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BABALY

Bally's Corporation

$BALY·$658M·Gambling, Resorts & Casinos·Consumer Cyclical
$8.96-5.0%YTD-18.2%1Y-5.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 1 posts2026-08-22: 1 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts2026-08-24: 1 posts20+6%
Price updated 7m ago·X counts updated 7d ago
BABALY
$BALYBally's Corporation
$8.96-4.98%20 posts+6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $BALY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-20

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Highly-levered casino operator hit a liquidity warning against $4.5B of debt — the equity is now a call option on a workout.

Bally's owns regional casinos (Tropicana Las Vegas, Twin River Lincoln, and a rolling list of Sam's Town properties), plus a struggling online-gaming arm and the still-under-construction Chicago casino. The company took on debt at an aggressive rate to build that footprint, and Q2 earnings landed with a liquidity warning that sent the stock down 31% overnight.

  • The earnings misses have been catastrophic, not marginal: Q2 EPS came in 123% below consensus after a 169% miss the prior quarter — the analyst model of this business has bought no signal from management guidance for two quarters running.
  • Debt is the whole conversation now: $4.5B of net debt against a $660M market cap means the equity is roughly 13% of enterprise value — the recent Credit Agreement 8-K is trying to buy runway, but every restructuring option (asset sale, secondary, exchange) dilutes or subordinates the common.
  • Operating cash generation is negative: free cash flow of negative $184M last quarter against negative EBITDA and negative operating margin means the Chicago build is being funded by debt drawdowns, not the business — a structurally unstable setup.

The trajectory is breaking-down at 3% of the 52-week range on 3.6x normal volume, and the Nov 11 print would only reverse the tape if the company disclosed a concrete liquidity fix (asset sale to raise cash, extended maturity, strategic partner) — absent that, another miss confirms the workout path and drops the equity further.

What to watch: Nov 11 Q3 print combined with any interim liquidity announcement (asset sale, refinancing, strategic partner) — a concrete cash-raising deal is the only thing that stops the slide; another miss without a debt fix crystallizes the workout path.

On the calendar: 2026-11-11 — Q3 2026 earnings

high leverage distressliquidity warningno sentiment

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates regional casinos across the US and runs online sports betting and iGaming platforms in multiple jurisdictions.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Gambling, Resorts & Casinos sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BALY.

Gambling, Resorts & Casinos · Consumer Cyclical

Online sports betting and iGaming are the structural growth channels; market maturation in early-legalization states is shifting focus to profitability over market share. Macao casino recovery depends on Chinese consumer confidence and visa policy normalization.

What this means for $BALY

Partial — REIT cash flows tied to occupancy, rent growth, and cap rate environment; Bally’s Corporation is a fast-growing global entertainment brand with 19 casinos.

Top industry ETF

$BJKVanEck Gaming ETF
-6.5%YTD
-4.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-1.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-0.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-67.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-115%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
44.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.9Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 14, 2026$-2.41$-1.08-123.1%
Q1 2026May 18, 2026$-2.69$-1.00-169.2%
Q4 2025Mar 16, 2026$-0.57$-0.73+22.3%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$-1.70$-0.71-139.4%
Next earningsWed, Nov 11·consensus EPS $-1.31

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$755.7M+28.3%39.9%0.2%$-2.69$-183.9M
Q4 FY25$746.2M+28.6%40.2%-4.6%$-5.38$-18.9M
Q3 FY25$663.7M+5.4%44.2%4.6%$-1.70$-139.3M
Q2 FY25$657.5M+5.8%55.9%-0.4%$-3.76$-32.2M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.1B$3.1B – $3.2B-$6.29-$6.41 – -$6.213
FY27$3.4B$3.4B – $3.5B-$4.01-$4.08 – -$3.953
FY28$3.7B$3.7B – $3.8B-$4.84-$4.93 – -$4.782

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.8%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-27.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-32.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 4.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.865-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 15 other (10 awards · 5 inkinds) in window

See when $BALY insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 58-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

BALY entered into a Credit Agreement. SEC Item 1.01 requires prompt disclosure of any material agreement not in the ordinary course of business, giving investors visibility into significant contractual commitments by BALY.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 118-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Bally's Corporation's (BALY) ~59.44%-owned Greek subsidiary Bally's Intralot S.A. and Evoke PLC (Gibraltar-incorporated gaming company listed on the London Stock Exchange) announced a recommended all-share acquisition of Evoke by Bally's Intralot, with both boards agreeing on terms as of June 5, 2026; the parties simultaneously entered into a Cooperation Agreement dated June 5, 2026 among Bally's Intralot, Bally's Intralot Jersey Securities Limited, and Evoke. The deal is structured as an all-share transaction (specific exchange ratio not disclosed in the excerpt) intended to be effected via a scheme-of-arrangement. This is a transformative cross-border M&A event for Bally's Corporation, consolidating European gaming assets through a subsidiary and potentially significantly increasing Bally's exposure to the UK/European online gaming market.

8-KShareholder voteMay 208-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Bally's Corporation (BALY) filed an 8-K on May 19, 2026 disclosing annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). Bally's is a Providence, Rhode Island-based gaming and entertainment company listed on the NYSE. Annual meeting results are routine governance disclosures.

+ 17 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 2 NT 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Bally's Corporation - BALYprnewswire.com·4d agoINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Bally's Corporation - BALYglobenewswire.com·6d agoIs It Too Late to Buy Ballys Corp (BALY) After 4.2% Rally? GF Value Says Undervaluedgurufocus.com·10d agoBally's Drops 31% After Liquidity Warning Lands Against $4.5B of Debt247wallst.com·14d agoBally's Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsbusinesswire.com·17d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

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