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SNSNDK

Sandisk Corporation

$SNDK·$180B·Computer Hardware·Technology
$1258.58-6.8%YTD+484.3%1Y+3120.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-29: 2,305 posts2026-07-30: 2,151 posts2026-07-31: 1,771 posts2026-08-01: 690 posts2026-08-02: 603 posts2026-08-03: 1,252 posts2026-08-04: 1,575 posts10,505-12%
Price updated 23m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
SNSNDK
$SNDKSandisk Corporation
$1,258.58-6.81%11k posts-12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SNDK, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-08-05

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

SanDisk rode the memory supercycle to a roughly 33-bagger in a year — tomorrow's print either justifies that run or starts the give-back.

SanDisk is one of the two big NAND flash memory makers spun out of Western Digital, back as its own public company just in time for the AI-driven memory shortage. The stock has done something you almost never see: up about 33x in twelve months.

  • The mechanics behind the run are real, not a meme: Q3 revenue nearly doubled sequentially to $5.95B and EPS came in at $24.43 against a $14.62 estimate — a 60% beat, meaning the pricing power in NAND is not a spread they had to fight for but one the market is handing them because supply can't keep up.
  • The margin structure has completely transformed: gross margin jumped to 78% from the 26% posted just two quarters earlier as spot NAND pricing exploded, which is the tell of a genuine shortage where every incremental wafer is dropping through to the bottom line rather than getting competed away.
  • Valuation cuts both ways depending on which lens: 51x trailing earnings looks rich after an 82x price move, but forward EPS estimates of $67 and $207 for the next two fiscal years put it at roughly 21x this year's number and 7x next — the crowd's 'forward P/E of 5' is real, but only if the cycle holds another two years.

Tomorrow's Q4 print, with a $34.80 EPS estimate, is exactly the setup where a beat drives another leg but any hint that NAND pricing has stopped compounding sequentially triggers the mean-reversion trade — a stock up 82x doesn't have to fall for a bad reason, it can fall for a merely-good one. The Kioxia 2028 long-term-agreement backlog is the medium-term anchor if the cycle chops.

Agrees with X sentimentX is genuinely split and honest about being split — bulls point at DRAM ASPs +30% QoQ and hyperscaler memory commentary; bears point at forward P/Es of 5 being cheap only if you trust the cycle. Both sides are working from real data; the tape gets to decide tomorrow.

What to watch: August 5 Q4 earnings. A beat with a raised FY27 guide keeps the memory-supercycle bid; an in-line print or a hint of ASP softening after four straight blowouts triggers the technicians' $700 downside scenario.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q4 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment188 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-05

Sentiment is genuinely split with high emotion, driven by post-earnings whiplash and a 55% drawdown from the June ATH. Bulls hail memory as the AI bottleneck, cite the +340% YoY revenue print and describe patient buys near the 0.618 fib as generational, while bears warn the 45% run into earnings priced perfection and technicals stay in a downtrend below $1410. Traders openly celebrate both long scalps and short entries at $1,475.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SNDK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes NAND flash storage devices including consumer SSDs, USB drives, and memory cards under the SanDisk brand.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Computer Hardware sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SNDK.

Computer Hardware · Technology

No material change from last week — STX and WDC (SanDisk spinoff) benefit from LLM training requiring petabyte-scale nearline storage infrastructure.

What this means for $SNDK

Partial — Makes NAND flash storage devices including consumer SSDs, USB drives, and memory cards under the SanDisk brand; partial earnings exposure to computer hardware demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
+75.7%YTD
+122.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
51.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
31.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
40.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
17.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
42.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
56.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$39.25$34.96+12.3%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$23.41$14.62+60.1%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$6.20$3.62+71.3%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$1.22$0.88+38.2%

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$6.0B+251.0%78.4%69.1%$24.43$3.0B
Q2 FY26$3.0B+61.2%50.9%35.5%$5.46$980.0M
Q1 FY26$2.3B+22.6%29.8%8.3%$0.76$438.0M
Q4 FY25$1.9B+8.0%26.2%0.9%$-0.16$49.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$20.0B$19.7B – $20.6B$66.66$63.52 – $72.8215
FY27$48.8B$40.6B – $58.9B$206.73$176.22 – $249.8815
FY28$56.5B$38.5B – $109.1B$244.86$148.38 – $453.7312
FY29$52.1B$40.8B – $63.4B$224.91$135.97 – $313.852
FY30$11.6B$8.8B – $18.0B$13.54$9.32 – $23.401

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.57%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-20.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+56.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 146.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today9.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β5.195-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 3Bernard ShekChief Legal Officer & Secty600 sh$697KSellJul 1Bernard ShekChief Legal Officer & Secty600 sh$1.3MSellJun 3Bernard ShekChief Legal Officer & Secty600 sh$1.0MSellJun 1Alper IlkbaharCTO2.0K sh$3.5MSellMay 12Michael PokornyVP, Chief Accounting Officer2.4K sh$3.5MSellMay 8Necip SayinerDirector579 sh$870KSellFeb 25Miyuki SuzukiDirector3.5K sh$2.2M
+ 28 other (25 inkinds · 3 gifts) in window

See when $SNDK insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementMar 258-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

SNDK entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-03-25). Counterparty: Taiwan Securities and Exchange Act (“SEA”) and. Size: approximately $1.0 billion. Rate: 3.9%. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationFeb 17S-3ASR
+ 10 other (5 13Gs · 2 8-Ks · 1 SD · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·1d agoSandisk Q4: Structural And Durable? I'm Not Fully Convincedseekingalpha.com·1d agoSandisk Corporation (SNDK) Beats Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimateszacks.com·1d agoSandisk: This Insane Growth May Not Be Good Enoughseekingalpha.com·1d agoSandisk: Apparently, It Could Have Been Betterseekingalpha.com·1d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Best PerformersAI InfrastructureAI Memory Supercycle

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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