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VAVAL

Valaris Limited

$VAL·$5.4B·Oil & Gas Drilling·Energy
$79.57+2.6%YTD+57.6%1Y+64.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-06: 9 posts2026-07-07: 24 posts2026-07-08: 41 posts2026-07-09: 73 posts2026-07-10: 107 posts2026-07-11: 46 posts2026-07-12: 60 posts362+12%
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
VAVAL
$VALValaris Limited
$79.57+2.58%362 posts+12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $VAL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-12

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Valaris is at the center of a sold-out jackup market with a takeover investigation open — earnings on August 5 are the tie-breaker.

Valaris is one of the largest global offshore-drilling contractors, operating drillships and jackup rigs primarily for major integrated and national oil companies. The story is a supply-and-demand imbalance at a moment when consolidation speculation is real.

  • Revenue is bottoming: $465M last quarter fell 25% YoY as the trailing offshore-drilling cycle work rolled off, but consensus expects revenue to walk from $2.15B this year to $2.55B by FY28 with EPS jumping from $3.01 to $9.67 — a real earnings recovery on higher day rates.
  • The jackup market is genuinely tight: bulls cite all-time-low jackup inventories, shallow-water as the only short-cycle alternative supply, and large incremental Saudi and UAE rig demand — a supply-constrained cycle that reprices day rates higher.
  • The takeover process is now real: Kahn Swick & Foti investigating the adequacy of the price and process in the proposed sale of Valaris is the classic pattern that follows a takeover bid that's negotiating — not just a rumor, an actual deal in the market.
  • The Hormuz backdrop adds a geopolitical layer: the ongoing Iran-related tensions elevate the strategic value of Middle Eastern-adjacent drilling capacity, which flows through to premium day rates on newer rigs.
  • Insider prints are all mechanical restricted-stock vestings from officer Melissa Barron — no cluster in either direction.

The August 5 Q2 earnings print is the near-term catalyst — a beat with commentary on day-rate escalations plus any deal-terms disclosure extends the setup. What breaks it: a soft utilization print, a specific takeover-price disclosure at a discount to current, or a Hormuz de-escalation that removes the geopolitical premium.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the sold-out jackup market thesis, the Saudi/UAE incremental demand, the Hormuz geopolitical premium, and the drilling-consolidation optionality — supported by the mechanics (revenue bottoming, credible EPS walk to $9.67 by FY28, real takeover process open). The Kahn Swick investigation confirms a genuine deal is on the table.

What to watch: August 5 Q2 earnings — a beat with commentary on day-rate escalations plus any deal-terms disclosure extends the setup. A soft utilization print, a takeover-price disclosure at a discount, or a Hormuz de-escalation removing the geopolitical premium breaks it.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q2 earnings

earnings soontakeover in playoffshore drilling cyclegeopolitical premium

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-15

Valaris is at the center of a sold-out jackup market with bulls citing all-time-low inventories, shallow-water as the only short-cycle alternative, and large Saudi/UAE incremental rig demand against a contested Hormuz backdrop. The drilling-consolidation theme adds optionality, and the chart is bullish over $86.50. Sentiment is firmly bullish on the supply-demand setup.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $VAL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates offshore drilling rigs (drillships, semisubs, jackups) for international oil companies in deepwater and shallow water globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Drilling sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $VAL.

Oil & Gas Drilling · Energy

No material change from last week — structural undersupply of capable ultra-deepwater rigs after years of underinvestment is creating backlog visibility for the few large-asset operators that..

What this means for $VAL

Direct beneficiary — Operates offshore drilling rigs (drillships, semisubs, jackups) for international oil companies in deepwater and shallow water globally; the company is structurally positioned to capture the structural undersupply of ultra-deepwater rigs after years of underinvestment.

Top industry ETF

$OIHVanEck Oil Services ETF
+33.9%YTD
+56.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
6.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
36.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
24.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 4, 2026$-0.24$-0.05-380.0%
Q4 2025Feb 19, 2026$0.79$0.51+54.9%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$2.65$1.00+165.0%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$1.61$1.16+38.8%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $0.31

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$465.4M-25.0%10.6%5.2%$-0.24$-25.9M
Q4 FY25$537.4M-8.0%15.5%10.5%$10.32$-38.5M
Q3 FY25$595.7M-7.4%31.9%21.2%$2.66$128.3M
Q2 FY25$615.2M+0.8%35.7%26.7%$1.62$52.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.1B$2.1B – $2.2B$3.01$2.95 – $3.105
FY27$2.5B$2.4B – $2.5B$7.33$7.18 – $7.556
FY28$2.5B$2.5B – $2.6B$9.67$9.46 – $9.951

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.48%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-13.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+4.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 56.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.945-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 39 other (19 inkinds · 16 awards · 2 exempts · 2 returns) in window

See when $VAL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 108-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Valaris Limited held its 2026 Annual General Meeting in Bermuda on June 10, 2026, with 61,111,993 of 69,251,773 eligible shares present (88.24%). Directors Elizabeth Leykum, Anton Dibowitz, Dick Fagerstal, Joseph Goldschmid, Catherine Hughes, and Kristian Johansen were each elected or re-elected; all passed with strong majorities, though Leykum and Hughes each drew approximately 499K and 2.6M against votes respectively. Additional governance proposals (including auditor ratification) were also voted on. Routine annual governance with no material financial or operational impact for the offshore drilling contractor.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 8SC 13D/A
AI summary

Oak Hill Advisors, L.P. filed Amendment No. 3 to Schedule 13D on June 8, 2026, disclosing a 5.91% beneficial ownership stake (4,095,067 shares) in Valaris Ltd (VAL), an offshore drilling contractor. The percentage is calculated on 69,251,780 shares outstanding as of May 13, 2026. The amendment updates the share count (rows 5(a)-(c) restated) reflecting minor changes in position; Oak Hill holds shares for the benefit of clients. At 5.91%, Oak Hill remains a notable shareholder in this offshore-driller, and any future amendment may signal intent changes or block trades.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 48-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Valaris plc (VAL) filed an 8-K under Item 7.01 to satisfy Regulation FD requirements, ensuring material information shared with certain investors is simultaneously available to all market participants. The offshore drilling contractor's disclosure likely relates to investor presentations, fleet utilization data, or commentary on the pending strategic transaction. Exhibits contain the actual disclosed materials. This filing is part of ongoing communications during Valaris's pending merger or acquisition process.

8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 178-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Feb 13SC 13D
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentFeb 11SC 13D/A
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentFeb 11SC 13D/A
8-KMaterial agreementFeb 108-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
+ 22 other (12 proxys · 3 routine 8-Ks · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 PREM14A) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Valaris Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Releasebusinesswire.com·4d agoValaris: Small Arbitrage Play Short-Term, Large Consolidated Upside Long-Termseekingalpha.com·20d agoAre DXLG, GORO, VAL Obtaining Fair Deals for their Shareholders?prnewswire.com·32d agoValaris Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Valaris Limited - VALgurufocus.com·33d agoValaris Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Valaris Limited - VALbusinesswire.com·33d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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