents losing structural share as Nike hits a 12-year price low on China weakness and S&P 100 demotion.

What this means for $BIRK

Neutral — Premium footwear brand built on anatomical cork-footbed sandals, expanding into orthopedic shoes and lifestyle categories globally.

Industry benchmark

6-name peer basket
-16.2%YTD
+5.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
17.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
25.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
13.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
56.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$0.86$0.86-0.3%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$0.59$0.69-14.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.31$0.310.0%
Q3 2025Dec 18, 2025$0.60$0.42+41.7%

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$628.5M+9.4%50.2%26.2%$0.45$1.9M
Q1 FY26$401.9M+11.1%55.7%19.5%$0.27$-65.4M
Q4 FY25$526.3M+15.5%58.1%21.3%$0.51$145.7M
Q3 FY25$635.0M+12.4%60.5%31.2%$0.69$238.4M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 18 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.4B$2.3B – $2.4B$1.97$1.77 – $2.0318
FY27$2.7B$2.5B – $2.7B$2.43$2.03 – $2.7818
FY28$3.0B$2.9B – $3.2B$2.88$2.72 – $3.0214
FY29$3.3B$3.2B – $3.3B$0.00$0.00 – $0.001

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.29%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-7.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 41.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.305-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 17Chu James MichaelDirector28.1M sh$1.1BSellJun 8Bouyakhf Mehdi NicoPresident30.0K sh$1.3MSellJun 5Bouyakhf Mehdi NicoPresident60.0K sh$2.5M
+ 11 other (4 exempts · 4 inkinds · 3 awards) in window

See when $BIRK insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentAug 18SC 13D/A
AI summary

CB Beteiligungs GmbH & Co. KG, a German family holding entity associated with the Ockenfels family, filed an amended Schedule 13D (Amendment No. 2) reporting its beneficial ownership stake in Birkenstock Holding (BIRK). The triggering event occurred on August 17, 2026, with funding from working capital. This filing reflects an insider stake update at the German footwear brand following its 2023 IPO.

+ 16 other (13 6-Ks · 2 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Birkenstock's Strong Growth Creates a Buying Opportunitymarketbeat.com·2d agoBirkenstock: Unique Product Meets Attractive Valuationseekingalpha.com·4d agoBirkenstock Sees Unusually High Options Volume (NYSE:BIRK)defenseworld.net·14d agoBirkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuationseekingalpha.com·22d agoHere's ‘Big Short' Michael Burry's updated stock portfoliofinbold.com·24d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $BIRK on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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