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ULULTA

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

$ULTA·$20B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$467.74-1.8%YTD-22.8%1Y+1.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-06: 18 posts2026-06-07: 49 posts2026-06-08: 52 posts2026-06-09: 39 posts2026-06-10: 32 posts2026-06-11: 28 posts2026-06-12: 45 posts263+21%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 6h ago
ULULTA
Ulta Beauty, Inc.$ULTA
$467.74-1.82%263 posts+21%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ULTA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-06-12

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Ulta near absolute 52w lows at 17x earnings — Q1 11% revenue growth, 24% ROIC, 5% FCF yield deep-value setup.

Ulta Beauty is the dominant US beauty-retailer franchise — and 2026 has been the year the consumer-discretionary multiple compressed harder than the operational data justified. Q1 revenue grew 11.1% YoY to $3.16B at a 14% operating margin, 39% gross margin, a notable 24% ROIC (top-tier specialty retail), and a 5.2% FCF yield. The stock at 17.2x trailing earnings sits in the bottom 9% of its 52-week range with vs-50d -8% and vs-200d -16% — pure breaking-down tape, down 21% YTD. The June 2 Q1 print was structurally constructive, but the chart tape is bearish. The June 9 Annual Meeting approved the 2026 Incentive Award Plan (5M total shares available, 3.5M newly authorized). Recent insider activity is routine director-award-only — no signal in either direction. No sentiment summary was generated. The structural-bull setup is a 24% ROIC specialty retailer at 17x earnings; the bear hook is the consumer-discretionary cycle weakness that's pressuring the entire category.

What to watch: August 27 Q2 print. Bulls need same-store sales growth holding above 5% and explicit prestige-beauty-category color; a guide-down on FY26 revenue or any major Sephora-via-Kohl's competitive disclosure invalidates the deep-value setup. Watch the 50d MA as the structural recovery trigger.

On the calendar: 2026-08-27 — Q2 earnings

near 52w lowdeep valueconsumer discretionaryno sentiment data

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ULTA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

US specialty beauty retailer combining drugstore and prestige cosmetics, skincare, and haircare with in-store salon services.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ULTA.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

Amazon's $200B AI infrastructure commitment and agentic commerce expansion are the structural pull on AMZN while tariff uncertainty and cross-border logistics disruption create headwinds for China-linked marketplaces (BABA, JD). Consumer spending confidence at mid-tier e-commerce players remains sensitive to persistent inflation.

See how Specialty Retail shapes $ULTA

  • Where the industry is in its cycle and the catalysts moving it now
  • What this means specifically for $ULTA's next move
  • Peer-basket or ETF benchmark you can use to gut-check the read
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Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+2.3%YTD
+13.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
17.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
23.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
44.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
39.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.9Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 2, 2026$7.74$6.89+12.3%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$8.01$8.10-1.1%
Q3 2025Dec 4, 2025$5.14$4.61+11.5%
Q2 2025Aug 28, 2025$5.78$5.10+13.3%
Next earningsThu, Aug 27·consensus EPS $6.11

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.2B+11.1%40.1%14.2%$7.78$203.6M
Q4 FY25$3.9B+11.8%38.1%12.3%$8.04$907.4M
Q3 FY25$2.9B+12.9%40.4%11.0%$5.16$-82.4M
Q2 FY25$2.8B+9.3%39.2%12.6%$5.80$19.6M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 20 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$13.2B$13.2B – $13.3B$28.79$27.55 – $29.5920
FY28$14.0B$13.5B – $14.1B$31.93$31.36 – $34.1420
FY29$14.6B$14.6B – $14.7B$35.36$32.37 – $36.8611
FY30$15.1B$14.9B – $15.3B$37.54$36.86 – $38.245
FY31$16.4B$16.2B – $16.7B$43.65$42.86 – $44.475

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.6%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-17.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 42.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.865-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Know if $ULTA is setting up — or just chopping

  • Volume multiple vs 30-day baseline — catch unusual interest before the move
  • Position vs 50d & 200d MAs and 52-week range — trend direction at a glance
  • Float bucket, beta, and active-offering flags — what kind of stock you're trading
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Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellApr 7George R MrkonicDirector452 sh$244K
+ 19 other (16 awards · 2 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $ULTA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ulta Beauty held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 9, 2026, at which stockholders approved the 2026 Incentive Award Plan (5,001,201 total shares available: 3,500,000 newly authorized plus 1,501,201 carried over from the prior plan, which is now closed to new grants). The meeting also included director elections and potentially other governance votes (Item 5.07 detail cut off), plus an Item 5.03 charter/bylaws amendment. The new equity plan is mildly dilutive; director elections are routine.

8-KOfficer or director changeDec 18, 20258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 14 other (3 proxys · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 1 S-8 POS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ulta Beauty Delivers 5.3% Comp Growth: Can the Momentum Sustain?zacks.com·16h agoWOOF vs. ULTA: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?zacks.com·3d agoIs Ulta (ULTA) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think "Yes"zacks.com·8d agoBrokers Suggest Investing in Ulta (ULTA): Read This Before Placing a Betzacks.com·8d agoUlta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Presents at 46th Annual William Blair Growth Stock Conference Transcriptseekingalpha.com·9d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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