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ABABEV

Ambev S.A.

$ABEV·$49B·Beverages - Alcoholic·Consumer Defensive
$3.26+0.3%YTD+30.9%1Y+50.2%
Price updated 13h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
ABABEV
$ABEVAmbev S.A.
$3.26+0.31%109 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $ABEV on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

109X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ABEV's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 71% of tracked names.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ABEV — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Ambev up 16% YTD — 25% operating margin, Brazilian election-cycle uncertainty is the overhang.

Ambev S.A. is the dominant beer and beverage distributor in Brazil, Latin America, and parts of Africa — AB InBev's Latin American subsidiary. The stock is up 16% YTD and 59% of its 52-week range on 0.71x normal volume.

  • The P&L is firm: revenue was essentially flat YoY at $22.5B BRL ($4.1B USD) last quarter at a 25.3% operating margin and 50% gross margin — modest growth with high margins is the dominant-franchise profile.
  • At 16.2x trailing earnings and 2.9x sales for a 25%-operating-margin consumer-staples name with Latin America exposure, Ambev is reasonably priced; the Brazilian election-cycle uncertainty is the specific overhang.
  • The Bank of America position sale (unspecified size) and Archford's 353K-share sale are modest institutional trims; no insider selling to counter.

Stalled holds until Oct 29 earnings confirm Brazil beer volume growth and Latin America operating margin trajectory. A soft Brazilian volume print, or any specific commentary on Latin American currency softness, is what tips this toward breaking-down; a Brazilian post-election clarity plus a FY27 revenue guide-up is what breaks the stalled tape higher.

What to watch: Oct 29 earnings — Brazilian beer volume growth, Latin American currency impact, operating margin trajectory, FY27 revenue guide. A soft Brazilian volume print or currency softness is what breaks the stalled tape lower.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $ABEV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazil's dominant beer and soft drink bottler and distributor of Anheuser-Busch brands across Latin America.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Beverages - Alcoholic sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ABEV.

Beverages - Alcoholic · Consumer Defensive

Spirits premiumization tailwind is reversing — post-pandemic spirits boom has normalized with consumers trading down from premium to mid-tier whiskey and tequila as discretionary budgets tighten. Beer industry faces secular volume decline from GLP-1 appetite suppression and Gen Z sobriety trends; craft and imported beer premiums are compressing.

What this means for $ABEV

Neutral — Brazil's dominant beer and soft drink bottler and distributor of Anheuser-Busch brands across Latin America.

Top industry ETF

$XLPConsumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
+6.1%YTD
+9.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
16.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
17.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
25.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
17.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$0.04$0.040.0%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.05$0.050.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.05$0.050.0%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$0.04$0.040.0%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $0.05

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$22.5B-0.1%51.6%26.1%$0.24$2.7B
Q4 FY25$24.8B-8.2%52.6%29.8%$0.28$11.6B
Q3 FY25$20.8B-5.7%51.5%30.2%$0.30$5.9B
Q2 FY25$20.1B+0.2%50.0%21.9%$0.17$2.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$91.1B$86.7B – $95.6B$1.05$1.00 – $1.109
FY27$95.5B$91.0B – $100.1B$1.11$1.06 – $1.228
FY28$101.4B$97.4B – $106.1B$1.20$1.14 – $1.285
FY29$107.8B$103.5B – $112.8B$1.33$1.26 – $1.416
FY30$114.2B$109.7B – $119.5B$1.59$1.51 – $1.696

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.85%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+9.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+8.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 15.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.275-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 3Crippa Prado Carla Smith De VasconcellosSee Remarks60.8K sh$188KSellJul 30Moreira Ricardo Manuel Frangatos PiresDirector468.0K sh$1.4MSellMay 5Zagman Paulo AndreSee Remarks136.3K sh$465K

See when $ABEV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 113
AI summary

Form 3 initial beneficial ownership filing for Fernando Maffessoni, a new officer at Ambev S.A. (ABEV). Maffessoni directly owns 874 common shares of ABEV and also holds derivative securities representing additional interests. This establishes his Section 16 reporting baseline as a new named executive.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 173
AI summary

Joao Coelho Derbli de Carvalho, a Sao Paulo-based officer of Ambev S.A. (NYSE: ABEV), filed a Form 3 initial ownership statement as of May 4, 2026, reporting direct beneficial ownership of 101,461 common shares. The filing establishes his Section 16 reporting obligation upon becoming an officer. Routine administrative insider filing with no market-moving significance; the share count is a small fraction of Ambev's multi-billion share float.

+ 36 other (35 6-Ks · 1 6-K/A) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is Ambev (ABEV) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think "Yes"zacks.com·7d agoAre Consumer Staples Stocks Lagging Ambev (ABEV) This Year?zacks.com·7d agoBank of America Reaffirms Underperform Rating for Ambev (NYSE:ABEV)defenseworld.net·9d agoInvestors Buy Large Volume of Ambev Call Options (NYSE:ABEV)defenseworld.net·11d agoAmbev S.A. $ABEV Stock Sold by Corient Private Wealth LPdefenseworld.net·11d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ABEV on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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