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ABABEV

Ambev S.A.

$ABEV·$48B·Beverages - Alcoholic·Consumer Defensive
$3.06-0.3%YTD+22.9%1Y+30.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-07: 27 posts2026-07-08: 25 posts2026-07-09: 39 posts2026-07-10: 63 posts2026-07-11: 32 posts2026-07-12: 28 posts2026-07-13: 120 posts335+18%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7h ago
ABABEV
$ABEVAmbev S.A.
$3.06-0.33%335 posts+18%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ABEV, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-12

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Brazilian beer + beverage franchise up 31% T12M + 16x P/E + Zacks Buy upgrade; July 30 defends dividend value.

Ambev is the dominant Brazilian brewer + beverage franchise (beer + soft drinks + non-alcoholic) with operations across the Americas. The stock is up 23% YTD and 31% T12M into July 30 Q2 earnings at 72nd-percentile 52w positioning.

  • Fundamentals are stable: Q1 revenue -0.1% YoY to $22.5B (BRL) at 26.1% op margin, Q4 -8.2% at 29.8%. For a scaled Brazilian beverage franchise, low-single-digit revenue decline with 26%+ op margins reflects durable cash-generative execution.
  • EPS surprise pattern is remarkably disciplined: 0% Q1 + 0% Q4 + 0% Q3 + 0% Q2 — consistently in-line with expectations, so July 30 has a genuine path to maintaining the guide-set framework.
  • Strategic recognition is real: Zacks Buy upgrade (June 25) + Ambev outpacing Consumer Staples peers + Seeking Alpha 'high-quality beverage leader' cross-tag positioning.
  • Valuation is compelling: 16x trailing / ~14x forward EPS on FY26 consensus of $1.06 rising to $1.12 FY27 with 8.8% FCF yield. Deep-value setup for a Brazilian beverage franchise with strong dividend + growing FCF trajectory.

July 30 Q2 + FY26 guide is the check. Revenue tracking to $94B (BRL) FY26 + operating margin above 26% + reaffirmed FY26 EPS $1.06 + concrete Brazilian beer + soft-drink volume commentary + specific dividend-sustainability framework pushes through $3.50. A softer Brazilian consumer-demand print, cautious pricing commentary, or fresh Brazilian currency-cycle disclosure takes back toward $2.60 support.

What to watch: July 30 Q2 + FY26 guide. Revenue tracking to $94B (BRL) + op margin above 26% + reaffirmed FY26 EPS $1.06 + Brazilian beer + soft-drink volume commentary + dividend-sustainability framework pushes through $3.50. A softer Brazilian consumer-demand print, cautious pricing commentary, or fresh Brazilian currency-cycle disclosure takes back toward $2.60 support.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 earnings

no sentiment data

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ABEV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazil's dominant beer and soft drink bottler and distributor of Anheuser-Busch brands across Latin America.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Beverages - Alcoholic sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ABEV.

Beverages - Alcoholic · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — Latin American volume and pricing remain positive despite macroeconomic volatility, positioning Ambev as the dominant beer brand across 14 countries under its..

What this means for $ABEV

Direct beneficiary — Brazil's dominant beer and soft drink bottler and distributor of Anheuser-Busch brands across Latin America; primary revenue lines track directly to the Latin American volume and pricing resilience amid macro volatility.

Top industry ETF

$XLPConsumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
+8.9%YTD
+4.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
16.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
17.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
25.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
17.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.05$0.050.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.05$0.050.0%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$0.04$0.040.0%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$0.03$0.030.0%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $0.04

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$22.5B-0.1%51.6%26.1%$0.24$2.7B
Q4 FY25$24.8B-8.2%52.6%29.8%$0.28$11.6B
Q3 FY25$20.8B-5.7%51.5%30.2%$0.30$5.9B
Q2 FY25$20.1B+0.2%50.0%21.9%$0.17$2.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$94.0B$91.2B – $96.8B$1.06$1.00 – $1.169
FY27$98.3B$95.1B – $101.4B$1.12$1.02 – $1.188
FY28$104.0B$100.0B – $107.1B$1.17$1.12 – $1.226
FY29$112.8B$108.4B – $116.2B$1.54$1.46 – $1.607
FY30$119.5B$115.0B – $123.2B$1.71$1.62 – $1.777

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.71%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+10.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 15.6B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.275-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 5Zagman Paulo AndreSee Remarks136.3K sh$465KSellMar 27Cavalcanti De Lacerda Eduardo BragaSee Remarks152.4K sh$434KSellMar 24Malik Parente GuilhermeSee Remarks21.0K sh$58K
+ 7 other (7 awards) in window

See when $ABEV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 173
AI summary

Joao Coelho Derbli de Carvalho, a Sao Paulo-based officer of Ambev S.A. (NYSE: ABEV), filed a Form 3 initial ownership statement as of May 4, 2026, reporting direct beneficial ownership of 101,461 common shares. The filing establishes his Section 16 reporting obligation upon becoming an officer. Routine administrative insider filing with no market-moving significance; the share count is a small fraction of Ambev's multi-billion share float.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 13/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for ABEV on 2026-04-01, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 66 other (42 6-Ks · 19 3s · 4 6-K/As · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ambev (ABEV) Moves to Buy: Rationale Behind the Upgradezacks.com·19d agoAre Consumer Staples Stocks Lagging Ambev (ABEV) This Year?zacks.com·19d agoHow 770 Shares of This Beer Giant Yield About $100 a Yearfool.com·20d agoAmbev: Don't Ignore This High-Quality Beverage Leaderseekingalpha.com·23d agoIs Ambev (ABEV) Stock Outpacing Its Consumer Staples Peers This Year?zacks.com·35d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ABEV on X in the last 7 days.

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