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AMAMDWF

Amada Co., Ltd.

$AMDWF·$5.7B·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$18.430.0%1Y+90.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-07: 0 posts2026-08-08: 0 posts2026-08-09: 0 posts2026-08-10: 0 posts2026-08-11: 0 posts2026-08-12: 0 posts2026-08-13: 0 posts0
Price updated 14m ago·X counts updated 22h ago
AMAMDWF
$AMDWFAmada Co., Ltd.
$18.430.00%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AMDWF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Amada, Japanese metal-machinery bellwether, at 99% of its 52-week range on capex recovery.

Amada is one of the two global bellwethers (with Trumpf) in sheet-metal fabrication machinery — laser cutters, punch presses, press brakes, and factory-automation solutions.

  • Q1 FY27 revenue JPY 99.5B (+29% YoY); Q4 FY26 revenue JPY 143B (+18% YoY, +29% sequential); consensus FY27 revenue JPY 493B rising to JPY 552B by FY29.
  • Stock at 99.9% of the 52-week range, +60% above 200D MA, +9% above 50D — the tape is confirming the capex-cycle reacceleration.
  • Multiples (PE 25.6, EV/EBITDA 10.3) are cycle-fair; op margin 10%, ROE 6.3%, FCF yield 6.6%, D/E 0.17 (balance sheet is a fortress).
  • Recent EPS surprises are mixed (Q1 FY27 -0.6%, Q4 FY26 -31%, Q3 FY26 +41%) — the top-line growth is real; the EPS cadence is lumpy on FX and mix.

Biggest risk is a global capex rollover (auto sector, US industrial); the current cycle still supports upgrade cadence. Multi-quarter cycle looks intact.

What to watch: Q2 FY27 print 2026-11-05 (order intake vs Q1 pace, regional mix, gross-margin trajectory); JPY vs USD and global machine-tool orders index.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Japanese manufacturer of industrial sheet metal fabrication and cutting machinery distributed and serviced globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AMDWF.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — electrical infrastructure for AI power density and robotic warehouse/manufacturing automation are pulling order books in different directions.

Industry benchmark

34-name peer basket
+24.7%YTD
+33.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
25.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
10.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
40.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.11$0.11-0.6%
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$0.25$0.36-31.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.16$0.11+40.9%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$0.16$0.20-17.7%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.20

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$99.5B+28.7%42.0%7.1%$17.76$14.5B
Q4 FY26$143.3B+17.6%39.4%12.3%$39.95$26.9B
Q3 FY26$110.8B+22.7%40.5%10.1%$25.10$7.5B
Q2 FY26$108.5B+7.0%40.8%10.3%$24.01$7.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$493.1B$481.2B – $501.5B$129.81$124.72 – $134.467
FY28$524.4B$505.6B – $544.1B$156.07$149.94 – $161.667
FY29$552.4B$535.8B – $567.7B$180.29$173.22 – $186.754
FY30$559.9B$543.0B – $575.3B$176.65$169.71 – $182.973
FY31$589.9B$572.1B – $606.2B$205.10$197.05 – $212.444

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.100%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+9.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+60.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 310.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.855-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $AMDWF on X in the last 7 days.

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