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SCSCLX

Scilex Holding Company

$SCLX·$59M·Drug Manufacturers - General·Healthcare
$5.43-2.5%YTD-46.9%1Y-70.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-19: 0 posts2026-08-20: 0 posts2026-08-21: 1 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts20%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
SCSCLX
$SCLXScilex Holding Company
$5.43-2.51%2 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SCLX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storyWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-20

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Scilex Holding pain-management pharma with a proposed $100M Semnur strategic investment — but Q2 EPS was catastrophic.

Scilex Holding is a pain-management pharmaceutical company (best known for ZTlido, ELYXYB, and Gloperba) — historically Sorrento Therapeutics-adjacent. The stock is down 47% year-to-date on catastrophic EPS misses combining with a strategic-investment narrative around the Semnur Pharmaceuticals majority-owned subsidiary.

  • The Q2 EPS collapse was catastrophic: EPS of negative $16.65 versus $-0.18 consensus (a 9,083% miss) — the specific one-time items driving this were dramatic, and the trailing operating margin at negative 375% shows this is not a stable operating business at the current form.
  • The $100M Semnur strategic investment is the material catalyst: Semnur (Scilex's majority-owned subsidiary) signed a binding term sheet for a proposed $100M strategic investment from iHolding Group LLP — this validates the underlying Semnur asset value and could recapitalize the Scilex parent.
  • The revenue growth is modestly encouraging: Q1 revenue grew 72% year-on-year to $8.6M — small in absolute terms and lumpy, but the direction is positive, and the FY28 consensus of $608M revenue implies material commercial ramp expected.

Trajectory is coiling as the tape processes the Semnur $100M investment against the catastrophic Scilex parent EPS; a clean Semnur close plus a specific Scilex parent recapitalization plan reprices the stock — continued sub-scale revenue prints or a Semnur investment walk-away drops the stock further with Nasdaq compliance risk.

What to watch: Semnur $100M investment close from iHolding Group plus any Scilex parent recapitalization plan — clean deal close reprices the stock; continued sub-scale revenue prints or investment walk-away drops the stock further with Nasdaq compliance risk.

On the calendar: 2026-12-02 — Q3 2026 earnings

strategic investment pendingno sentiment

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SCLX

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Specialty pharma commercializing non-opioid pain products with the ZTlido lidocaine patch as its lead.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Drug Manufacturers - General sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SCLX.

Drug Manufacturers - General · Healthcare

No material change from last week — oral semaglutide versus injectable Zepbound, with Amgen, Pfizer, and AZ all presenting obesity pipeline data.

What this means for $SCLX

Neutral — Specialty pharma commercializing non-opioid pain products with the ZTlido lidocaine patch as its lead; limited read-through from drug manufacturers - general macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$IHEiShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF
+19.1%YTD
+47.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
230%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-8.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-11.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
190%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
55.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 14, 2026$-16.65$-0.18-9083.2%
Q1 2026May 20, 2026$-4.76$-0.21-2166.5%
Q1 2026Apr 10, 2026$-4.60$-0.29-1471.9%
Q3 2025Nov 14, 2025$-13.80$-13.800.0%
Next earningsWed, Dec 2·consensus EPS $-0.08

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$8.6M+72.1%48.4%-373%$-6.28$-4.2M
Q4 FY25$4.8M-67.8%12.3%-782%$-3.00$-18.0M
Q3 FY25$10.6M-26.8%68.5%-1766%$-22.17$8.5M
Q2 FY25$9.9M-39.5%66.9%-207%$-7.42$7.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$66.0M$66.0M – $66.0M-$0.55-$0.55 – -$0.551
FY27$189.0M$189.0M – $189.0M$0.45$0.45 – $0.451
FY28$608.5M$608.5M – $608.5M$4.22$4.22 – $4.221
FY29$944.2M$944.2M – $944.2M$6.79$6.79 – $6.791
FY30$1.1B$1.1B – $1.1B$7.83$7.83 – $7.831

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.4%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-24.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-43.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyApr 17Ma Stephen HoiCFO650.0K sh$780KSellApr 17Henry JiCEO650.0K sh$780KBuyApr 16Henry JiCEO3.3M sh$3.9M
+ 1 other (1 other) in window

See when $SCLX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentAug 24SC 13D/A
AI summary

Henry Ji filed Amendment No. 5 to his Schedule 13D on DataVault AI Inc. (issuer) as of August 20, 2026. Ji is based in Palo Alto at 960 San Antonio Rd. Routine activist or significant holder position update in DataVault AI; specific changes to his stake or intent are in the full amendment body not captured in the excerpt.

8-KMaterial agreementAug 128-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Scilex Holding Company (SCLX) filed an 8-K on August 13, 2026 (event date August 8) under Item 1.01, announcing a material definitive agreement. The excerpt is the cover page; the specific agreement terms and counterparty details are in the body. Scilex develops non-opioid pain management products, including ZTlido lidocaine patches. Material definitive agreements for specialty pharma companies often involve licensing, development collaborations, or royalty transactions.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 228-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed
AI summary

Scilex Holding Company entered into a stock repurchase agreement with Vivasor Holding Company on July 18, 2026, under which Scilex agreed to sell back to Vivasor 6,101,468 shares of Vivasor Series A-1 Preferred Stock and 355,919 shares of Vivasor Series A-2 Preferred Stock — shares that Scilex had previously acquired from Vivasor. This transaction is disclosed under both Item 1.01 (material definitive agreement) and Item 2.01 (completion of acquisition or disposition of assets), indicating the deal has closed or is substantially complete. The disposition of Vivasor preferred stock by Scilex signals a strategic unwind of a prior investment position in a private company; dollar consideration is not visible in the excerpt but would be in the full exhibit.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 7SC 13D/A
AI summary

SCLX Stock Acquisition JV LLC (managed by Xiao Xu, Palo Alto CA) filed Amendment No. 6 to its Schedule 13D for Scilex Holding Company as of July 3, 2026, reflecting a change in position or intent by this activist/large-holder entity. This is a recurring activist holder update for Scilex — the sixth amendment signals ongoing strategic interest or positioning changes by this entity in the clinical-stage pain therapeutics company.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Scilex Holding Company signed a binding term sheet on July 3, 2026 with iHolding Group LLP (Kazakhstan-based private investment group) for a $100 million equity investment at $15.00 per share (approximately 6,666,667 new shares). The proposed investment remains subject to definitive agreements, board approval, stockholder approval, and regulatory approvals — no assurance of closing was provided. At $15.00 per share with current market prices, this could represent either a premium or discount depending on trading levels; it would be materially dilutive if consummated.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 298-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

Scilex Holding entered a binding term sheet to purchase Bitcoin from Datavault AI Inc. (sourced from a Biconomy digital wallet), subject to execution of a definitive purchase agreement. This speculative treasury diversification move by a small commercial pharma company reflects the retail-driven trend of non-crypto companies adopting Bitcoin as a treasury asset. Final purchase remains subject to definitive documentation.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 26SC 13D/A
AI summary

Scilex Holding Company (SCLX) filed Amendment No. 2 to its Schedule 13D on Semnur Pharmaceuticals, Inc. as of June 15, 2026, reporting aggregate beneficial ownership of 181,520,112 shares — 78.85% of Semnur's outstanding common stock. The stake is held through wholly-owned subsidiary Scilex, Inc. (174,770,112 shares) and Scilex Bio, Inc. (6,250,000 shares), plus 500,000 shares held directly; SCLX also holds 100% of Semnur's Series A Preferred Stock voting on an as-converted basis. SCLX's 78.85% majority ownership of Semnur reflects dominant post-business-combination control over Semnur's assets and pipeline.

8-KShareholder voteJun 248-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Scilex Holding Company held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 24, 2026 with ~63.5% of common shares and 100% of Series A preferred stock represented (preferred votes on as-converted basis for ~848K aggregate votes). Three proposals were on the ballot; the high preferred stock concentration is a structural note for common shareholders. Body unavailable — excerpt truncated before full vote results are disclosed.

+ 23 other (4 8-Ks · 3 CORRESPs · 2 10-Qs · 2 EFFECTs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Semnur Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (“Semnur”), a Majority-Owned Subsidiary of Scilex Holding Company (Nasdaq: SCLX, “Scilex”), Announces Signing of Binding Term Sheet for Proposed $100 Million Strategic Investment from iHolding Group LLPglobenewswire.com·54d agoScilex Holding Company Announces Dream Bowl I Meme Coin Tokens Commence Trading on the Biconomy Exchange on July 6, 2026globenewswire.com·54d agoScilex Holding Company Announces Signing of Binding Term Sheet for Proposed $100 Million Strategic Investment from iHolding Group LLPglobenewswire.com·55d agoOramed Releases Letter to Shareholders, Highlighting Russell 2000/3000 Index Inclusion, Scilex Loan Repayment, Strategic Portfolio Appreciation, and a Strengthened Balance Sheetgurufocus.com·65d agoOramed Releases Letter to Shareholders, Highlighting Russell 2000/3000 Index Inclusion, Scilex Loan Repayment, Strategic Portfolio Appreciation, and a Strengthened Balance Sheetprnewswire.com·65d ago

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