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ABABEV

Ambev S.A.

$ABEV·$46B·Beverages - Alcoholic·Consumer Defensive
$2.86-0.7%YTD+14.1%1Y+30.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 15 posts2026-08-21: 10 posts2026-08-22: 4 posts2026-08-23: 2 posts2026-08-24: 5 posts48+9%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 6d ago
ABABEV
$ABEVAmbev S.A.
$2.86-0.69%48 posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ABEV, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-25

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Latin America's biggest brewer up 33% in twelve months on operational execution — four consecutive quarters of exactly-in-line EPS, defensive beta 0.27.

Ambev is the AB InBev-controlled Brazilian brewer — leader in beer (Brahma, Antarctica, Skol, Bud, Corona), soft drinks (bottling PepsiCo), and non-alcoholic beverages across Brazil, Argentina, Central America, Canada, and the Andes. The stock is up 33% over trailing year and 14% year-to-date on a defensive-consumer-staples rerating.

  • Q1 2026 revenue was R$22.5B — essentially flat year-over-year — with 52% gross margin and 26% operating margin; the operating cadence is stable
  • The last four earnings surprises: 0%, 0%, 0%, 0% — the company hits exactly to consensus, which for a defensive staples name is actually a positive (management guides carefully and delivers reliably)
  • Return on invested capital is 17.5% and return on equity 17.2% — high-quality operator with meaningful pricing power in Brazilian beer
  • Free cash flow yield is 8.8% at the current $46B market cap — very strong for a beverage business
  • Debt-to-equity is 0.03 — essentially unlevered; the balance sheet is unusually clean
  • Analyst 2026 EPS estimate is $1.05 growing to $1.11 in 2027, $1.18 in 2028 — the stock at $2.92 is 2.8x forward EPS — that's extraordinarily cheap unless the EPS math is corrupted (worth checking, but the analyst set is 4-6 analysts so the estimate seems stable)
  • Beta of 0.27 is very defensive — this is the most muted staples name in the batch
  • Insider signal is negative in size: Director Ricardo Moreira sold 468,040 shares at $3.08 for $1.44M on July 30 — a real institutional-scale sale
  • Zacks moved to Buy on June 25 — recent sentiment shift positive

At 2.8x forward with 8.8% FCF yield, either the model is wrong or the equity is dramatically mispriced.

What to watch: The Q3 print on October 29 needs to show Brazilian beer volume recovery — Argentina consumer weakness has been a drag, and any positive volume-growth commentary lifts the multi-year setup.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ABEV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazil's dominant beer and soft drink bottler and distributor of Anheuser-Busch brands across Latin America.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Beverages - Alcoholic sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ABEV.

Beverages - Alcoholic · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — Latin American volume and pricing remain positive despite macroeconomic volatility, positioning Ambev as the dominant beer brand across 14 countries under its..

What this means for $ABEV

Direct beneficiary — Brazil's dominant beer and soft drink bottler and distributor of Anheuser-Busch brands across Latin America; core revenue tied directly to the primary demand driver in beverages - alcoholic.

Top industry ETF

$XLPConsumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
+9.9%YTD
+6.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
16.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
17.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
25.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
17.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$0.04$0.040.0%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.05$0.050.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.05$0.050.0%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$0.04$0.040.0%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $0.05

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$22.5B-0.1%51.6%26.1%$0.24$2.7B
Q4 FY25$24.8B-8.2%52.6%29.8%$0.28$11.6B
Q3 FY25$20.8B-5.7%51.5%30.2%$0.30$5.9B
Q2 FY25$20.1B+0.2%50.0%21.9%$0.17$2.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$93.4B$90.6B – $96.1B$1.05$1.00 – $1.156
FY27$97.4B$94.3B – $100.5B$1.11$1.01 – $1.169
FY28$103.8B$100.5B – $106.5B$1.18$1.13 – $1.223
FY29$108.2B$104.7B – $111.0B$1.44$1.38 – $1.494
FY30$114.7B$111.0B – $117.7B$1.60$1.53 – $1.654

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.56%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-1.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 15.5B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.275-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 30Moreira Ricardo Manuel Frangatos PiresDirector468.0K sh$1.4MSellMay 5Zagman Paulo AndreSee Remarks136.3K sh$465KSellMar 27Cavalcanti De Lacerda Eduardo BragaSee Remarks152.4K sh$434KSellMar 24Malik Parente GuilhermeSee Remarks21.0K sh$58K
+ 7 other (7 awards) in window

See when $ABEV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 173
AI summary

Joao Coelho Derbli de Carvalho, a Sao Paulo-based officer of Ambev S.A. (NYSE: ABEV), filed a Form 3 initial ownership statement as of May 4, 2026, reporting direct beneficial ownership of 101,461 common shares. The filing establishes his Section 16 reporting obligation upon becoming an officer. Routine administrative insider filing with no market-moving significance; the share count is a small fraction of Ambev's multi-billion share float.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 68 other (45 6-Ks · 19 3s · 3 6-K/As · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ambev S.A. $ABEV Shares Sold by Bank of America Corp DEdefenseworld.net·18d agoAmbev S.A. (ABEV) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·31d agoAmbev Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·31d agoCCU vs. ABEV: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?zacks.com·40d agoAmbev (ABEV) Moves to Buy: Rationale Behind the Upgradezacks.com·66d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ABEV on X in the last 7 days.

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