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VAVAC

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation

$VAC·$4.3B·Gambling, Resorts & Casinos·Consumer Cyclical
$119.33+3.9%1Y+62.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-06: 14 posts2026-08-07: 7 posts2026-08-08: 1 posts2026-08-09: 3 posts2026-08-10: 4 posts2026-08-11: 2 posts2026-08-12: 1 posts32+13%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 14h ago
VAVAC
$VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation
$119.33+3.89%32 posts+13%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $VAC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Marriott Vacations crushed Q2, up 62% t12m, and analysts still call it a bargain

VAC is a $4.3B leisure company running the Marriott/Sheraton/Westin/Hyatt Residence timeshare (vacation-ownership) brands. Q2 (Aug 6) beat: $2.31 EPS vs $1.97 estimate (+17%) on $1.32B revenue — the sales momentum + occupancy strength has re-rated the stock +62% over the last twelve months, and the Aug 7 'Momentum stock, still a bargain' framing captures where consensus sits.

  • Revenue trajectory is normalizing well: Q1 +5% YoY, Q2 +6% — modest growth but with 12% operating margin and 9.7% ROIC, the earnings power that's dropping to the bottom line is high; analyst FY26 EPS $7.44 → FY27 $8.41 → FY28 $8.40 implies steady mid-single-digit EPS growth into a normalized cadence
  • The valuation math is favorable: at ~16x FY26 EPS estimate, PS 0.91x, FCF yield 2.8%, and D/E 0 — this is a cleanly-financed name whose FY25 (Q3-Q4 headline losses) reflected specific charges rather than ongoing weakness
  • Tape strength is confirming: at 86% of 52-week range, +21% above the 50-day MA, +65% above the 200-day, and low float 28M-share base (with 1.09x volume multiplier) makes moves reasonably crisp for a Consumer Discretionary name

The 'downgrade' framing in the Aug 6 Seeking Alpha note is more about the run-up than fundamental deterioration. Nov 4 next print.

What to watch: Consumer-spending indicators from the Nov 4 Q3 print (particularly average-VPG - Volume Per Guest - on tour flow), any large development-project pipeline announcements, and the FY27 outlook framing when management provides it in early 2027.

On the calendar: Q3 2026 earnings, 2026-11-04

no x sentiment

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $VAC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Vacation ownership developer and manager selling timeshare intervals under Marriott and Westin brands globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Gambling, Resorts & Casinos sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $VAC.

Gambling, Resorts & Casinos · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — DraftKings' super app pivot and World Cup gambling activity signal OSB market maturation.

Top industry ETF

$BJKVanEck Gaming ETF
-6.5%YTD
-4.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-13.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
10.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-15.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
44.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$2.31$1.97+17.3%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$1.24$1.67-25.7%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$1.86$1.72+8.1%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$1.69$1.64+3.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $2.01

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$1.3B+5.9%100%12.2%$2.21$85.0M
Q1 FY26$1.3B+4.8%13.5%8.9%$0.63$-12.0M
Q4 FY25$1.3B-0.3%14.7%10.1%$-12.35$-6.0M
Q3 FY25$812.0M-37.8%48.4%13.1%$-0.06$51.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.2B$5.1B – $5.3B$7.44$6.86 – $7.708
FY27$5.4B$5.2B – $5.6B$8.41$7.85 – $9.328
FY28$5.5B$5.2B – $5.7B$8.40$8.08 – $8.714

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.86%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+20.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+65.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 28.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.245-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyMar 10Michael FlaskeySee Remarks200 sh$14K
+ 37 other (36 awards · 1 inkind) in window

See when $VAC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·4d agoDespite Fast-paced Momentum, Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Is Still a Bargain Stockzacks.com·6d agoMarriott Vacations: Stellar Sales Activity Supports The Recent Rally (Downgrade)seekingalpha.com·7d agoMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·7d agoMarriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimateszacks.com·7d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $VAC on X in the last 7 days.

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