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TickerTalks›$SOC
SOSOC

Sable Offshore Corp.

Hot onWhy it's trendingX chatter spiked vs its recent normMoving on elevated volume
$SOC·$438M·Oil & Gas Drilling·Energy
$4.25-3.4%YTD-58.8%1Y-79.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-25: 14 posts2026-06-26: 9 posts2026-06-27: 15 posts2026-06-28: 12 posts2026-06-29: 15 posts2026-06-30: 134 posts2026-07-01: 224 posts425
Price updated 33m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
SOSOC
$SOCSable Offshore Corp.
$4.25-3.41%425 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SOC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

The Santa Ynez restart bet up 43% on 12x volume — an event-driven microcap the tape is finally noticing.

Sable Offshore is an oil and gas microcap whose whole thesis rests on restarting the Santa Ynez Unit offshore California — a legacy asset with real regulatory friction. The stock has been left for dead (-79% year-over-year, at 5% of the 52-week range), and today's +43% single-session move on volume 12x the 30-day average is the market registering something specific.

What's actually happening:

  • The tape has flipped hard — a 43% single-session move with volume 12x the 30-day average is not noise; something material changed and the equity is being repriced from left-for-dead toward event-optionality.
  • The financials are pre-restart — trailing PS ratio of 344x means essentially no revenue and operating margin of -368% reflects a company still building infrastructure while waiting on regulatory clearance; the equity value is 100% future optionality.
  • Position vs. 200-day is -63% — even after the pop, the stock trades way below the trailing average, meaning any positive regulatory or restart-timeline update has room to run before hitting real supply.

The honest read is coiling before a defined event — the tape has recognized something the sentiment feed hasn't yet captured (there are zero X posts on SOC), so any 8-K disclosing a Santa Ynez restart approval or a firm production-start date is the resolution higher; if today's move fades without follow-through, the stock stays near lows waiting on the next regulatory print. August 11 Q2 earnings is a fixed-date check-in, but the primary catalyst is regulatory.

What to watch: Any 8-K disclosing a Santa Ynez restart approval, production milestone, or regulatory settlement — that's the primary catalyst. August 11 Q2 earnings as the fixed check-in. Failure of today's move to hold with no confirming disclosure would confirm this was speculation.

On the calendar: 2026-08-11 — Q2 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) specializes in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas across the United States. The company's operational assets include three offshore platforms located off the California coast, along with an onshore processing facility. These operations are supported by 16 federal leases that encompass approximately 76,000 acres. Established in 2020, the firm was previously known as Flame Acquisition Corp. before officially adopting the name Sable Offshore Corp. in February 2024. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Houston, Texas.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Drilling sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SOC.

Oil & Gas Drilling · Energy

Offshore deepwater drilling rates are recovering as oil supply discipline keeps Brent supported above $80 — structural undersupply of capable ultra-deepwater rigs after years of underinvestment is creating backlog visibility for the few large-asset operators that survived the 2015–20 downcycle. Valaris comparable highlights 2027 tightness.

Top industry ETF

$OIHVanEck Oil Services ETF
+25.9%YTD
+52.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-1.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-29.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-368%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-144%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
344.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-114%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-61.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$-1.37$-0.64-114.1%
Q4 2025Feb 27, 2026$-0.39$-0.59+33.9%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-1.11$-0.90-23.3%
Q2 2025Aug 12, 2025$-1.10$-0.66-66.7%
Next earningsTue, Aug 11·consensus EPS $0.33

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.3M—-5253%-9343%$-1.37$-103.5M
Q4 FY25$0———$-0.43$-192.7M
Q3 FY25$0———$-1.21$-240.7M
Q2 FY25$0———$-1.40$-95.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$750.9M$733.8M – $770.2M$0.17$0.16 – $0.172
FY27$1.0B$1.0B – $1.1B$2.46$2.39 – $2.542
FY28$966.5M$958.8M – $974.3M$2.25$2.18 – $2.321
FY29$948.0M$926.4M – $972.4M$2.23$2.16 – $2.301
FY30$947.0M$925.4M – $971.3M$2.58$2.50 – $2.671

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.12.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.5%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-64.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-62.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 74.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today121.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β-0.235-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellApr 29Flores James CaldwellCOO39.3K sh$533KSellApr 29Gregory D. PatrinelyCFO39.3K sh$533KSellApr 29Anthony DuennerSee Remarks39.3K sh$533KSellApr 29James C FloresCEO68.8K sh$933KSellApr 28Flores James CaldwellCOO40.7K sh$543KSellApr 28Gregory D. PatrinelyCFO40.7K sh$543KSellApr 28Anthony DuennerSee Remarks40.7K sh$543KSellApr 28James C FloresCEO71.3K sh$950KSellMar 31Flores James CaldwellCOO279.1K sh$4.7MSellMar 31Gregory D. PatrinelyCFO279.1K sh$4.7M
1–10 of 11
+ 14 other (8 exempts · 6 awards) in window

See when $SOC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
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Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Sable Offshore Shares Are Powering Higher Following Financing Updatebenzinga.com·1d agoSable Offshore Corp. Prices Offerings of Common Stock and Convertible Senior Notesbusinesswire.com·2d agoSable Offshore Corp. Announces Proposed Offerings of Common Stock and Convertible Senior Notesbusinesswire.com·3d agoJohnson & Johnson presents new IMAAVY® (nipocalimab-aahu) data at European Academy of Neurology (EAN) 2026 Congress reinforcing sustained disease control in generalized myasthenia gravisgurufocus.com·6d agoVirginia Information Technologies Agency Selects CAI to Deliver Statewide Cybersecurity Services to Local Governmentsglobenewswire.com·9d ago

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