TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$RCEL
RCRCEL

Avita Medical Inc.

$RCEL·$193M·Medical - Devices·Healthcare
$7.85-2.0%1Y+35.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-08: 37 posts2026-08-09: 53 posts2026-08-10: 77 posts2026-08-11: 15 posts2026-08-12: 12 posts2026-08-13: 4 posts2026-08-14: 29 posts233+6%
Price updated 12h ago·X counts updated 10h ago
RCRCEL
$RCELAvita Medical Inc.
$7.85-2.00%233 posts+6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RCEL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-14

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Regenerative wound-care small-cap near highs on quiet institutional accumulation — RECELL system moat real, cash burn is the honest offset.

Avita Medical is the small-cap regenerative-wound-care company behind the RECELL system — a spray-on skin autograft used for burn wounds and, increasingly, chronic skin defects. The stock has doubled year-over-year and sits near 52-week highs on quiet institutional accumulation, with no X sentiment coverage this window.

  • The core growth is real: Q2 revenue of $21.7M grew ~18% year-over-year with an 82% gross margin — the profile of a small-cap medical device company with a defensible technology moat and a growing addressable market.
  • The technology thesis is expanding beyond burns: bulls point to Avita's expansion into full-thickness skin defects and diabetic wound care — a category shift that could 10x the addressable market if the FDA-clearance and commercial-adoption cadence lands as management has framed.
  • The chart is confirming accumulation: shares sit 68% above the 50-day moving average and 88% above the 200-day, near 52-week highs on modest volume — a low-noise institutional-buying pattern more than a retail-momentum surge.
  • The near-term financials are the honest offset: operating margin remains at -32% and consensus FY26 EPS of -$1.05 tells you the company is still burning cash — the path to profitability requires the wound-care volume expansion to actually land in H2.

Coming into Nov 5 earnings, the tape needs Q3 revenue to continue expanding sequentially (above ~$23M) and management to detail the chronic-wound-care commercial ramp. A clean beat plus visible category expansion keeps the trend extending; a slowdown in RECELL adoption or a payer-reimbursement disclosure that pressures the model is what breaks the setup near current highs.

What to watch: Nov 5 Q3 earnings — sequential revenue above ~$23M and chronic-wound-care commercial ramp commentary. A slowdown in RECELL adoption or payer-reimbursement disclosure that pressures the model breaks the setup near current highs.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

no sentiment

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RCEL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Medical device company with the FDA-cleared RECELL System for regenerative skin cell therapy in burn treatment and wound care.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Medical - Devices sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RCEL.

Medical - Devices · Healthcare

No material change from last week — ISRG's da Vinci 5 procedure growth (+23%) confirms surgical robotics has transitioned from premium to standard-of-care in major procedures.

Industry benchmark

26-name peer basket
+7.7%YTD
+28.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
168%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-46.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-17.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
232%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
81.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$-0.25$-0.29+14.6%
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$-0.35$-0.350.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$-0.38$-0.36-4.3%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$-0.46$-0.43-7.0%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $-0.24

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$21.7M+17.8%81.9%-31.6%$-0.25$-13.7M
Q1 FY26$19.3M+4.0%81.7%-45.7%$-34.74$-10.1M
Q4 FY25$17.6M-4.3%81.2%-59.1%$-0.38$-3.7M
Q3 FY25$17.1M-12.7%81.3%-53.6%$-0.46$-6.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$82.8M$76.7M – $92.0M-$1.05-$1.20 – -$0.955
FY27$100.0M$92.7M – $111.2M-$0.54-$0.62 – -$0.495
FY28$122.7M$110.3M – $138.1M-$0.05-$0.13 – $0.046
FY29$411.4M$381.2M – $457.3M$2.76$2.50 – $3.164
FY30$497.5M$461.1M – $553.1M$3.62$3.28 – $4.153

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.87%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+62.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+83.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 23.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.855-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 9Woody Joseph FralinDirector5.2K sh$21KBuyJun 9Woody Joseph FralinDirector10.0K sh$42KBuyJun 3Woody Joseph FralinDirector10.0K sh$41KBuyMay 20David D O'tooleCFO2.0K sh$9KBuyMay 19David D O'tooleCFO2.0K sh$8KBuyMar 11David D O'tooleCFO1.8K sh$9KBuyFeb 19David D O'tooleCFO3.0K sh$12K
+ 5 other (5 awards) in window

See when $RCEL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 118-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

AVITA Medical (RCEL) filed an 8-K on August 12, 2026 (event date August 5) under Item 1.01, announcing a material definitive agreement. The excerpt is the cover page; the specific agreement and counterparty are in the body. AVITA Medical commercializes the RECELL® System, a point-of-care autologous skin cell therapy for burns and wound repair. Material agreements at medical device companies often involve distribution, manufacturing, or licensing arrangements.

8-K/AShareholder vote (amended)Aug 68-K/A — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

AVITA Medical, Inc. (RCEL) reported shareholder vote results (Item 5.07) from its annual or special meeting on 2026-08-06. Key outcome: votes to approve the compensation of the Company’s named executive officers. Shareholder vote disclosures are routine unless a major contested matter was on the ballot. Investors should review whether say-on-pay passed comfortably and whether any dissident nominees were elected.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 88-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 8424B5
8-KOfficer or director changeJun 48-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KOfficer or director changeMay 18-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
S-3Shelf registrationMar 31S-3
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 63
+ 9 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 proxy · 1 EFFECT) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

AVITA Medical, Inc. (RCEL) Shareholder/Analyst Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·2d agoAVITA Medical to Host Investor Webinar Briefingglobenewswire.com·6d agoAVITA Medical Announces Participation at Canaccord Genuity Growth Conferenceglobenewswire.com·8d agoAvita Medical Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·8d agoAVITA Medical, Inc. (RCEL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·8d ago

More in Medical - Devices

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$MDT$TMDX$VREX$STIM$BFLY$BSX$SENS$ABT
Voices on X · top 2 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport