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BABALY

Bally's Corporation

$BALY·$682M·Gambling, Resorts & Casinos·Consumer Cyclical
$13.09-2.5%YTD-19.0%1Y-2.0%
Price updated 10m ago·X counts updated 5d ago
BABALY
$BALYBally's Corporation
$13.09-2.46%24 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $BALY on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

24X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $BALY — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storyWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Bally's trading at 46% of its range with Bronx project financing closed — a leveraged-casino story with specific legal overhang.

Bally's Corporation is a US-based gaming operator pursuing significant growth projects — most notably the Bally's Bronx development. The 2026 story is a tension between significant development-financing progress and specific securities-related investigations.

  • The P&L is broken on surprise basis: Q2 revenue grew 28% YoY to $756M at a near-breakeven operating margin and EPS of -$2.69, with trailing EPS misses of 123% and 169% — these are catastrophic surprises that reflect either operational issues or aggressive accounting adjustments.
  • The specific capital-structure signal is substantive: Bally's just closed the Bronx project financing — this is a key operational milestone, but the Pomerantz Law Firm securities investigation adds legal overhang that could persist through the Nov 11 earnings print.

At 46% of its 52-week range with volume at 2.0x average, the setup is coiled on both Bronx-development validation and legal-resolution timing. A clean operational-cost print plus specific Bronx-project-ramp commentary is the trigger for a reclaim; another large EPS miss or securities-related adverse disclosure is the invalidation.

What to watch: Nov 11 Q3 earnings — operating cash flow, Bronx-development progress, securities investigation updates, and FY27 guide. Clean cash flow plus Bronx milestones is the trigger; adverse legal signal is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-11 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30ddevelopment project

Read the AI verdict on $BALY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates regional casinos across the US and runs online sports betting and iGaming platforms in multiple jurisdictions.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Gambling, Resorts & Casinos sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BALY.

Gambling, Resorts & Casinos · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Online sports betting is the structural share gainer as the NFL season opens, with DraftKings as the market-entry catalyst.

What this means for $BALY

Direct beneficiary — Operates regional casinos across the US and runs online sports betting and iGaming platforms in multiple jurisdictions.

Top industry ETF

$BJKVanEck Gaming ETF
-6.5%YTD
-4.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-1.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-0.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-67.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-115%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
44.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.9Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 14, 2026$-2.41$-1.08-123.1%
Q1 2026May 18, 2026$-2.69$-1.00-169.2%
Q4 2025Mar 16, 2026$-0.57$-0.73+22.3%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$-1.70$-0.71-139.4%
Next earningsWed, Nov 11·consensus EPS $-1.31

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$755.7M+28.3%39.9%0.2%$-2.69$-183.9M
Q4 FY25$746.2M+28.6%40.2%-4.6%$-5.38$-18.9M
Q3 FY25$663.7M+5.4%44.2%4.6%$-1.70$-139.3M
Q2 FY25$657.5M+5.8%55.9%-0.4%$-3.76$-32.2M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.2B$3.1B – $3.2B-$8.06-$8.15 – -$8.002
FY27$3.4B$3.4B – $3.5B-$4.95-$5.00 – -$4.912
FY28$3.7B$3.7B – $3.8B-$5.41-$5.47 – -$5.371

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.40%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+15.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+2.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 4.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.665-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 7 other (6 awards · 1 inkind) in window

See when $BALY insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementOct 28-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Bally's Corporation's indirect subsidiary Bally's New York Operating Company entered into an amended and restated loan agreement with WhiteHawk Capital Partners on October 1, 2026 for the Bally's Bronx casino development project. The agreement provides $400 million in closing date term loans (fully funded at closing) plus an additional $160 million in delayed draw commitments for pre-construction costs. The revision primarily adds newly formed Bally's Bronx subsidiaries as obligors while retaining all other material terms from the prior September 4, 2026 agreement. A large secured debt draw for the Bronx casino project; material as it commits the company to $400M in immediate debt for the development.

8-KMaterial agreementSep 148-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Bally's New York Operating Company, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Bally's Corporation (BALY), entered into a $560 million senior secured term loan facility with WhiteHawk Capital Partners on September 4, 2026 — $400 million in closing-date commitments and $160 million in delayed draw commitments. Proceeds will fund pre-construction costs for the Bally's Bronx casino development; loans mature 18 months after initial funding and bear interest at Term SOFR + 8.50%. The facility is guaranteed by Bally's New York subsidiaries and secured by substantially all of their assets, subject to regulatory approval. This is a transformative development financing commitment advancing the high-stakes New York City gaming buildout, though the SOFR+850bp rate reflects elevated execution risk tied to regulatory approval.

8-KOfficer or director changeSep 38-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Bally's Corporation (BALY) filed an 8-K (Item 5.02) disclosing that CFO Mira Mircheva has resigned for personal reasons, effective September 4, 2026. President George Papanier has been appointed interim CFO while a permanent replacement is sought. This represents a senior finance leadership gap at a critical operational period.

8-KMaterial agreementAug 58-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

BALY entered into a Credit Agreement. SEC Item 1.01 requires prompt disclosure of any material agreement not in the ordinary course of business, giving investors visibility into significant contractual commitments by BALY.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 118-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Bally's Corporation's (BALY) ~59.44%-owned Greek subsidiary Bally's Intralot S.A. and Evoke PLC (Gibraltar-incorporated gaming company listed on the London Stock Exchange) announced a recommended all-share acquisition of Evoke by Bally's Intralot, with both boards agreeing on terms as of June 5, 2026; the parties simultaneously entered into a Cooperation Agreement dated June 5, 2026 among Bally's Intralot, Bally's Intralot Jersey Securities Limited, and Evoke. The deal is structured as an all-share transaction (specific exchange ratio not disclosed in the excerpt) intended to be effected via a scheme-of-arrangement. This is a transformative cross-border M&A event for Bally's Corporation, consolidating European gaming assets through a subsidiary and potentially significantly increasing Bally's exposure to the UK/European online gaming market.

8-KShareholder voteMay 208-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Bally's Corporation (BALY) filed an 8-K on May 19, 2026 disclosing annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). Bally's is a Providence, Rhode Island-based gaming and entertainment company listed on the NYSE. Annual meeting results are routine governance disclosures.

+ 9 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 NT 10-Qs · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

From 2020 Collapse to 80% Payout Ratio: Is GLPI's Dividend Truly Bulletproof?247wallst.com·7d agoINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Bally's Corporation - BALYglobenewswire.com·10d agoBally's Corporation Closes Previously Announced Financing to Support the Development of the Bally's Bronx Projectbusinesswire.com·14d agoINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Bally's Corporation - BALYprnewswire.com·15d agoINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Bally's Corporation - BALYglobenewswire.com·17d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $BALY on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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