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VGVGZ

Vista Gold Corp.

$VGZ·$400M·Gold·Basic Materials
$2.78+2.8%YTD+42.0%1Y+35.5%
Price updated 1m ago
VGVGZ
$VGZVista Gold Corp.
$2.78+2.77%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $VGZ on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

0X posts · last 7 days
No mention history yet

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $VGZ — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-09-24

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Australian gold-developer at $2.74 (+42% YTD) with Sep-21 Artemis Gold acquisition agreement of Mt Todd project; deal-close the whole trade.

Vista Gold is a $400M Colorado-based Australian gold-development company (Mt Todd project) which announced Sep-21 that Artemis Gold will acquire it — the acquisition is now the entire investment thesis.

  • 2026 revenue consensus $183M (reflecting deal-close expected proceeds) with EPS -$0.07; 2027/2028 revenue $0 — analysts model the wind-down post-acquisition.
  • Q2 EPS -$0.02, Q1 -$0.02 — pre-production carrying costs, unchanged.
  • Sep-21 M&A Call Transcript (multiple posts); Sep-10 SA "Clear Path Forward, Wait For Better Entry Point"; Aug-17 Managing Director for Vista Gold Australia appointment (a pre-deal transition move); position in 52w range 0.77, position vs 50-day +29%.

Oct-29 earnings will be an update on the merger; the actual reads are the acquisition-close timing, shareholder-vote schedule, and Artemis-side regulatory clearances in Australia.

What to watch: Artemis Gold acquisition proxy filings, shareholder vote schedule, and Australian FIRB/regulator clearances.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — merger-status update or Q3 earnings

no x sentimentno position in 52w range

Read the AI verdict on $VGZ

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Gold development company advancing the Mt. Todd project in Australia from exploration toward production.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Gold sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $VGZ.

Gold · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — gold prices remain elevated on central bank accumulation and dollar diversification, with miners carrying operating leverage to metal price; cost discipline is the key differentiator. ETF +10% YTD, +39% t12m; gold sideways this week but select miners (AGI) outperformed on operational execution.

Top industry ETF

$GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF
+6.0%YTD
+27.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-43.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-21.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
0.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-25.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
0.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$-0.02——
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$-0.02——
Q4 2025Mar 11, 2026$-0.01——
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.01——
Next earningsThu, Oct 29

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$0———$-0.02$-2.8M
Q1 FY26$0———$-0.02$-2.2M
Q4 FY25$0———$-0.01$-2.2M
Q3 FY25$0———$-0.01$-862K

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$183.4M$183.4M – $183.4M-$0.07-$0.07 – -$0.071
FY27$0$0 – $0$0.00$0.00 – $0.000
FY28$0$0 – $0$0.00$0.00 – $0.000

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.75%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+26.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+23.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 138.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.355-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementSep 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) entered an Arrangement Agreement with Artemis Gold Inc. on September 20, 2026 for Artemis to acquire all outstanding Vista common shares via a court-approved plan of arrangement; each Vista share converts to 0.0966 Artemis Gold shares (fractional shares rounded down). The Vista board unanimously approved the transaction following a Special Committee recommendation. This is a transformative whole-company acquisition that would result in Vista Gold being absorbed into Artemis Gold as a wholly owned subsidiary.

8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Sep 158-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) amended its August 17, 2026 Form 8-K to add the terms of the Executive Service Agreement with Gavin Ferguson (Managing Director, Vista Gold Australia Pty Ltd.), effective September 7, 2026. Under the agreement (governed by Western Australia law), Vista Australia employs Ferguson at A$580,000 base salary, with Vista Gold administering a 600,000 RSU grant; either party may terminate on 6 months' notice. This is an administrative amendment providing contractual details for a previously announced executive appointment.

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 93
AI summary

Gavin Ferguson, newly appointed Managing Director of Vista Gold Australia Pty Ltd. and a reportable officer of Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ), filed an initial Form 3 as of September 7, 2026, disclosing 831,000 RSUs: 29,000 performance-vesting RSUs (September 2027), 600,000 time-vesting RSUs (36-month schedule starting September 2027), and 202,000 performance/price-vesting RSUs (by March 2029). No common shares are held directly. This is a routine Form 3 for a newly appointed executive.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 178-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) appointed Gavin Ferguson, 58, as Managing Director of Vista Gold Australia Pty Ltd., effective September 7, 2026. Ferguson brings 35+ years of mining leadership experience across Nevada Gold Mines, Kinross Gold, Newmont, and AngloGold Ashanti. Compensation includes A$580,000 base salary, 600,000 RSUs, and participation in the company's long- and short-term incentive plans. This is a material executive appointment that strengthens Vista Gold's Australian operational leadership ahead of a key development phase.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 288-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 9 other (2 proxys · 2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) M&A Call Prepared Remarks Transcriptseekingalpha.com·4d agoVista Gold Corp. (VGZ) M&A Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·4d agoArtemis Gold Agrees to Acquire Vista Gold, Adding an Advanced Stage Gold Development Asset in Australiabusinesswire.com·5d agoVista Gold: Clear Path Forward, Wait For Better Entry Pointseekingalpha.com·15d agoVista Gold Appoints Gavin Ferguson as Managing Director, Vista Gold Australiabusinesswire.com·40d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $VGZ on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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