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VAVAL

Valaris Limited

$VAL·$5.5B·Oil & Gas Drilling·Energy
$86.29+1.0%YTD+54.7%1Y+75.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 3 posts2026-08-21: 6 posts2026-08-22: 4 posts2026-08-23: 1 posts33-3%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
VAVAL
$VALValaris Limited
$86.29+0.99%33 posts-3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $VAL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Offshore driller +76% t12m on Q2 EPS +132% beat; 38 H1-sanctioned deepwater projects underwrite the 2027 EPS surge thesis.

Valaris is a $5.48B offshore contract driller (rigs across Brazil, UK North Sea, Gulf of America, Australia, Angola) at $86.29 — +54% YTD, +76% t12m, sitting at 59% of its 52w range and +9% vs 200d, on a 0.93 beta.

  • Q2 EPS $0.72 vs $0.31 (+132% beat), driven by day-rate strength on rigs recontracting into the current offshore capex cycle. Q4 was distorted (EPS $10.32 vs $0.45 = a one-time item, probably a warrant/settlement gain), so the underlying trend is best read from Q1 -$0.24 → Q2 $0.72 in normalizing quarterly EPS.
  • Cash economics: PE 6.1x, PS 2.77x, ROIC 8.0%, ROE 36.2% (rig-utilization inflection driving earnings acceleration), op-margin 16.7%, D/E 0.37, EV/EBITDA 10.36. This is cheap, but offshore-cyclical, so multiple-compression is a real risk in a demand-cycle rollover.
  • Analyst path FY26 EPS $3.02 → FY27 $7.36 (+144% growth) implies market pricing $86 at ~29x FY26, ~12x FY27 — the 2027 estimate is the entire thesis.
  • Oak Hill Advisors SC 13D/A shows continued institutional positioning (3,038,600 shares under shared beneficial ownership).
  • Sentiment (5 posts): bullish, citing 38 offshore field-development projects sanctioned by operators in H1 (per Westwood) as evidence of deepwater capex confidence, and traders positioning ahead of what they characterize as the "conviction play before the volume arrives."

Read as an offshore-driller cyclical inflection whose forward earnings growth would compress the multiple sharply if delivered; the debated question is whether the deepwater capex cycle holds through 2027 (as sanctioned projects suggest) or whether an unexpected macro-oil demand shock resets day rates before earnings-scale actualizes.

Agrees with X sentimentX sees deepwater capex sanctions + conviction-play positioning as bullish; verdict aligns, flagging demand-cycle sensitivity as the swing risk.

What to watch: Q3 day-rate progression, Fleet Status Report cadence, and any additional offshore contract awards on the Nov 4 print.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-18

Chatter is bullish on Valaris. Bulls point to 38 offshore field-development projects sanctioned by operators in H1 (per Westwood) as evidence operators remain confident in deepwater economics despite market uncertainty. One trader describes calling VAL at 15K market-cap and framing his strategy as finding the conviction play before the volume arrives. Cross-thread commentary from prior cycles reminds that Transocean day rates troughed at $159K in 2017 with exponential improvement since; a separate item flags that Transocean hasn't yet certified DOJ compliance on the Valaris deal.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $VAL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates offshore drilling rigs (drillships, semisubs, jackups) for international oil companies in deepwater and shallow water globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Drilling sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $VAL.

Oil & Gas Drilling · Energy

No material change from last week — structural undersupply of capable ultra-deepwater rigs after years of underinvestment is creating backlog visibility for the few large-asset operators that..

What this means for $VAL

Partial — Operates offshore drilling rigs (drillships, semisubs, jackups) for international oil companies in deepwater and shallow water globally; partial earnings exposure to oil & gas drilling demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$OIHVanEck Oil Services ETF
+37.1%YTD
+63.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
6.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
36.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
24.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.72$0.31+132.3%
Q1 2026May 4, 2026$-0.24$-0.05-380.0%
Q4 2025Feb 19, 2026$10.26$0.45+2170.9%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$2.65$1.00+165.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $1.17

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$465.4M-25.0%10.6%5.2%$-0.24$-25.9M
Q4 FY25$537.4M-8.0%15.5%10.5%$10.32$-38.5M
Q3 FY25$595.7M-7.4%31.9%21.2%$2.66$128.3M
Q2 FY25$615.2M+0.8%35.7%26.7%$1.62$52.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.1B$2.1B – $2.2B$3.02$2.97 – $3.085
FY27$2.5B$2.4B – $2.5B$7.36$7.25 – $7.525
FY28$2.5B$2.5B – $2.6B$9.03$8.90 – $9.241

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.59%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 56.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 34 other (19 inkinds · 11 awards · 2 exempts · 2 returns) in window

See when $VAL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentAug 12SC 13D/A
AI summary

Oak Hill Advisors LP filed Amendment No. 4 to its Schedule 13D on offshore driller Valaris Ltd, triggered by activity on August 10, 2026. Oak Hill reports shared beneficial ownership of 3,038,600 Valaris common shares, representing 4.38% of the 69,435,807 shares outstanding as of July 30, 2026, with all voting and dispositive power shared. An Oak Hill director also received a grant of 2,188 RSUs from Valaris on June 10, 2026, as compensation for board service. The amendment reflects updated holdings and recent open-market transactions detailed in an attached schedule.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

VAL (VAL) filed a Reg FD disclosure (Item 7.01) on 2026-08-05, furnishing an investor presentation or Reg FD disclosure. Reg FD filings ensure simultaneous public disclosure of material information shared with select investors. This is generally informational; no new deal terms or financial results were announced unless otherwise noted. Investors should review the attached exhibit for updated guidance or strategic commentary.

8-KShareholder voteJun 108-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Valaris Limited held its 2026 Annual General Meeting in Bermuda on June 10, 2026, with 61,111,993 of 69,251,773 eligible shares present (88.24%). Directors Elizabeth Leykum, Anton Dibowitz, Dick Fagerstal, Joseph Goldschmid, Catherine Hughes, and Kristian Johansen were each elected or re-elected; all passed with strong majorities, though Leykum and Hughes each drew approximately 499K and 2.6M against votes respectively. Additional governance proposals (including auditor ratification) were also voted on. Routine annual governance with no material financial or operational impact for the offshore drilling contractor.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 8SC 13D/A
AI summary

Oak Hill Advisors, L.P. filed Amendment No. 3 to Schedule 13D on June 8, 2026, disclosing a 5.91% beneficial ownership stake (4,095,067 shares) in Valaris Ltd (VAL), an offshore drilling contractor. The percentage is calculated on 69,251,780 shares outstanding as of May 13, 2026. The amendment updates the share count (rows 5(a)-(c) restated) reflecting minor changes in position; Oak Hill holds shares for the benefit of clients. At 5.91%, Oak Hill remains a notable shareholder in this offshore-driller, and any future amendment may signal intent changes or block trades.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 48-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Valaris plc (VAL) filed an 8-K under Item 7.01 to satisfy Regulation FD requirements, ensuring material information shared with certain investors is simultaneously available to all market participants. The offshore drilling contractor's disclosure likely relates to investor presentations, fleet utilization data, or commentary on the pending strategic transaction. Exhibits contain the actual disclosed materials. This filing is part of ongoing communications during Valaris's pending merger or acquisition process.

+ 14 other (4 proxys · 2 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Valaris (NYSE:VAL) Shares Up 7.6% on Analyst Upgradedefenseworld.net·20d agoValaris Limited (VAL) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimateszacks.com·25d agoValaris Issues Fleet Status Reportbusinesswire.com·25d agoValaris Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsbusinesswire.com·25d agoPalantir shares surge after earnings beatproactiveinvestors.com·26d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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