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ADADTN

ADTRAN Holdings Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 15% YoYRecent insider buyingQuiet on X (20 mentions/wk)
$ADTN·$612M·Communication Equipment·Technology
$7.61-1.4%YTD-0.7%1Y-16.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 2 posts2026-08-22: 2 posts2026-08-23: 1 posts20-17%
Price updated 7m ago·X counts updated 8d ago
ADADTN
$ADTNADTRAN Holdings Inc.
$7.61-1.42%20 posts-17%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ADTN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

ADTRAN -17% TTM, -26% below 50-day — Q1 rev +15%, new $350M revolver, Santo director $50K P-Purchase, unusual call flow.

ADTRAN Holdings is a $610M communication-equipment supplier. Turnaround setup with revenue reacceleration plus a $350M new revolver plus a small insider signal.

How it reads:

  • Growth is real: Q1 revenue +15.5% YoY to $286M, Q4 was +17.3% — sustained mid-teens compounding.
  • Margins are recovering: -0.5% operating margin (TTM), 4.3% FCF yield — the FCF yield is the value tell.
  • Valuation is turnaround-priced: -37.2x PE (near-zero base), 1.2x sales, 18x EV/EBITDA — priced on the turnaround delivering.
  • Position is weak: 4.7th percentile 52w, 26.4% below 50-day, 32.4% below 200-day on 66% baseline volume — the tape is punishing despite the setup.
  • July 21 new $350M revolving credit agreement is the specific capital-structure tell.
  • Aug 6 Mosaic One Fabric launch (custom AI agents/workflows for operators) — the AI-productization tell.
  • Aug 8 Dimensional Fund Advisors purchased 448,848 shares — institutional add.
  • Unusual call option volume plus implied-volatility surging — the flow tells.
  • Insider signal is small bullish: $50K P-Purchase (Santo Timothy P director) — small officer open-market buy in the -26% below 50-day tape.

The Nov 2 print is the test — reiterated FY26 revenue plus specific commentary on Mosaic One Fabric monetization extends the recovery; another sub-15% growth quarter plus continued momentum breakdown drops to $6 support.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree — the bullish anchors (new senior secured credit facility, 'AAOI-like upside if they execute on certain areas really well', unusual call option volume and unusual option volume flagged multiple times, bearish voices essentially absent) map to real signals; the honest add is Santo's small $50K director P-Purchase is the specific insider tell during the -26% below 50-day tape.

What to watch: Nov 2 earnings — reiterated FY26 revenue plus specific commentary on Mosaic One Fabric monetization extends the recovery; another sub-15% growth quarter plus continued momentum breakdown drops to $6 support.

On the calendar: 2026-11-02 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-29

ADTRAN Holdings established a new senior secured credit facility. Bulls describe ADTN as having 'AAOI-like upside if they execute on certain areas really well.' Unusual call option volume and unusual option volume flagged multiple times. Bearish voices are essentially absent.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ADTN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Fiber networking equipment for telecom carriers, with tailwinds from US and European broadband infrastructure buildout.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Communication Equipment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ADTN.

Communication Equipment · Technology

AI networking — the Ethernet and InfiniBand infrastructure connecting GPU clusters — is the high-growth demand driver; CSCO's AI backlog and Arista's data center wins confirm the cycle. Traditional enterprise networking refresh is slower; AI infrastructure is where the incremental spending is.

What this means for $ADTN

Partial — software subscription economics provide some insulation from macro cycles; AI integration is the growth catalyst for this segment; ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.

Top industry ETF

$IYZiShares U.S. Telecommunications ETF
+27.1%YTD
+36.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-37.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-0.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-24.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
38.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 3, 2026$0.04$0.10-58.6%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.14$0.09+55.6%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$0.16$0.08+100.0%
Q3 2025Nov 3, 2025$0.05$0.06-16.7%
Next earningsMon, Nov 2·consensus EPS $0.03

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$286.1M+15.5%39.5%2.2%$-0.01$5.2M
Q4 FY25$291.6M+20.1%39.0%1.5%$-0.04$30.6M
Q3 FY25$279.4M+22.7%38.3%-1.0%$-0.13$4.2M
Q2 FY25$265.1M+17.3%37.3%-5.0%$-0.26$18.3M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.2B$1.2B – $1.2B$0.52$0.52 – $0.532
FY27$1.3B$1.3B – $1.3B$0.78$0.76 – $0.805
FY28$1.4B$1.4B – $1.4B$1.01$0.99 – $1.032

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.5%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-26.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-32.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 79.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.495-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 6Timothy P SantoCFO6.6K sh$50KSellMay 20Wilson James Denson JrChief Revenue Officer9.3K sh$137KSellMay 8Christoph GlingenerCTO22.3K sh$334KSellMay 7Christoph GlingenerCTO126.1K sh$1.9MSellMar 4Jacqueline Hourigan RiceDirector14.4K sh$148K
+ 10 other (6 awards · 2 exempts · 1 gift · 1 inkind) in window

See when $ADTN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 108-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) disclosed an officer or director change (Item 5.02) on 2026-08-10. Details: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Executive transitions are administrative disclosures; materiality depends on the seniority of the affected position. No financial terms were disclosed in this filing.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 48-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. filed Q2 2026 earnings results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 via press release (Exhibit 99.1), and furnished an investor presentation (Exhibit 99.2) for a live audio webcast on August 4, 2026 at 7:30 a.m. Central Time. Specific financial results are in the attached exhibits. Routine quarterly earnings disclosure for this networking equipment company.

8-KAgreement terminatedJul 238-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (guarantor), ADTRAN, Inc. (US Borrower), and Adtran Networks SE (German Borrower) entered into a new $350 million revolving credit agreement on July 21, 2026 with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. and J.P. Morgan SE as administrative agents, replacing a July 2022 Wells Fargo facility. The German Borrower's capacity is capped at $50 million. Interest is at Term Benchmark Rate plus 2.25%–3.25%, or Base Rate plus 1.25%–2.25%, based on consolidated net leverage; default interest is an additional 2.00%. Unused commitment fee is 0.25%. The refinancing of ADTRAN's primary credit facility with a JPMorgan-led syndicate signals a refinancing of near-term maturity risk for the broadband networking company, with proceeds for general corporate purposes.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 228-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. disclosed preliminary financial results for Q2 ended June 30, 2026, via an 8-K filed July 22, 2026. Because ADTRAN is also listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, it simultaneously published a mandatory German ad hoc announcement under EU Market Abuse Regulation (MAR Art. 17), indicating the preliminary results materially deviate from prior guidance or analyst consensus. Specific figures are in the attached exhibits; the MAR trigger signals a material earnings deviation — likely a significant miss or beat vs. prior guidance.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationJul 17S-3ASR
AI summary

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) on July 17, 2026, establishing an open shelf under Rule 415 for delayed or continuous offerings of securities. As a large accelerated filer, the registration takes effect automatically upon filing with no specified dollar cap in the excerpt. The shelf enables ADTRAN to issue equity, debt, or other securities from time to time on flexible terms yet to be set at the time of each offering. This is a capital markets housekeeping action with no immediate dilution but creates future issuance flexibility.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 13
AI summary

Form 3 filed by Anne DelSanto reporting her initial beneficial ownership of ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. securities upon her appointment as Director effective July 1, 2026. DelSanto beneficially owns 0 shares of common stock and holds no derivative securities at the time of filing. Routine board governance appointment with no investment implications.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

ADTRAN Holdings (ADTN) announced the unanimous Board election of Anne DelSanto as a new independent director, expanding the board from six to seven members effective July 1, 2026. Ms. DelSanto was appointed to the Compensation Committee and qualified as an independent director under Nasdaq listing standards; no related-party transactions or special arrangements were disclosed. She will receive standard non-employee director compensation as described in ADTRAN's 2026 proxy statement. This is a routine board governance action — administrative and non-dilutive, with the Compensation Committee appointment offering modest signal on board priorities around executive pay.

8-KCharter amendmentMay 188-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 13, 2026 at which stockholders approved a Charter Amendment to the Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation — the specific nature of the charter change is described in Proposal 2 of the proxy statement. All annual meeting votes are reported. This is a governance update at the networking and telecommunications equipment company; charter amendments at annual meetings typically address authorized share changes or governance modernization.

+ 14 other (3 proxys · 3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Implied Volatility Surging for ADTRAN Stock Optionszacks.com·6d agoADTRAN Holdings: Q2 Results Highlight Possible Headwindsseekingalpha.com·17d agoDimensional Fund Advisors LP Buys 448,848 Shares of ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. $ADTNdefenseworld.net·24d agoAdtran launches Mosaic One Fabric, empowering operators to build custom AI agents and workflowsbusinesswire.com·25d agoADTRAN (NASDAQ:ADTN) Trading Down 7.5% After Analyst Downgradedefenseworld.net·26d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ADTN on X in the last 7 days.

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