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TickerTalks›$CP
CPCP

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 60% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (61 mentions/wk)
$CP·$78B·Railroads·Industrials
$88.89+0.8%YTD+19.4%1Y+20.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-24: 9 posts2026-07-25: 4 posts2026-07-26: 3 posts2026-07-27: 4 posts2026-07-28: 3 posts2026-07-29: 21 posts2026-07-30: 17 posts61
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
CPCP
$CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd.
$88.89+0.83%61 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-31

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City beat Q2 by 3% — the Kansas City Southern integration franchise steady but chair retirement adds transition.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City is the North American Class I railroad that operates the only fully-integrated cross-continent rail network (Canada + US + Mexico) — the specific play on North American freight rail plus USMCA-related cross-border trade.

  • The Q2 print was a modest beat: EPS $0.92 vs $0.89 consensus (+3% surprise) with revenue $5.92B (+60% YoY on Kansas City Southern integration effects) — the three-quarter surprise pattern (+3%, -3%, -4%) means consensus has been slightly optimistic but the Q2 finally beat. Profits fell on the report even as revenue grew, reflecting integration cost timing.
  • The leadership transition adds a real overhang: Chair retiring (per news) — meaning the specific transition adds some uncertainty during a period when the company is still working through the KCS integration synergies. Consensus FY26 EPS of $5.22 growing to $6.04 in FY27 supports continued growth, but the multiple stays capped until leadership continuity is established.
  • The valuation is reasonable: 25.2x trailing earnings, 6.7x sales — for consensus FY27 EPS of $6.04, forward P/E is ~15x on FY27, cheap for a quality-railroad franchise with genuine trans-continental integration optionality. Position at 77th percentile of 52-week range with volume at 1.58x — the tape is confirming continued institutional interest.

The Oct 28 Q3 print is the next test — another beat plus explicit Kansas City Southern synergy-capture commentary and any specific commentary on the new chair appointment restarts the equity toward $95. A miss on integration synergies or continued freight-volume weakness in cross-border trade keeps this at $85. The setup is 'quality-with-transition-noise' — the print resolves near-term direction.

What to watch: Oct 28 Q3 earnings — another beat plus explicit Kansas City Southern synergy-capture commentary and any specific commentary on the new chair appointment restarts the equity toward $95. A miss on integration synergies or cross-border freight-volume weakness keeps this at $85.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Specializing in railway freight transportation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. operates an extensive rail network connecting Canada, the United States, and Mexico. The company, headquartered in Calgary, Canada, began its operations on June 22, 2001.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Railroads sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CP.

Railroads · Industrials

No material change from last week — FreightCar America benefits from order book rebuilding as shippers and lessors restock depleted car fleets.

Top industry ETF

$IYTiShares U.S. Transportation ETF
+13.4%YTD
+24.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
25.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
37.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
8.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
48.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.92$0.89+3.4%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.76$0.78-2.6%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$0.95$0.99-4.0%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.80$0.81-1.2%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $0.94

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$5.9B+60.0%67.8%24.9%$1.65$2.5B
Q1 FY26$5.2B+36.0%34.0%34.0%$1.31$307.0M
Q4 FY25$3.9B+1.3%36.9%41.1%$1.19$729.0M
Q3 FY25$3.7B+3.2%68.6%36.5%$1.01$407.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$16.5B$16.1B – $16.7B$5.22$5.04 – $5.3817
FY27$17.4B$16.8B – $17.8B$6.04$5.80 – $6.3117
FY28$18.7B$18.0B – $19.1B$6.91$6.59 – $7.2314
FY29$20.2B$19.5B – $20.7B$8.03$7.67 – $8.309
FY30$20.7B$20.0B – $21.3B$8.13$7.77 – $8.4113

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.77%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-1.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 839.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.225-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·2d agoCanadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Sayzacks.com·2d agoCanadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimateszacks.com·2d agoCanadian Pacific Kansas City Profit Falls, Chair Retireswsj.com·2d agoCPKC Announces Retirement of Board Chair Isabelle Courville; Vice-Chair Gordon Trafton Appointed Chair of the Boardprnewswire.com·2d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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