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STSTZ

Constellation Brands, Inc.

$STZ·$20B·Beverages - Alcoholic·Consumer Defensive
$112.92-0.6%YTD-18.4%1Y-17.3%
Price updated 10h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
STSTZ
$STZConstellation Brands, Inc.
$112.92-0.62%42 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $STZ on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

42X posts · last 7 days
Sep 11Sep 27
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $STZ's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data22 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-07

Constellation Brands delivered Q1 FY27 earnings beat with adj EPS $3.43 vs $3.21 est (+7% YoY) and revenue $2.433B vs $2.392B est. Beer segment guidance shifted from -1% to +1% now at -1%. STZ affirmed FY2027 adj EPS guidance and raised GAAP EPS guidance. Corona-maker STZ shares jumped 2-3% AH. Bulls note structural re-allocation under new leadership with strong Q1 FY27 margin beat pulling forward operational milestones from defensive to offensive posture.

Read what X is saying about $STZ

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $STZ — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storyStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-09-28

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Constellation Brands is down 17% YTD as beer volumes miss — the Corona/Modelo franchise now at 0.5% of the 52-week range with a Q2 print imminent.

Constellation Brands is a large-cap beverage franchise (Corona, Modelo, Pacifico) whose Mexican-beer growth thesis has broken as consumer weakness and tariff overhang bit — a business the market has repriced meaningfully. The stock is down 17% YTD.

  • Revenue growth turned negative: Q4 (Feb) revenue fell 11% YoY to $1.92B, prior quarter -10%, with the beer segment guidance now at -1% vs the earlier +1% framing — real deceleration in the core franchise.
  • The Sept 18 $300M delayed-draw term loan plus Sept 8 4.35% Senior Notes redemption adds financial flexibility — capital-structure hygiene, not growth.
  • Valuation compression is meaningful: 15x P/E and 11x EV/EBITDA on a name that traded 25x historically, with a 3.6% dividend yield — the market is pricing structural (not cyclical) beer-demand weakness.

Q2 earnings on Oct 6 is the near-term reset — a beat plus firm beer-volume attribution restarts the story; another quarter of down-mid-single-digit beer volumes and the tape stays broken with the multiple compressed.

Differs from X sentimentX sentiment (July) was bullish on the Q1 FY27 beat, EPS $3.43 vs $3.21, +7% YoY, defensive-to-offensive posture framing — that framing has since fallen apart with Q4 -11% revenue and beer-segment guide-down. Clean disagreement: the setup didn't survive the demand deterioration.

What to watch: Q2 earnings on Oct 6 — a beat plus firm beer-volume attribution restarts the story; another quarter of down-mid-single-digit beer volumes and the tape stays broken with the multiple compressed.

On the calendar: 2026-10-06 — Q2 earnings

beer volume negative300m term loancompressed multiple

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  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Premium beer company importing and selling Corona and Modelo brands in the U.S., with wine and spirits in international markets.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Beverages - Alcoholic sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STZ.

Beverages - Alcoholic · Consumer Defensive

Spirits premiumization tailwind is reversing — post-pandemic spirits boom has normalized with consumers trading down from premium to mid-tier whiskey and tequila as discretionary budgets tighten. Beer industry faces secular volume decline from GLP-1 appetite suppression and Gen Z sobriety trends; craft and imported beer premiums are compressing.

What this means for $STZ

Partial — Premium beer company importing and selling Corona and Modelo brands in the U.S., with wine and spirits in international markets.

Top industry ETF

$XLPConsumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
+6.1%YTD
+5.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
15.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
31.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
22.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 30, 2026$3.43$3.22+6.5%
Q1 2026Apr 8, 2026$1.90$1.71+11.1%
Q4 2025Jan 7, 2026$3.06$2.63+16.3%
Q3 2025Oct 6, 2025$3.63$3.38+7.4%
Next earningsTue, Oct 6·consensus EPS $3.55

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$1.9B-11.3%49.6%26.0%$1.16$343.9M
Q3 FY26$2.2B-9.8%53.2%31.1%$2.88$370.9M
Q2 FY26$2.5B-15.0%52.8%35.2%$2.65$634.8M
Q1 FY26$2.5B-5.5%50.8%31.7%$2.90$444.4M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$9.1B$9.0B – $9.2B$11.73$11.59 – $11.9417
FY28$9.3B$9.0B – $9.4B$12.28$11.74 – $12.8916
FY29$9.4B$8.7B – $9.8B$13.05$12.07 – $14.1415
FY30$9.9B$9.5B – $10.1B$14.73$13.99 – $15.147
FY31$10.0B$9.6B – $10.2B$15.05$14.30 – $15.476

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.2%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-21.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 153.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.405-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 12James O. BourdeauEVP and Senior Advisor4.4K sh$631K
+ 42 other (20 exempts · 12 awards · 10 inkinds) in window

See when $STZ insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementSep 188-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Constellation Brands (STZ) entered a delayed-draw Term Loan Credit Agreement on September 18, 2026 with Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company as administrative agent and certain lenders for up to $300M. Loans would bear interest at Term SOFR plus 70–110 bps (depending on credit rating) with a two-year maturity from first draw; commitments expire June 18, 2027. Proceeds are earmarked for general corporate purposes including debt repayment. Adds financial flexibility for a large-cap beverages company at modest leverage cost, contingent on actual draw decision.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 88-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Constellation Brands filed an 8-K on September 8, 2026, furnishing materials under Reg FD (Item 7.01) related to the full redemption of its 4.350% Senior Notes due 2027. The redemption is to be funded through commercial paper borrowings and available cash. The redemption notice is attached as an exhibit; the information is furnished rather than filed for Exchange Act purposes.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

STZ (STZ) disclosed an executive/director departure (Item 5.02, filed 2026-07-24). ure of Directors departed from Directors or Certain Officers. Compensation and transition details are in the exhibits. Leadership changes can signal strategic shifts; investors should assess continuity and the appointee's background.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 308-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Constellation Brands issued its Q1 FY2026 (ended May 31, 2026) earnings release and Regulation FD investor materials on June 30, 2026, with results provided via press release (Exhibit 99.1). The release includes non-GAAP 'comparable' and 'organic' measures per Regulation G. Specific revenue and earnings figures are in the exhibit. This is a routine quarterly earnings disclosure for Constellation Brands, a large-cap beverage company.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 213
AI summary

Constellation Brands received an initial Form 3 from Edith Morgan Flatley, newly elected Director (effective May 20, 2026). No common shares are reported in Table I at appointment. This is a routine new-director Section 16(a) disclosure for a Constellation Brands board addition.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 218-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Constellation Brands expanded its Board from 11 to 12 directors on May 20, 2026 by electing E. Morgan Flatley, EVP and Global CMO of McDonald's, as a new board member. Flatley brings extensive consumer marketing expertise from McDonald's, PepsiCo, and other roles. A press release announcing her appointment is attached as Exhibit 99.1. This is a value-add board expansion for Constellation, adding consumer brand and marketing depth relevant to its beer, wine, and spirits business.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 48-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 10 other (3 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

STZ Stock's Selloff Just Pushed the Yield to 3.6%. But Should Dividend Investors Be Worried?247wallst.com·2d agoWhat's Going On With Constellation Brands Stock Friday?benzinga.com·4d agoConstellation Brands Likely To Report Lower Q2 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Callbenzinga.com·5d agoCorient Private Wealth LP Sells 9,081 Shares of Constellation Brands Inc $STZdefenseworld.net·5d agoNykredit A S Acquires New Shares in Constellation Brands Inc $STZdefenseworld.net·10d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $STZ on X in the last 7 days.

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