TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$STX
STSTX

Seagate Technology Holdings plc

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 44% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (1.2K/wk), no spike
$STX·$192B·Computer Hardware·Technology
$828.38-0.2%YTD+199.8%1Y+385.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 244 posts2026-08-23: 210 posts1,206+17%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
STSTX
$STXSeagate Technology Holdings plc
$828.38-0.17%1.2k posts+17%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $STX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-09-01

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The hard-drive stock that quietly became the AI-storage trade — and insiders just took a lot of chips off.

Seagate makes the enterprise hard drives that hyperscalers buy by the exabyte for AI training and data-center archive. What was a boring cyclical name is now the boring AI trade — and the tape just went vertical on it.

  • Revenue growth accelerated from 21% YoY to 44% by the March quarter with operating margin at 32%, and analyst FY27 EPS estimates sit near $28.5 (up from $14.9 the year before) — mass-capacity nearline demand is genuinely re-rating the P&L.
  • The multiple caught up fast: at ~29x FY27 EPS on a business that just tripled, the setup rewards execution and punishes any timing lump — this is not a value stock any more.
  • Insider selling has been aggressive in August: CFO Romano sold $13.7M in one print, plus Teh Ban Seng ($17M across three fills) and Lee ($7M) — that's the largest insider distribution cluster the name has run all cycle.
  • Volume is running 66% of normal as the stock consolidates below its 52-week high — momentum has stalled while insiders locked in prints in the $790-$920 zone.

The path forward is decided by whether the Oct 28 print delivers a guide raise supporting the FY27 EPS ramp, or whether nearline commit visibility softens into calendar 2027. A break of $750 with volume plus a soft guide would confirm the insider-selling read as a top; a raise plus continued nearline bookings restarts the trade.

What to watch: The Oct 28 Q1 FY27 print — nearline exabyte bookings and any color on calendar 2027 hyperscaler commits. A guide raise above analyst FY27 EPS of $28.5 restarts the trade; a soft guide plus continued insider selling confirms a top formed near $920.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q1 FY27 earnings

ticker collision crypto

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment99 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Two different STXs share the tape and both lean upbeat. Crypto posters celebrate Stacks running 87-95% on the week as BTC rallied and hype Bitcoin Staking's Genesis Bond going live Sept 10, calling STX "the beta play to BTC." On the equity side, Seagate sits inside a memory-stock selloff (down 6-8% intraday with SNDK, MU and WDC) but posters still tout it as a Nasdaq-100 YTD leader with nearline exabytes booked into 2028.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $STX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes hard disk drives for cloud storage and surveillance, with high-capacity nearline HDDs in demand for AI data.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Computer Hardware sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STX.

Computer Hardware · Technology

AI server infrastructure buildout drives compute shipment volumes; Dell and HPE are riding the same hyperscaler capex wave that lifted NVDA. Non-AI commercial refresh remains soft, so the bull case is concentrated in AI infrastructure exposure.

What this means for $STX

Direct beneficiary — AI-native product or platform captures spend from the same capex cycle driving the industry; Makes hard disk drives for cloud storage and surveillance, with high-capacity nearline HDDs in demand for AI data.

Top industry ETF

$SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
+75.7%YTD
+110.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
78.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
45.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
28.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
17.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
9.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
41.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 28, 2026$5.71$5.10+12.0%
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$4.10$3.51+16.8%
Q4 2025Jan 27, 2026$3.11$2.78+11.9%
Q3 2025Oct 28, 2025$2.61$2.40+8.8%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $7.34

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$3.1B+44.1%46.5%32.1%$3.38$953.0M
Q2 FY26$2.8B+21.5%41.6%29.9%$2.75$828.0M
Q1 FY26$2.6B+21.3%39.4%26.9%$2.58$427.0M
Q4 FY25$2.4B+29.5%37.4%23.2%$2.30$425.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 18 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$12.1B$12.0B – $12.1B$14.91$14.80 – $15.1017
FY27$17.0B$15.3B – $19.0B$28.54$23.29 – $36.0017
FY28$22.3B$22.0B – $22.7B$45.57$33.51 – $64.1518
FY29$27.1B$26.8B – $27.4B$60.50$52.27 – $72.364
FY30$30.8B$27.6B – $35.5B$90.81$78.46 – $108.613

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.68%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+42.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 223.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 24James Ci LeeEVP & CLO9.0K sh$7.2MSellAug 21Teh Ban SengEVP & Chief Commercial Officer6.5K sh$5.5MSellAug 20Teh Ban SengEVP & Chief Commercial Officer6.0K sh$5.1MSellAug 13Teh Ban SengEVP & Chief Commercial Officer7.4K sh$6.8MSellAug 7Gianluca RomanoCFO16.9K sh$13.7MSellAug 3Morris John ChristopherCTO168 sh$137KSellAug 3William D MosleyCEO30.0K sh$24.5MSellJul 30James Ci LeeEVP & CLO694 sh$609KSellJul 23James Ci LeeEVP & CLO542 sh$491KSellJul 1William D MosleyCEO30.0K sh$27.4M
1–10 of 27
+ 19 other (19 exempts) in window

See when $STX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 288-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

STX (STX) reported financial results for fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year ended July 3, 2026 via 8-K Item 2.02, filed 2026-07-28. Full financials are in the attached press release (Exhibit 99.1). Quarterly earnings contain headline P&L, balance sheet, and guidance. Investors should review the exhibit for revenue, margins, EPS, and any updates to full-year outlook.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Seagate Technology (via subsidiary Seagate HDD Cayman) called all outstanding 3.50% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2028 for full cash redemption on September 8, 2026 at par plus accrued interest. Holders may elect to exchange their notes for shares of Seagate common stock at any time prior to 5:00 p.m. ET on September 3, 2026; notes not exchanged will be redeemed in full for cash on September 8. This transaction retires a contingent equity dilution overhang while giving debt holders a final window to convert into equity if the exchange ratio is attractive.

8-KUnregistered equity saleMay 288-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Seagate Technology issued 2,023,124 ordinary shares in private placement exchange transactions (Section 4(a)(2) exemption from Securities Act registration) and disclosed an investor presentation under Regulation FD. The shares were issued in exchanges with existing holders — the exact instruments being exchanged and the counterparties are described in the full filing. These privately-placed shares could relate to convertible note exchanges or similar structured transactions; the private-placement label indicates limited dilution breadth, but investor presentations alongside equity issuances typically signal strategic communication to investors.

8-KUnregistered equity saleMay 218-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing unregistered equity sales (Item 3.02), a Regulation FD disclosure (Item 7.01), and an other-event announcement (Item 8.01). Seagate is a Singapore-based Irish-incorporated data storage company listed on Nasdaq. The concurrent Items 3.02 and 7.01 suggest a private placement or convertible note transaction alongside an investor presentation; any dilutive equity event at a major storage hardware company is material.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 68-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

STX disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-06). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 288-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

STX reported third quarter ended April 3, 2026. The press release financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

+ 9 other (6 13Gs · 1 10-K · 1 SD · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

4 High-Flying Memory & Storage Giants to Gain More Amid NVDA's Solid Q2zacks.com·4d agoChange Agents Accepted into Seagate Partner Program, Expanding Access to AI Infrastructure Ecosystemglobenewswire.com·4d agoSeagate to Participate in Upcoming Investor Eventsbusinesswire.com·5d agoSeagate (STX) Up 10.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?zacks.com·5d ago3 Growth Stocks to Buy as Treasury Yields Fall: MU, STX & VLOzacks.com·6d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Best PerformersAI InfrastructureAI Memory Supercycle

More in Computer Hardware

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$SNDK$ANET$IONQ$QNT$SMCI$DELL$WDC$RGTI
Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport