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SASAP

SAP SE

$SAP·$184B·Software - Application·Technology
$157.86-0.4%YTD-34.9%1Y-48.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-03: 10 posts2026-07-04: 9 posts2026-07-05: 16 posts2026-07-06: 16 posts2026-07-07: 31 posts2026-07-08: 36 posts2026-07-09: 29 posts147+17%
Price updated 23h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
SASAP
$SAPSAP SE
$157.86-0.38%147 posts+17%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SAP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-11

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

German enterprise software incumbent down 48% year-over-year at 21x TTM — undervalued enterprise-AI moat.

SAP is the German enterprise-software leader with the S/4HANA ERP platform running mission-critical operations at large enterprises globally. The current setup is a de-rated compounder trade after a punishing multi-quarter drawdown.

  • Fundamentals confirm the operating stability: revenue grew 6% year-over-year last quarter to $9.55B at a 73% gross margin, 29% operating margin, and 14% ROIC — the S/4HANA cloud transition is still compounding, and the last EPS surprise was a 4.7% beat.
  • The EU antitrust resolution is the specific structural signal: SAP averted an EU antitrust fine as regulators accepted the company's offer to address competition concerns — that removes a specific regulatory overhang that had been weighing on the multiple.
  • The enterprise-AI moat framing has substance: SAP sits at the core of the enterprise AI application layer, which the crowd argues is the next major AI-value tier — Business AI features integrated into the ERP flow is a real product-level moat, not slide-deck positioning.
  • The tape confirms the deep drawdown: shares at 6% of the 52-week range and 25% below the 200-day moving average — that's a real reset after a multi-quarter fall, and the FY26 EPS estimate of $7.36 at a 21x TTM multiple provides a genuine value anchor.

The July 23 earnings is the fulcrum. Cloud revenue growth staying above 20% with visible Business AI attach signal and firm S/4HANA migration commentary restarts the trend from the 52-week-low base. A cloud growth deceleration or an AI-attach softness turns event-ahead into a further leg lower, but at 21x TTM and 6% of 52-week range the fundamental floor is very close for a business of this quality.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on SAP as undervalued enterprise AI moat, half from peak with no comparable business collapse, is substantively correct — the operating fundamentals validate the framing. The America250 employee contribution program is a small positive-optics move, and the EU antitrust resolution is a real structural signal.

What to watch: July 23 earnings — cloud revenue growth above 20% with visible Business AI attach signal and firm S/4HANA migration commentary restarts the trend from 52-week-low base; a cloud deceleration or AI-attach softness turns event-ahead into a further leg lower, though 21x TTM at 6% of 52-week range keeps the fundamental floor close.

On the calendar: 2026-07-23 — Q2 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-10

SAP announces a $1,000 America250 contribution per eligible US employee child Trump Account, and the stock has lost half its value from peak despite no comparable business collapse. Bulls frame the enterprise AI application layer as the next major AI value tier where SAP sits at the core. Sentiment is bullish on undervalued enterprise AI moat.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SAP

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

German enterprise software giant providing ERP, HCM, and supply chain software via S/4HANA to large enterprises globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SAP.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — platforms where agents expand contract value (ServiceNow, Snowflake) are re-rated upward, while tools where agents substitute human users (Adobe Creative..

What this means for $SAP

Direct beneficiary — SAP SE, founded in Walldorf, Germany, in 1972, is a global provider of diverse software applications, technology, and services.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-13.2%YTD
-15.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
21.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
14.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
27.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
17.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
73.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$2.01$1.92+4.7%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$1.89$1.77+6.8%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$1.86$1.69+10.1%
Q2 2025Jul 22, 2025$1.70$1.63+4.3%
Next earningsThu, Jul 23·consensus EPS $2.01

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$9.6B+6.0%73.0%28.8%$1.66$3.3B
Q4 FY25$9.7B+3.3%71.4%24.2%$1.58$1.1B
Q3 FY25$9.1B+7.2%73.5%27.4%$1.72$1.3B
Q2 FY25$9.0B+8.9%73.3%27.2%$1.45$2.4B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 10 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$40.9B$40.0B – $41.4B$7.36$7.07 – $7.6710
FY27$45.7B$44.6B – $46.3B$8.62$8.19 – $9.2410
FY28$51.2B$50.5B – $51.7B$10.14$9.00 – $11.166
FY29$56.9B$56.1B – $57.5B$11.39$11.18 – $11.535
FY30$60.9B$60.0B – $61.4B$12.36$12.13 – $12.513

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.6%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-6.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-25.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.0B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.745-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 7 other (5 6-Ks · 1 11-K · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

SAP averts EU antitrust fine as regulators accept offer to address competition concernsreuters.com·3d agoSAP's Transformation Is Game-Changingseekingalpha.com·3d agoThe Market Just Got Shaken—These 3 ETFs May Come Out Strongermarketbeat.com·3d agoThe Anti-Magnificent Seven Trade? VGK Is Quietly Creeping Toward Record Highs247wallst.com·5d agoSAP Celebrates America's 250th with Investment in the Next Generationprnewswire.com·8d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Agentic AI & Enterprise Software

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Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · top 6 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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