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NENEM

Newmont Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 47% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (1.5K/wk), no spike
$NEM·$96B·Gold·Basic Materials
$89.70-1.2%YTD-11.2%1Y+54.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-13: 294 posts2026-07-14: 192 posts2026-07-15: 245 posts2026-07-16: 216 posts2026-07-17: 169 posts2026-07-18: 18 posts2026-07-19: 28 posts1,194+12%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 11h ago
NENEM
$NEMNewmont Corporation
$89.70-1.24%1.2k posts+12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NEM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-19

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Largest gold miner up 55% over 12 months but 12% below both MAs — the recent spot-gold pullback is testing the sector's leadership.

Newmont is the largest US gold miner and the primary large-cap gold-equity proxy, still up 55% over 12 months on the multi-year gold rally but pulling back 12% below both moving averages as spot gold breaks lower toward $3,900. July 23 earnings print will judge whether the miners can hold their operational leverage through the pullback.

  • The Q1 print showed genuine cycle leverage: revenue grew 47% YoY to $7.18B with a 62% gross margin and 61% operating margin — margins this high on a gold miner reflect the operational leverage a strong gold price creates, and Newmont has managed costs well enough that consensus FY26 EPS of $9.61 puts the multiple at just 9x forward.
  • The FCF setup is what makes NEM a rare gold-miner value: 11.5% free-cash-flow yield with net debt manageable, meaning the equity generates enough cash to fund the buyback + dividend + growth capex without depending on further gold price appreciation — a rare combination for a miner in any cycle.
  • The near-term technical setup is genuinely fragile: stock sits at 42% of the 52-week range, 13% below both moving averages, and gold-miner ETF DUST has jumped 28% in a month as bearish gold traders build positions — the pullback isn't broken, but it's testing the level where miners de-rate faster than spot moves.

The July 23 earnings print is where either continued 60%+ gross margin at Q2 average gold prices restarts the setup toward $100, or any cost-inflation surprise combined with continued spot-gold weakness pushes the stock back toward $80. NEM is the cleanest gold-miner value in the group — the print has to show the operational leverage is durable.

Agrees with X sentimentX is split with bulls flagging a diamond bottom formation and $90 opex target and bears expecting a larger correction toward $28.86 — the mechanics fall in the middle. NEM's 11.5% FCF yield and 9x forward earnings are genuinely cheap for a large-cap miner, but the miners always de-rate faster than spot when the gold cycle turns.

What to watch: July 23 earnings — continued 60%+ gross margin at Q2 average gold prices restarts the setup toward $100; any cost-inflation surprise combined with spot-gold weakness pushes the stock toward $80.

On the calendar: 2026-07-23 — Q2 2026 earnings

divergent-sentiment

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-19 · top-engagement diverged

Newmont reports Q2 earnings July 23 after close. Gold miners under pressure with sector-wide selloff (ABX -34%, AEM -45%, FNV -28%, WPM -36%, XGD -37%). Rare diamond bottom formation flagged. Bulls target $70 for $GDX ETF, $90 for $NEM. Aggressive buyback announcements during Q2 finals would help sentiment. Long-term buy zone $28.86-$67.44 range — market waiting for capitulation or catalyst.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NEM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

World's largest gold miner with assets across the Americas, Australia, and Africa; also produces copper and silver.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Gold sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NEM.

Gold · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — central bank accumulation and US fiscal risk sustain the structural gold floor above $3,100/oz even as GDX lags spot by 10% YTD, flagging miner operating-cost inflation as the gap driver.

What this means for $NEM

Partial — World's largest gold miner with assets across the Americas, Australia, and Africa; also produces copper and silver; partial earnings exposure to gold demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF
-18.1%YTD
+39.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
12.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
15.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
52.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
25.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
55.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$2.90$2.07+40.1%
Q4 2025Feb 19, 2026$2.52$2.07+21.7%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$1.71$1.44+18.8%
Q2 2025Jul 24, 2025$1.43$0.91+58.0%
Next earningsThu, Jul 23·consensus EPS $2.00

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$7.2B+47.5%62.4%60.6%$3.01$3.1B
Q4 FY25$6.6B+14.8%58.8%56.1%$1.20$5.8B
Q3 FY25$5.4B+17.0%48.3%45.7%$1.67$1.6B
Q2 FY25$5.3B+22.4%47.6%44.4%$1.86$1.7B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$27.4B$26.2B – $28.6B$9.61$8.75 – $10.8312
FY27$29.4B$28.2B – $30.5B$10.75$8.37 – $13.0712
FY28$29.8B$29.7B – $30.0B$11.91$7.14 – $16.1715
FY29$31.0B$28.6B – $35.6B$11.49$10.33 – $13.7011
FY30$24.7B$22.8B – $28.3B$10.61$9.54 – $12.667

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.42%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-13.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-13.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.1B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.485-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 1Peter TothEVP, Chief Sustain & Dev Off3.0K sh$277KSellMay 1Peter TothEVP, Chief Sustain & Dev Off3.0K sh$330KSellMay 1Thornton David JohnMD, Americas2.3K sh$253KSellMay 1Peter WexlerCFO13.4K sh$1.5MSellApr 1Peter TothEVP, Chief Sustain & Dev Off3.0K sh$339KSellMar 18Peter TothEVP, Chief Sustain & Dev Off3.0K sh$324KSellMar 16Fry David JamesGroup Head Projects & Studies18.4K sh$2.1MSellMar 3Thornton David JohnMD, Americas8.1K sh$973KSellMar 3Mark C RodgersMD, Africa-Asia Pacific1.4K sh$164KSellMar 2Thornton David JohnMD, Americas944 sh$124K
1–10 of 12
+ 36 other (18 awards · 18 inkinds) in window

See when $NEM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 63
AI summary

Initial Form 3 ownership statement filed by Joshua Cage, a newly reportable officer or director at Newmont Corporation, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of company securities upon becoming a Section 16 reporting person. Routine Section 16(a) disclosure triggered by appointment or election to a qualifying role. No operational implications for the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Newmont Corporation (NEM) filed an 8-K on June 15, 2026 covering officer/director changes (Item 5.02) and a Reg FD disclosure (Item 7.01) with an accompanying exhibit. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific personnel change and Reg FD substance are disclosed.

8-KShareholder voteMay 138-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Newmont Corporation (NEM) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 83
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of NEM securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of Ownership (Instr. 5) Common Stock, $1.60. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at NEM.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 288-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Newmont Corporation (NEM) filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a change in its executive leadership or board composition. The filing reports both a departure and an appointment in President. Individuals named in the filing include Newmont Corporation, Its Charter. Leadership changes at the C-suite and board level are material events requiring 8-K disclosure within four business days, as they can affect company strategy, investor confidence, and operational continuity.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 93
+ 10 other (2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

AIA Group Ltd Sells 50,446 Shares of Newmont Corporation $NEMdefenseworld.net·1d agoGold's Returns Are Shining: Is It Better to Invest With a Physical Gold or Mining Stock ETF in 2026?fool.com·2d agoNewmont Corporation (NEM) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Knowzacks.com·3d agoGold Miners or Silver Bars? We Compare VanEck Gold Miners ETF to iShares Silver Trust to Find the Better Buyfool.com·3d agoNewmont Corporation (NEM) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Knowzacks.com·4d ago

In themes

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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