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SGSGGEF

The Sage Group plc

$SGGEF·$10B·Software - Application·Technology
$11.230.0%YTD-23.1%1Y-35.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
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Price updated 11h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
SGSGGEF
$SGGEFThe Sage Group plc
$11.230.00%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SGGEF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-15

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Sage compounds at ~18% revenue with 89% gross margin — SaaS quality, but the multiple keeps compressing (-35% over 12 months).

The Sage Group plc is a UK-based SMB accounting / ERP software franchise (Sage Intacct is the modern flagship) — the operating quality is real and the market keeps compressing the multiple anyway.

  • Revenue growth: Q2 fiscal 2026 (Mar) $1.37B (+18.6% YoY), Q4 fiscal 2025 (Sep) $1.27B (+15.9%), Q2 fiscal 2025 $1.24B (+14.3%), Q4 fiscal 2024 $1.18B (+16.4%) — steady mid- to high-teens growth throughout the trailing year.
  • Margin structure is class-leading: Gross margin ~89% across the trailing year, operating margin 21.4-23% — pure-SaaS economics.
  • Fundamentals: PE 21.4x, PS 3.0x, EV/EBITDA 13.6x, ROE 82% (leverage-inflated), ROIC 19.4%, D/E 9.19 — the reported D/E is elevated but reflects share buybacks and IFRS lease accounting more than distress.
  • Beat/miss cadence: -2%, N/A, -11%, -10% across last four quarters — modest misses vs Street, consistent with a business that's growing well but not surprising analysts positively.
  • Setup: $11.23 (SGGEF OTC ADR of the LSE listing), -23% YTD, -35% over 12 months, sitting at only 9.8% of 52-week range and below both moving averages — the tape reflects both UK-market discount and the modest-miss pattern.
  • Volume-multiplier 0.15x on the OTC — the primary LSE listing (SGE.L) carries the real trading.
  • Analyst estimates: Fiscal 2026 EPS $0.50 rising to $0.57 (2027), $0.65 (2028), $0.73 (2029) — a well-modeled compounding trajectory.

The underlying operating story remains intact; the equity is a value re-rating candidate rather than a momentum story until either the growth reaccelerates or the multi-quarter Street-miss pattern breaks.

What to watch: Next Sage Group interim / annual results (typically November for full-year fiscal 2026); Sage Intacct ARR trajectory; North America (US mid-market) growth and Copilot / AI-embedded product adoption; UK equity-market broader flows as GBP/USD influences the OTC ADR; British-market small-cap discount narrowing.

On the calendar: Not scheduled — no earnings date on file

no sentimentotc adr listinguk listingthin us liquidityhigh reported de from buybacks

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sells cloud accounting, payroll, and HR software to small and mid-size businesses in UK, North America, and Africa.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SGGEF.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — platforms where agents expand contract value (ServiceNow, Snowflake) are re-rated upward, while tools where agents substitute human users (Adobe Creative..

What this means for $SGGEF

Partial — Sells cloud accounting, payroll, and HR software to small and mid-size businesses in UK, North America, and Africa; this segment overlaps with the AI agent bifurcation — contract expansion vs. user substitution but is not the dominant revenue driver.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.1%YTD
-14.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
21.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
19.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
22.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
81.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
89.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
9.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 21, 2026$0.31$0.32-2.3%
Q1 2026May 21, 2026$0.26——
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$0.26$0.29-11.1%
Q2 2024Sep 30, 2024$0.22$0.24-10.0%

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$1.4B+18.6%89.1%22.3%$0.20$240.6M
Q4 FY25$1.3B+15.9%89.3%23.0%$0.20$267.0M
Q2 FY25$1.2B+14.3%89.0%21.6%$0.09$112.5M
Q4 FY24$1.2B+16.4%88.8%21.4%$0.17$274.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.7B$2.7B – $2.8B$0.50$0.49 – $0.5017
FY27$3.0B$2.9B – $3.0B$0.57$0.56 – $0.5817
FY28$3.3B$3.2B – $3.3B$0.65$0.64 – $0.6614
FY29$3.6B$3.6B – $3.7B$0.74$0.72 – $0.758

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.10%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-12.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 874.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.305-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

The Sage Group plc (SGPYY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·55d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Trending on X

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Voices on X · last 7 days

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