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UNUNP

Union Pacific Corporation

$UNP·$161B·Railroads·Industrials
$282.25+1.6%YTD+20.0%1Y+17.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-24: 3 posts2026-06-25: 3 posts2026-06-26: 13 posts2026-06-27: 2 posts2026-06-28: 7 posts2026-06-29: 12 posts2026-06-30: 7 posts47
Price updated 33m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
UNUNP
$UNPUnion Pacific Corporation
$282.25+1.63%47 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $UNP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-01

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Union Pacific at 89% of 52-week range on freight-recovery + Buy upgrade — the operating-margin machine keeps compounding.

Union Pacific operates the largest US Class I railroad — the western half of North America (California, Texas, Nebraska, etc.). It's a mature dividend-plus-growth compounder with real pricing power in bulk freight, and the tape has been quietly grinding higher.

Where it stands:

  • The operating engine is exceptional: Q1 revenue grew 3.2% year-over-year to $6.22B with operating margin at 39% and EPS of $2.87 — that's a Class I railroad delivering utility-like operating margins on cyclical revenue, and the 40% ROE plus 3.5% free-cash-flow yield make this a durable compounder.
  • The Zacks Buy upgrade is a specific institutional catalyst: 'Union Pacific (UNP) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?' — that's Zacks moving to Buy, adding institutional-flow support at the 22x trailing multiple; combined with 'Outperforming Other Transportation Stocks' framing, UNP is the specific rail name benefiting from cohort rotation.
  • The tape mechanics support the run: shares at 89% of 52-week range and above both the 200-day and 50-day moving averages, with the small A-Award insider activity in June being routine equity comp rather than meaningful signal in either direction.

Path if it works: July 23 Q2 earnings confirms operating-margin above 39% plus firm intermodal-volume recovery commentary; the tape extends toward $290+. Risk: any US industrial-cycle blink, a specific coal-shipment decline, or a labor-negotiation dispute — those three are what continue the coil sideways rather than break it upward.

What to watch: July 23 Q2 earnings — operating margin above 39% plus firm intermodal-volume recovery breaks the setup upward; a US industrial-cycle blink, a coal-shipment decline, or a labor dispute is the invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-07-23 — Q2 2026 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Class I railroad operating the western U.S. rail network, transporting agricultural, energy, chemical, and intermodal freight across 23 states.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Railroads sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $UNP.

Railroads · Industrials

Freight rail car demand recovery is underway as industrial and agricultural freight volumes normalize after the post-COVID inventory correction — FreightCar America benefits from order book rebuilding as shippers and lessors restock depleted car fleets. No competing structural narrative this week.

Top industry ETF

$IYTiShares U.S. Transportation ETF
+16.9%YTD
+25.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
22.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
11.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
40.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
40.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
45.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$2.93$2.86+2.4%
Q4 2025Jan 27, 2026$2.86$2.860.0%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$3.08$2.99+3.0%
Q2 2025Jul 24, 2025$3.03$2.91+4.1%
Next earningsThu, Jul 23·consensus EPS $3.14

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$6.2B+3.2%45.2%39.4%$2.87$1.5B
Q4 FY25$6.1B-0.6%44.9%39.2%$3.12$1.2B
Q3 FY25$6.2B+2.5%46.5%40.8%$3.02$1.6B
Q2 FY25$6.2B+2.4%46.1%40.9%$3.16$1.4B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$26.1B$25.7B – $26.6B$12.64$12.45 – $12.9016
FY27$27.2B$26.7B – $27.9B$13.78$13.18 – $14.1815
FY28$29.9B$29.1B – $30.7B$15.15$14.48 – $15.7710
FY29$35.9B$35.1B – $36.8B$18.07$17.59 – $18.725
FY30$38.3B$37.5B – $39.3B$19.56$19.04 – $20.265

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.97%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+13.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 592.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.975-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 3Eric J GehringerEVP OPERATIONS3.0K sh$790KSellApr 24Jennifer L HamannCFO2.0K sh$549KSellApr 24Kenyatta G RockerEVP MARKETING & SALES11.9K sh$3.2MSellMar 20Eric J GehringerEVP OPERATIONS2.0K sh$470K
+ 39 other (37 awards · 2 exempts) in window

See when $UNP insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
3New insider — initial holdingsJan 73
+ 12 other (4 11-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Union Pacific (UNP) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?zacks.com·2d agoIs Union Pacific (UNP) Outperforming Other Transportation Stocks This Year?zacks.com·2d agoUnion Pacific (UNP) Could Be a Great Choicezacks.com·3d agoUnion Pacific And Norfolk Southern: How Politics Can Have A Body Countforbes.com·3d agoUnion Pacific Corporation Announces Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Datebusinesswire.com·8d ago

More in Railroads

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · top 2 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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