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STSTZ

Constellation Brands, Inc.

$STZ·$22B·Beverages - Alcoholic·Consumer Defensive
$133.98+0.4%YTD-5.0%1Y-20.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-05: 4 posts2026-08-06: 5 posts2026-08-07: 2 posts2026-08-08: 2 posts2026-08-09: 0 posts2026-08-10: 4 posts2026-08-11: 4 posts220%
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 1h ago
STSTZ
$STZConstellation Brands, Inc.
$133.98+0.44%22 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $STZ, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storyCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-11

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Constellation Brands cratered as Corona/Modelo beer volumes fell 11% — tariff/demand storm.

Constellation Brands is the US importer of Corona, Modelo, and Pacifico (its beer franchise, ~85% of business), plus a US wine and spirits arm — a defensive-consumer play with Mexican beer as the dominant story.

  • The Q4 fiscal revenue was $1.92B, DOWN 11.3% YoY and -13.6% sequentially — a sharp beer-volume decline reflecting Hispanic consumer sensitivity to tariff/economic pressure and Modelo/Corona losing share to hard-seltzer alternatives.
  • Q1 FY26 beat by 6.5%, and the cadence is decent (+7%, +11%, +16%, +7%), suggesting management guides conservatively and prints ahead.
  • Fundamentals: PE 15.3, PS 2.7, gross margin 52%, operating margin 31%, ROE 22%, D/E 1.39 (moderate), FCF yield 7.1% — real cash-flow business trading at a value multiple.
  • An executive/director departure disclosed July 24 — the specifics matter for whether it's routine or signals broader restructuring; the market has been treating STZ as a broken growth story.
  • Structural: -5% YTD, -21% t12m, sitting at just 0.14 of the 52-week range and -8% below the 200-day MA — a genuine downtrend, market pricing extended weakness.
  • Analyst outlook: FY2027 EPS $11.80, FY2028 $12.41 (+5%) — modest recovery expected but nothing spectacular.
  • Insider tape: eleven A-Awards on July 22 (equity comp grants after annual meeting), routine non-signal.

Deep-value defensive-consumer setup with a broken volume story — the setup needs either Hispanic consumer confidence to return or share-shift to reverse for a real re-rating.

What to watch: Oct 5 Q2 fiscal print — beer volume trajectory, Modelo vs Corona mix, and any tariff/inflation commentary.

On the calendar: Q2 fiscal earnings 2026-10-05

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment22 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-07

Constellation Brands delivered Q1 FY27 earnings beat with adj EPS $3.43 vs $3.21 est (+7% YoY) and revenue $2.433B vs $2.392B est. Beer segment guidance shifted from -1% to +1% now at -1%. STZ affirmed FY2027 adj EPS guidance and raised GAAP EPS guidance. Corona-maker STZ shares jumped 2-3% AH. Bulls note structural re-allocation under new leadership with strong Q1 FY27 margin beat pulling forward operational milestones from defensive to offensive posture.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $STZ

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Premium beer company importing and selling Corona and Modelo brands in the U.S., with wine and spirits in international markets.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Beverages - Alcoholic sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STZ.

Beverages - Alcoholic · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — Latin American volume and pricing remain positive despite macroeconomic volatility, positioning Ambev as the dominant beer brand across 14 countries under its..

What this means for $STZ

Partial — Premium beer company importing and selling Corona and Modelo brands in the U.S., with wine and spirits in international markets; partial earnings exposure to beverages - alcoholic demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$XLPConsumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
+9.9%YTD
+2.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
15.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
31.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
22.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 30, 2026$3.43$3.22+6.5%
Q1 2026Apr 8, 2026$1.90$1.71+11.1%
Q4 2025Jan 7, 2026$3.06$2.63+16.3%
Q3 2025Oct 6, 2025$3.63$3.38+7.4%
Next earningsMon, Oct 5·consensus EPS $3.63

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$1.9B-11.3%49.6%26.0%$1.16$343.9M
Q3 FY26$2.2B-9.8%53.2%31.1%$2.88$370.9M
Q2 FY26$2.5B-15.0%52.8%35.2%$2.65$634.8M
Q1 FY26$2.5B-5.5%50.8%31.7%$2.90$444.4M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$9.1B$9.0B – $9.2B$11.80$11.59 – $12.0316
FY28$9.3B$9.0B – $9.5B$12.41$11.81 – $13.0515
FY29$9.5B$9.5B – $9.5B$13.22$10.99 – $15.4511
FY30$9.9B$9.6B – $10.1B$14.76$14.28 – $15.105
FY31$10.0B$9.8B – $10.2B$15.10$14.60 – $15.454

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.14%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-8.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 153.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.405-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 12James O. BourdeauEVP and Senior Advisor4.4K sh$631K
+ 42 other (20 exempts · 12 awards · 10 inkinds) in window

See when $STZ insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

STZ (STZ) disclosed an executive/director departure (Item 5.02, filed 2026-07-24). ure of Directors departed from Directors or Certain Officers. Compensation and transition details are in the exhibits. Leadership changes can signal strategic shifts; investors should assess continuity and the appointee's background.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 308-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Constellation Brands issued its Q1 FY2026 (ended May 31, 2026) earnings release and Regulation FD investor materials on June 30, 2026, with results provided via press release (Exhibit 99.1). The release includes non-GAAP 'comparable' and 'organic' measures per Regulation G. Specific revenue and earnings figures are in the exhibit. This is a routine quarterly earnings disclosure for Constellation Brands, a large-cap beverage company.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 213
AI summary

Constellation Brands received an initial Form 3 from Edith Morgan Flatley, newly elected Director (effective May 20, 2026). No common shares are reported in Table I at appointment. This is a routine new-director Section 16(a) disclosure for a Constellation Brands board addition.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 218-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Constellation Brands expanded its Board from 11 to 12 directors on May 20, 2026 by electing E. Morgan Flatley, EVP and Global CMO of McDonald's, as a new board member. Flatley brings extensive consumer marketing expertise from McDonald's, PepsiCo, and other roles. A press release announcing her appointment is attached as Exhibit 99.1. This is a value-add board expansion for Constellation, adding consumer brand and marketing depth relevant to its beer, wine, and spirits business.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 48-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 88-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 23
+ 10 other (4 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Constellation Brands (STZ) Down 3.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?zacks.com·13d agoEntropy Technologies LP Has $2.35 Million Stock Holdings in Constellation Brands Inc $STZdefenseworld.net·16d agoArrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership Sells 778,526 Shares of Constellation Brands Inc $STZdefenseworld.net·16d agoConstellation Brands Shareholders Approve Directors, Pay and Incentive Plan at Annual Meetingmarketbeat.com·20d agoYour Dividend Calendar for July 27–31: 10 Stocks and the Last Day to Buy Each One247wallst.com·21d ago

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