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BIBIRK

Birkenstock Holding plc

$BIRK·$7.2B·Apparel - Footwear & Accessories·Consumer Cyclical
$35.56-0.2%1Y-32.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 1 posts2026-08-22: 1 posts2026-08-23: 7 posts2026-08-24: 3 posts30+5%
Price updated 13m ago·X counts updated 7d ago
BIBIRK
$BIRKBirkenstock Holding plc
$35.57-0.24%30 posts+5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $BIRK, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-20

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Iconic footwear brand at 17x earnings with a raised sales forecast — and a $1.1B insider block sale on Aug 17 is the loudest signal in the tape.

Birkenstock is the German footwear brand that turned a legacy sandal into a globally-scaled DTC/wholesale hybrid — expanding into closed-toe shoes, skincare, and accessories while maintaining its cult-brand pricing power.

Where it stands:

  • Growth is holding: revenue grew 9% YoY in Q2 and 11% in Q1, and the Aug 13 print raised sales forecasts even as EPS just missed ($0.86 vs $0.86 estimate) — this is a growth story where the market is paying for durability rather than acceleration.
  • The valuation is reasonable: 17.7x trailing PE and 2.9x sales for a business with 8.8% ROIC, 5.1% FCF yield, and 56% gross margin — meaningfully cheaper than peer luxury/premium footwear multiples.
  • The insider tape is loud and one-way at scale: director James Chu sold 28.1M shares for $1.1 BILLION on Aug 17 at $39.18 — that's not routine, that's a strategic-holder repositioning at what they see as a full valuation. The related CB Beteiligungs 13D/A the next day (Ockenfels family) confirms this is coordinated by long-term holders taking chips off the table.
  • The stock position at 22% of 52-week range and 11% below the 200-day reflects the tape's sensitivity to that Aug 17 supply — the -$1.1B block hangs over near-term price action regardless of fundamentals.

Into the next print the setup is 'the block supply gets absorbed + growth stays high-single-digit keeps the tape.' A soft print combined with additional strategic-holder selling is what would test $30; the raised sales guide plus visible margin expansion could get the tape back to $42 where the multiple would be reasonable, but the recent block trade is the dominant near-term factor.

What to watch: Absorption of the Aug 17 block supply, additional strategic-holder disclosures, and next earnings print. Block absorbed + growth stays extends toward $42; more strategic selling or a soft print tests $30.

no sentiment

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-29

Birkenstock chatter is bullish. Michael Burry added to his long BIRK position (alongside FMCC), contributors note BIRK looking 'very cheap relative to its growth' via Peter Lynch framing (comfortable shoes = huge market). One trader covered a short at $35.46 and flipped long. Fresh long positions in TMC/TGTX/BIRK. Loud voices bullish.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $BIRK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Premium footwear brand built on anatomical cork-footbed sandals, expanding into orthopedic shoes and lifestyle categories globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Apparel - Footwear & Accessories sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BIRK.

Apparel - Footwear & Accessories · Consumer Cyclical

Consumer discretionary softness and inventory normalization are the near-term headwinds; athleisure demand trends favor performance-focused brands over fashion-driven ones. China sourcing exposure — and tariff pass-through — is the cost-structure risk for the category.

What this means for $BIRK

Partial — consumer discretionary / retail performance tracks consumer spending trends; Birkenstock Holding plc specializes in the creation and distribution of various .

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
-5.0%YTD
-23.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
17.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
25.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
13.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
56.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$0.86$0.86-0.3%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$0.59$0.69-14.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.31$0.310.0%
Q3 2025Dec 18, 2025$0.60$0.42+41.7%

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$628.5M+9.4%50.2%26.2%$0.45$1.9M
Q1 FY26$401.9M+11.1%55.7%19.5%$0.27$-65.4M
Q4 FY25$526.3M+15.5%58.1%21.3%$0.51$145.7M
Q3 FY25$635.0M+12.4%60.5%31.2%$0.69$238.4M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.4B$2.3B – $2.4B$2.01$1.92 – $2.0812
FY27$2.7B$2.6B – $2.7B$2.46$2.17 – $2.6515
FY28$3.1B$3.0B – $3.1B$2.91$2.83 – $2.9813

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.21%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-11.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 42.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.305-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 17Chu James MichaelDirector28.1M sh$1.1BSellJun 8Bouyakhf Mehdi NicoPresident30.0K sh$1.3MSellJun 5Bouyakhf Mehdi NicoPresident60.0K sh$2.5M
+ 8 other (4 exempts · 4 inkinds) in window

See when $BIRK insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentAug 18SC 13D/A
AI summary

CB Beteiligungs GmbH & Co. KG, a German family holding entity associated with the Ockenfels family, filed an amended Schedule 13D (Amendment No. 2) reporting its beneficial ownership stake in Birkenstock Holding (BIRK). The triggering event occurred on August 17, 2026, with funding from working capital. This filing reflects an insider stake update at the German footwear brand following its 2023 IPO.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 26 other (15 6-Ks · 8 3s · 2 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Birkenstock Holding PLC (NYSE:BIRK) Given Average Rating of “Moderate Buy” by Brokeragesdefenseworld.net·5d ago3 Beaten-Down Stocks That Haven't Gotten the Message About the S&P 500's Record Runmarketbeat.com·9d agoIs Birkenstock Holding PLC (BIRK) a Bargain After 4.4% Drop? GF Value Says Undervaluedgurufocus.com·11d agoBirkenstock Beats the Skeptics—But Not on EPSmarketbeat.com·14d agoOakmark International Small Cap Strategy Q2 2026 Portfolio Updateseekingalpha.com·17d ago

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