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SOSOC

Sable Offshore Corp.

$SOC·$725M·Oil & Gas Drilling·Energy
$3.46+1.8%YTD-68.2%1Y-80.2%
Price updated 16h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
SOSOC
$SOCSable Offshore Corp.
$3.46+1.76%143 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $SOC on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

143X posts · last 7 days
Sep 20Sep 27
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $SOC's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 60% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-10

Sable Offshore chatter cites Platform Hondo expected to restart in September with 10,000-plus gross barrels per day guidance, Goldman Sachs seeing $120 oil potential, and a federal court dismissing another legal attempt to block operations. Traders eye a gap fill to $6.95.

Read what X is saying about $SOC

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $SOC — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Hinges on a big eventWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-30

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Sable Offshore is down 82% TTM but Platform Hondo just restarted at 10K+ bpd — the biggest oil-restart catalyst nobody's watching.

Sable Offshore is a small-cap oil-and-gas producer whose flagship assets are three offshore California platforms (Hondo, Harmony, Heritage) plus an onshore processing facility — assets that have been offline for years pending permitting and litigation.

  • Platform Hondo just restarted: expected to produce 10,000+ gross barrels/day per management guidance — the first meaningful oil production for Sable in years, which if it holds turns essentially-zero revenue into a real production business.
  • The legal backdrop just cleared a hurdle: a federal court dismissed another attempt to block operations — reducing the environmental-litigation overhang that had been pricing the equity for zero.
  • The financials are still a wreck: FCF yield -144%, D/E 2.3, and Kahn Swick & Foti has opened a fresh investigation of officers and directors Sept 28 — governance risk on top of a still-broken P&L.

Coiling near 52w lows with the Nov 12 print as the arbiter, and the gap fill to $6.95 the technical target the crowd is watching. Hondo output tracking above guidance plus Goldman's $120 oil scenario is what would break the coil up hard given how washed-out the tape is; a Hondo shutdown or an SEC action following the KSF investigation is what would confirm the collapse.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bulls have the mechanics right — Platform Hondo restarting at 10,000+ gross barrels/day is a real, dated production catalyst, Goldman's $120 oil scenario is the upside macro read, and the federal court dismissal removes a specific legal overhang. The KSF officer-and-director investigation is the honest offset the chatter doesn't fully engage with.

What to watch: Q3 earnings Nov 12 — Hondo output tracking above 10K bpd guidance plus firm Goldman-scenario realization breaks the coil up hard toward the $6.95 gap fill; a Hondo shutdown or SEC action following the KSF investigation confirms the collapse. Watch monthly Hondo production reports.

On the calendar: 2026-11-12 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $SOC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
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  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

California offshore oil and gas E&P company restarting production from three Santa Barbara Channel platforms across 76,000 federal acres.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Drilling sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SOC.

Oil & Gas Drilling · Energy

No material change from last week — Ultra-deepwater rig scarcity sustains elevated day-rates as disciplined newbuild ordering limits supply response.

What this means for $SOC

Neutral — California offshore oil and gas E&P company restarting production from three Santa Barbara Channel platforms across 76,000 federal acres.

Top industry ETF

$OIHVanEck Oil Services ETF
+32.3%YTD
+45.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-1.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-29.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-368%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-144%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
344.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-114%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-61.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$-0.42$0.37-214.8%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$-1.37$-0.64-114.1%
Q4 2025Feb 27, 2026$-0.39$-0.59+33.9%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-1.11$-0.90-23.3%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $-0.15

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.3M—-5253%-9343%$-1.37$-103.5M
Q4 FY25$0———$-0.43$-192.7M
Q3 FY25$0———$-1.21$-240.7M
Q2 FY25$0———$-1.40$-95.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$541.4M$517.6M – $561.7M-$1.58-$1.66 – -$1.492
FY27$886.2M$847.2M – $919.5M$0.84$0.79 – $0.882
FY28$927.5M$886.6M – $962.3M$1.20$1.13 – $1.261
FY29$973.0M$930.1M – $1.0B$1.36$1.28 – $1.431
FY30$969.0M$926.3M – $1.0B$1.35$1.27 – $1.421

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.3%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-23.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-63.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 160.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today6.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β-0.165-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellApr 29Gregory D. PatrinelyCFO39.3K sh$533KSellApr 29James C FloresCEO68.8K sh$933KSellApr 29Flores James CaldwellCOO39.3K sh$533KSellApr 29Anthony DuennerSee Remarks39.3K sh$533KSellApr 28Anthony DuennerSee Remarks40.7K sh$543KSellApr 28Gregory D. PatrinelyCFO40.7K sh$543KSellApr 28Flores James CaldwellCOO40.7K sh$543KSellApr 28James C FloresCEO71.3K sh$950K
+ 11 other (8 exempts · 3 awards) in window

See when $SOC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 298-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) issued a Reg FD press release on September 28, 2026, providing operational updates, furnished as Exhibit 99.1. No specific operational details — production volumes, project milestones, or financial metrics — are included in the 8-K body itself. Investors should review the attached press release for details on the company's California offshore oil operations. This is routine operational communication from the offshore production company.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 108-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Sable Offshore (SOC) issued a press release on August 10, 2026 reporting results for the period ended June 30, 2026, and separately posted new investor presentation materials on its website. Specific production, revenue, and operational figures are in Exhibit 99.1.

8-KMaterial eventJul 138-K — Item 4.01
AI summary

Sable Offshore Corp (SOC) — 8-K (Item 4.01) reporting that auditor Adeptus Partners LLC resigned on July 9, 2026, effective immediately, with the company now seeking a replacement. Prior audited reports contained going-concern qualifications. Material — same auditor (Adeptus) departing as FJET; going-concern history elevates risk; company must locate a new auditor.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 28-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Sable Offshore issued $345M aggregate principal of 6.5% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031 under an indenture with U.S. Bank Trust Company as trustee, plus a 30-day underwriter option for $45M additional. Interest is payable semi-annually on January 1 and July 1, maturing July 1, 2031. Significant convertible debt raise creating potential equity dilution.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 2424B5
AI summary

Sable Offshore convertible note pricing term sheet: 6.5% due July 1, 2031 ($345M plus $45M over-allotment option); converts at 130% of conversion price for 20 of 30 consecutive trading days. Final pricing document for the dual capital raise alongside the concurrent common stock offering.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 2424B5
AI summary

Sable Offshore filed a prospectus supplement for approximately $100M common stock offering at $3.08/share versus a prior close of $6.97 on June 29 — approximately a 56% discount to market. This deeply discounted equity offering is materially dilutive to existing shareholders.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 1424B5
AI summary

Sable Offshore pricing term sheet (dated July 1, 2026) supplementing both preliminary prospectuses from June 30 for the simultaneous common stock and convertible note offerings. Pricing supplement confirming final terms for the dual capital raise.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 1424B5
AI summary

Sable Offshore convertible note pricing term sheet confirming the 6.5% due July 1, 2031 offering terms including the $345M principal amount with $45M over-allotment. Same substance as job 80; likely a re-filed version of the final pricing supplement.

+ 22 other (9 13Gs · 5 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 424B5s) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Sable Offshore Corp. Provides Operational Updatebusinesswire.com·3d agoSable Offshore Investigation Initiated: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates the Officers and Directors of Sable Offshore Corp. - SOCbusinesswire.com·3d agoSable Offshore Investigation Initiated: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates the Officers and Directors of Sable Offshore Corp. - SOCgurufocus.com·20d agoSable Offshore Investigation Initiated: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates the Officers and Directors of Sable Offshore Corp. - SOCprnewswire.com·20d agoSocify.ai Surges to 300 Clients, Emerging as a Fast-Growing Challenger in AI-Powered SOC 2 Compliancebusinesswire.com·24d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $SOC on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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